USCI 주가 전망 및 ETF 분석 - 배당·운용보수·보유종목·NAV·RSI·MACD

USCI

United States Commodity Index Fund

7월 28일 12:30 PM ET (한국 7/29 01:30)

$100.02

-1.99 ▼ -1.95%

USCI ETF is analyzed across 10 metrics including expense ratio, holdings, sector allocation, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

Total Expense Ratio

1.05%

Annual operating cost

Net Assets (AUM)

$372M

약 5100억원

Holdings

31 items

Dividend Yield

Management Style

Passive

Category ⓘ	Commodities & Metals - Diversified Commodities	Asset Type ⓘ	Commodities & Metals	Return% 1Y ⓘ	34.69%	Total Holdings ⓘ	31	Perf Week ⓘ	-0.55%
ETF Type ⓘ	Global Commodities & Metals	Active/Passive ⓘ	Passive	Return% 3Y ⓘ	21.68%	AUM ⓘ	$372M	Perf Month ⓘ	7.94%
Expense ⓘ	1.05%	NAV ⓘ	$102.00	Return% 5Y ⓘ	20.32%	52W High ⓘ	-3.22%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	2.06%
Dividend TTM ⓘ	-	Div Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	-	Return% 10Y ⓘ	8.97%	52W Low ⓘ	37.48%	Perf Half Y ⓘ	18.75%
Flows% 1M ⓘ	-1.22%	Flows% YTD ⓘ	1.4%	Return% SI ⓘ	4.55%	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	0.55% 0.83%	Perf YTD ⓘ	28.88%
SMA20 ⓘ	2.46%	SMA50 ⓘ	2.88%	SMA200 ⓘ	13.45%	RSI (14) ⓘ	57.95	Beta ⓘ	0.12
IPO ⓘ	2010/8/10	Prev Close ⓘ	$102.01	Perf Year ⓘ	33.32%	Avg Volume ⓘ	0.02M	Price ⓘ	$100.02

📊 United States Commodity Index Fund (USCI) Investment Analysis

ETF Overview

United States Commodity Index Fund · Commodities & Metals - Diversified Commodities

일반 ETF — 카테고리 기반 분석만 제공됩니다

2010년 상장, 16년 운영 중.

United States Commodity Index Fund는 펀드 주식 순자산가치(NAV)의 일간 변동률이 USCI 비용 차감 후 SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Index Total Return(SDCI)의 일간 변동률을 반영하도록 추구합니다. 이 펀드는 가능한 한 벤치마크 구성 선물계약에 투자하여 목표를 달성합니다. SDCI는 분산된 원자재 그룹의 성과를 반영하도록 설계되었습니다.

📘 USCI ETF 자세히 알아보기 →

commodityfutures

규모: $372M 약 5100억원
운용사: United
운용 방식: 패시브 (지수 추종)
상장일: 2010년

Cost Efficiency

Annual Expense Ratio · Category Rank · Long-Term Cost Impact

High-cost ETF — 1.05% annually

Costs are notably higher than the category average. Long-term holdings can erode returns.

Effective Annual Expense Ratio (Net Expense Ratio)

하위 5%

1.05%

My positionBottom 5%

Low range Average High range

Actual Cost Simulation by Investment Amount

$100.0M

Annual Expense Ratio

$1.1M

Pay $400K more per year vs. category average

Category Median Annual Cost

$650K

Based on expense ratio of 0.65%

10-Year Cumulative Expense Ratio (Long-term simulation assuming 7% annual market growth)

$18.5M

19.1% of returns you could have earned goes to the fund manager due to fees

💡 Because the expense ratio takes a slice of your assets every year, costs compound over 10 years and result in far greater losses than a simple sum (annual fee × 10). The 7% annual return assumption is based on the S&P 500's long-term average.

Defaults shown against $100K baseline portfolio. Adjust the slider to update the amount in real time.

Cheaper alternatives in the same category

COMB

GraniteShares Bloomberg Commodity Broad Strategy No K-1 ETF

0.25%

-0.80%p annually

BCI

abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy K-1 Free ETF

0.26%

-0.79%p annually

CERY

State Street SPDR Bloomberg Enhanced Roll Yld Comdty Straty No K-1 ETF

0.28%

-0.77%p annually

* A lower fee does not necessarily mean a better ETF. Consider the tracked index, liquidity, and tax treatment as well.

