YEAR 주가 전망 및 ETF 분석 - 배당·운용보수·보유종목·NAV·RSI·MACD

YEAR

AB Ultra Short Income ETF

7월 28일 2:59 PM ET (한국 7/29 03:59)

$50.27

+0.02 ▲ +0.04%

YEAR ETF is analyzed across 10 metrics including expense ratio, holdings, sector allocation, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

Total Expense Ratio

0.25%

Annual operating cost

Net Assets (AUM)

$1.5B

약 2조원

Holdings

165 items

Dividend Yield

4.09%

Management Style

Active

Category ⓘ	Bonds - Broad Market	Asset Type ⓘ	Bonds	Return% 1Y ⓘ	3.54%	Total Holdings ⓘ	165	Perf Week ⓘ	0.02%
ETF Type ⓘ	US Bonds	Active/Passive ⓘ	Active	Return% 3Y ⓘ	4.87%	AUM ⓘ	$1.5B	Perf Month ⓘ	-0.12%
Expense ⓘ	0.25%	NAV ⓘ	$50.25	Return% 5Y ⓘ	-	52W High ⓘ	-1%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	-0.36%
Dividend TTM ⓘ	$2.06 (4.09%)	Div Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	54.18% -	Return% 10Y ⓘ	-	52W Low ⓘ	0.2%	Perf Half Y ⓘ	-0.57%
Flows% 1M ⓘ	3.8%	Flows% YTD ⓘ	1.08%	Return% SI ⓘ	4.81%	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	0.06% 0.06%	Perf YTD ⓘ	-0.42%
SMA20 ⓘ	0.04%	SMA50 ⓘ	-0.02%	SMA200 ⓘ	-0.37%	RSI (14) ⓘ	51.72	Beta ⓘ	0.02
IPO ⓘ	2022/9/14	Prev Close ⓘ	$50.25	Perf Year ⓘ	-0.57%	Avg Volume ⓘ	0.15M	Price ⓘ	$50.27

📊 AB Ultra Short Income ETF (YEAR) Investment Analysis

ETF Overview

AB Ultra Short Income ETF · Bonds - Broad Market

인버스형 — 지수 하락에 베팅 (단기 헤지용 · 고위험)

2022년 상장, 4년 운영 중.

AB Ultra Short Income ETF는 자본 보전과 양립하는 경상수익을 제공하고자 합니다. 이 ETF는 액티브 운용 ETF입니다. 정상적인 상황에서 주로 미국 정부 및 투자등급 회사 고정수익 증권의 조합에 투자하여 목표를 추구합니다. 정상적인 상황에서 이 ETF는 달러 가중평균 듀레이션을 1년 미만으로 유지하지만, 모든 듀레이션 또는 만기의 증권에 투자할 수 있습니다. 모기지·기타 자산담보부증권, 양도성예금증서, 기업어음에도 투자할 수 있습니다.

📘 YEAR ETF 자세히 알아보기 →

U.S.fixed-incometreasuriescorporate-bonds

규모: $1.5B 약 2조원
운용사: AllianceBernstein
운용 방식: 액티브 (운용사 재량)
상장일: 2022년

Cost Efficiency

Annual Expense Ratio · Category Rank · Long-Term Cost Impact

Average expense ratio — 0.25% annually

Mid-range within the Bonds - Broad Market category.

Effective Annual Expense Ratio (Net Expense Ratio)

평균권

0.25%

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Actual Cost Simulation by Investment Amount

$100.0M

Annual Expense Ratio

$250K

Save $110K per year vs. category average

Category Median Annual Cost

$360K

Based on expense ratio of 0.36%

10-Year Cumulative Expense Ratio (Long-term simulation assuming 7% annual market growth)

$4.5M

4.7% of returns you could have earned goes to the fund manager due to fees

💡 Because the expense ratio takes a slice of your assets every year, costs compound over 10 years and result in far greater losses than a simple sum (annual fee × 10). The 7% annual return assumption is based on the S&P 500's long-term average.

Defaults shown against $100K baseline portfolio. Adjust the slider to update the amount in real time.