Long-Term Performance

1-year · 3-year · 5-year · 10-year returns · vs. benchmark · drawdown defense

Upper-tier returns in its category

상위 25% within Commodities & Metals - Diversified Commodities.+16.9%p vs. benchmark (SPY) over 1Y.

ℹ️ The "1Y·3Y·5Y·10Y" periods below represent annualized returns (CAGR) measured backward from today. Example: "3Y +12%" means the investment grew at a compounded 12% per year over the past three years.

If you had invested 10 year(s) ago

$100.0M

Today's value

$236.1M

→

Total gain

+$136.1M

Annualized +9.0%

1 Year

2025.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +34.69%

평균권

Outperformed the benchmark by 16.9%p annually

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

3 Years

2023.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +21.68% Cumulative +80.2%

상위 25%

Outperformed the benchmark by 2.7%p annually

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

5 Years

2021.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +20.32% Cumulative +152.2%

상위 25%

Outperformed the benchmark by 7.4%p annually

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

10Y

2016.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +8.97% Cumulative +136.1%

평균권

Trailed the benchmark by 5.9%p annually

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

10Y Cumulative Total Return Curve

2016-07-28 start, based on a 100M KRW base — read the curve values directly as units of 100M KRW (e.g., 308 → 3.08억 / 308M KRW). Both this ETF and the benchmark are rebased to 100 on the same start date for comparison.

USCI · Price Only USCI · Price + Cumulative Dividends USCI · Dividend Reinvested S&P 500 (SPY)

150

250

350

450

ℹ️ Price Only: Excludes dividends and tracks pure stock price only. Covered-call and high-dividend ETFs often show a flat or declining line on this view, which is meaningful from a "principal preservation" standpoint. Price + Cumulative Dividend: Share count stays the same and received dividends are accumulated as cash. Closely matches your actual account total assets. Reinvested: Dividends are immediately used to buy additional shares (adjClose-based, the industry standard for total return). The wider the gap between the three lines, the easier it is to gauge the effectiveness of the dividend strategy.

Annual Return Comparison

ETF returns vs S&P 500 (SPY) by calendar year

USCI S&P 500 (SPY)

+40%

−40%

+7%

2017

-13%

2018

-1%

2019

-12%

2020

+32%

2021

+29%

2022

+2%

2023

+17%

2024

+17%

2025

+29%

2026 YTD

ℹ️ Returns from January 1 to December 31 of each year. The current year (2026) column is dimmed to indicate YTD (incomplete). If blue is higher than gray, the ETF outperformed the benchmark in that year.

Win rate vs S&P 500 (SPY)

2 / 9Y

Lags behind benchmark (22%)

+ 2026 YTD: Ahead (29.1% vs 8.5%)

2017 ✗

2018 ✗

2019 ✗

2020 ✗

2021 ✓

2022 ✓

2023 ✗

2024 ✗

2025 ✗

2026 ✓ YTD

ℹ️ Number of winning years versus S&P 500 (SPY) within a completed calendar year (1/1–12/31). The current year (YTD) is reported separately.

Downside Capture

🛡️ -6%

Falls less than the benchmark in drawdowns — strong downside protection

<85% (Defend) 85~110% (Track) >110% (Lag)

ℹ️ Average % drop of this ETF when S&P 500 (SPY) is −1%. Based on daily returns over the past 3 years (only days where the benchmark is negative).

Risk Profile

Volatility · Beta · Max Drawdown · Sharpe · Drawdown Recovery History

Overall Risk Grade

Low Risk

Less volatile than the market average, making it relatively easy to hold over time.

Beta (market sensitivity)

평균권

0.12

If the market rises +10% +1.2%

If the market falls -10% -1.2%

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

ℹ️ A beta of 1.0 moves in line with the market. Above 1 means it moves more than the market; below 1 means less.

Average daily range (last 1 month)

평균권

±0.83%

S&P 500 typically ±1.0~1.3% · Bond funds ±0.3% · Leveraged ETFs ±3% or more

Annual volatility trend (past 10 years)

ℹ️ This ETF's average daily price swing. 1% means "on average, moves about ±1% per day." The rolling curve below shows the annualized volatility (long-term standard measure) over time.