Cheaper alternatives in the same category

BND

Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF

0.03%

-0.22%p annually

AGG

iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF

0.03%

-0.22%p annually

BSV

Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF

0.03%

-0.22%p annually

* A lower fee does not necessarily mean a better ETF. Consider the tracked index, liquidity, and tax treatment as well.

Long-Term Performance

1-year · 3-year · 5-year · 10-year returns · vs. benchmark · drawdown defense

Insufficient return data

-14.3%p vs. benchmark (SPY) over 1Y.

ℹ️ The "1Y·3Y·5Y·10Y" periods below represent annualized returns (CAGR) measured backward from today. Example: "3Y +12%" means the investment grew at a compounded 12% per year over the past three years.

↩️ Inverse ETF — for short-term hedging only

These products bet on declines in the underlying index. By construction, "if the index rises, the ETF falls," so it is not unusual to see a negative annualized return (−). The daily reset mechanism causes significant compounding decay over longer holding periods. Long-term holding is not recommended outside of hedging or short-term trading purposes.

If you had invested 3 year(s) ago

$100.0M

Today's value

$115.3M

→

Total gain

+$15.3M

Annualized +4.9%

ℹ️ How to read the return breakdown bar

Each period bar shows the share of this ETF's returns by source.

Price gains Price decline Dividends received

Mostly blue (80%+): Growth-style — price gains drive most returns
Mostly orange (70%+): Income-style — dividends drive most returns (watch out for after-tax drag)
Red + orange: Stagnant or declining price — dividends offset losses (common in covered-call and high-dividend funds)

1 Year

2025.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +3.54%

평균권

Price -0.57% + Dividend +4.11% = Total +3.54%/yr

Trailed the benchmark by 14.3%p annually

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

3 Years

2023.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +4.87% Cumulative +15.3%

평균권

Price +0.06% + Dividend +4.81% = Total +4.87%/yr

Trailed the benchmark by 14.1%p annually

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

5 Years

2021.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2022/9 — under 5 years

10Y

2016.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2022/9 — under 10 years

4Y Cumulative Total Return Curve

2022-09-14 start, based on a 100M KRW base — read the curve values directly as units of 100M KRW (e.g., 308 → 3.08억 / 308M KRW). Both this ETF and the benchmark are rebased to 100 on the same start date for comparison.

YEAR · Price Only YEAR · Price + Cumulative Dividends YEAR · Dividend Reinvested S&P 500 (SPY)

100

150

200

250

ℹ️ Price Only: Excludes dividends and tracks pure stock price only. Covered-call and high-dividend ETFs often show a flat or declining line on this view, which is meaningful from a "principal preservation" standpoint. Price + Cumulative Dividend: Share count stays the same and received dividends are accumulated as cash. Closely matches your actual account total assets. Reinvested: Dividends are immediately used to buy additional shares (adjClose-based, the industry standard for total return). The wider the gap between the three lines, the easier it is to gauge the effectiveness of the dividend strategy.

Annual Return Comparison

ETF returns vs S&P 500 (SPY) by calendar year

YEAR S&P 500 (SPY)

+40%

−40%

+1%

2022

+6%

2023

+5%

2024

+5%

2025

+1%

2026 YTD

💡 Inverse ETFs are the mirror image — positive returns in years the benchmark falls, losses in years it rises.

ℹ️ Returns from January 1 to December 31 of each year. The current year (2026) column is dimmed to indicate YTD (incomplete). If blue is higher than gray, the ETF outperformed the benchmark in that year.

Win rate vs S&P 500 (SPY)

1 / 4Y

Lags behind benchmark (25%)

+ 2026 YTD: Behind (1.2% vs 8.5%)

2022 ✓

2023 ✗

2024 ✗

2025 ✗

2026 ✗ YTD

💡 Inverses only win in down years — not suitable as a long-term win-rate metric.

ℹ️ Number of winning years versus S&P 500 (SPY) within a completed calendar year (1/1–12/31). The current year (YTD) is reported separately.