Max Drawdown · Past 10 years

-45.8%

Drawdown duration: 22 months

2018-05-21 → 2020-03-18

Recovered in about 1.8 years

2015-07-31 Worst -44% 2026-07-01

ℹ️ Maximum drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in the past. It represents the worst-case loss a long-term investor must psychologically endure.

Sharpe Ratio (Risk-Adjusted Return)

0.31

Weak — Low risk-adjusted returns

ℹ️ Annualized return minus the risk-free rate (3% annualized), divided by annualized volatility. A value above 1.0 is generally considered good risk-adjusted performance.

Estimated Monthly Maximum Loss (VaR 95%)

-5.5%

Historically, monthly losses exceeding this figure occurred only5%of the time.

ℹ️ A statistical estimate meaning "with 95% probability, monthly losses will not exceed this amount." The remaining 5% corresponds to crisis-level events such as financial crises or pandemics.

Overall investment appeal

What this ETF fits best — strengths, weaknesses, and target investor profile

Overall attractive Key metrics look solid, and the strengths outweigh the weak spots.

🎯 목적별 적합도

내가 이 ETF를 어떤 목적으로 활용할 수 있는지 확인하세요.

🌳

장기 보유

수년 이상 꾸준히 모아갈 때

적합

💵

배당 인컴

매월·분기 현금흐름이 목적일 때

매우 낮음

⚡

단기 트레이딩

며칠~몇 주 단기 방향성 매매

매우 낮음

🧩

포트폴리오 보조

자산 배분·헤지 용도

낮음

👤

이런 분에게 어울려요

Long-term and recurring investors

✅ 강점

📈Top-tier long-term returns
🎯Outperforms benchmark by +7.4%p annually

⚠️ 약점·주의사항

💸Very high expense ratio — 1.05% annually

Category Peers

Category: Commodities & Metals - Diversified Commodities

같은 카테고리 6종 중 AUM 6/6위 · 보수율 6/6위

카테고리: Commodities & Metals - Diversified Commodities

ℹ️ 왜 비교해야 하나요?

같은 카테고리 ETF끼리는 보수율·규모(AUM)·배당률을 비교해 볼 가치가 있어요. 보수율은 낮을수록 장기 수익에 유리하고, AUM이 크면 운용 안정성이 높아요. ▲ 표시는 USCI보다 유리, ▼ 표시는 USCI보다 불리를 뜻해요.

티커	ETF명	보수율	AUM	보유종목	배당률	YTD	1년
USCI	United States Commodity Index Fund	1.05%	$372M	31	-	+28.88%	+33.32%
HGER	Harbor Commodity All-Weather Strategy ETF	0.68% ▲	$3.8B ▲	50	5.51%	-	+29.68% ▼
DBC	Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund	0.84% ▲	$1.7B ▲	32	-	-	+35.26% ▲
COMT	iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF	0.48% ▲	$1.2B ▲	174	5.92%	-	+24.17% ▼
CERY	State Street SPDR Bloomberg Enhanced Roll Yld Comdty Straty No K-1 ETF	0.28% ▲	$1.0B ▲	11	3.98%	-	+28.53% ▼
DJP	iPath Bloomberg Commodity Total Return ETN	0.7% ▲	$959M ▲	25	-	-	+35.96% ▲

AUM 내림차순 정렬 · ▲ USCI보다 유리 · ▼ USCI보다 불리

Leveraged & Covered Call ETFs on the Same Theme

ETFs that approach the same theme with a different strategy

21 ETFs tracking the same theme as USCI using leveraged or covered call strategies (Leverage 8 · Inverse 6 · Covered Call 7)

Not direct derivatives of USCI, but ETFs that cover the same theme via a different strategy.

ℹ️ Which ETFs are included?

Among ETFs whose theme (category or sector) overlaps with USCI, some use special strategies. Leveraged ETFs aim for 2–3× the daily move, Inverse ETFs seek opposite-direction returns, and Covered Call ETFs generate monthly income from option premiums.

⚠️ Caution: Long-Term Holding

Leveraged and inverse ETFs track only the daily return. With high volatility, holding them for longer periods causes cumulative volatility decay—returns diverge further from the underlying index. They are meant for short-term trading.

📈 Leverage 8 ETFs that amplify the same theme by 2-3x (high volatility)