Downside Capture

🛡️ -2%

Falls less than the benchmark in drawdowns — strong downside protection

<85% (Defend) 85~110% (Track) >110% (Lag)

💡 Inverses rise when the benchmark falls and fall when it rises — the usual interpretation of this metric is reversed.

ℹ️ Average % drop of this ETF when S&P 500 (SPY) is −1%. Based on daily returns over the past 3 years (only days where the benchmark is negative).

Risk Profile

Volatility · Beta · Max Drawdown · Sharpe · Drawdown Recovery History

Overall Risk Grade

High Risk

These products move opposite to the market. The longer you hold them, the more losses accumulate over time, making them suitable only for short-term hedging.

↩️ Inverse ETFs — Negative Beta is normal

Because they move opposite to the index, a negative Beta or one near −1 is expected. Volatility is similar to the underlying index. These are intended for short-term hedging and are unsuitable for long-term holding.

Beta (market sensitivity)

상위 25%

0.02

If the market rises +10% +0.2%

If the market falls -10% -0.2%

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

ℹ️ A beta of 1.0 moves in line with the market. Above 1 means it moves more than the market; below 1 means less.

Average daily range (last 1 month)

상위 25%

±0.06%

S&P 500 typically ±1.0~1.3% · Bond funds ±0.3% · Leveraged ETFs ±3% or more

Annual volatility trend (past 10 years)

ℹ️ This ETF's average daily price swing. 1% means "on average, moves about ±1% per day." The rolling curve below shows the annualized volatility (long-term standard measure) over time.

Max Drawdown · Past 10 years

-0.8%

Drawdown duration: 1 months

2022-09-14 → 2022-10-20

Recovered in about 26 days

2022-09-14 Worst -5% 2026-07-01

ℹ️ Maximum drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in the past. It represents the worst-case loss a long-term investor must psychologically endure.

Sharpe Ratio (Risk-Adjusted Return)

1.46

Good — Solid risk-adjusted returns

ℹ️ Annualized return minus the risk-free rate (3% annualized), divided by annualized volatility. A value above 1.0 is generally considered good risk-adjusted performance.

Estimated Monthly Maximum Loss (VaR 95%)

-0.1%

Historically, monthly losses exceeding this figure occurred only5%of the time.

ℹ️ A statistical estimate meaning "with 95% probability, monthly losses will not exceed this amount." The remaining 5% corresponds to crisis-level events such as financial crises or pandemics.

Dividend Analysis

Yield · Dividend history · After-tax income calculator

Inverse ETF distribution — 4.09% annually

This product is designed for directional hedging and has little to do with dividend income.

ℹ️ Inverse ETFs are not designed for dividend income, and even when they pay distributions, structural decay can offset them.

배당수익률

4.09%

주당 배당

$2.06

연간 기준

5년 성장률

지급 주기

불규칙

2월 · 3월 · 4월 · 8월 · 9월 · 10월 · 11월 · 12월

📊 총 이력 2022~2026 (42건)

연도별 배당 총액 추이

주당 배당금을 연 단위로 합산한 금액입니다. 막대가 우상향이면 매년 배당이 늘어나고 있다는 뜻입니다.

—

2021

$0.51

2022

$2.52 +394.7%

2023

$2.60 +3.2%

2024

$2.19 -15.8%

2025

$X.XX 그 해 총 배당금 +X% 전년 대비 증가 -X% 감소

최근 배당 이력 총 42건

아래로 스크롤하면 과거 배당 이력을 볼 수 있습니다.

배당락일

주당 금액

지급일

당시 수익률

2026-04-01

$0.162

—

4.61%

2026-03-02

$0.165

—

4.65%

2026-02-02

$0.171

—

4.68%

2025-12-31

$0.202

—

4.34%

2025-12-01

$0.171

—

4.87%

2025-11-03

$0.169

—

4.53%

2025-10-01

$0.175

—

5.00%

2025-09-02

$0.175

—

5.08%

2025-08-01

$0.181

—

5.17%

2025-07-01

$0.183

—

5.24%

2025-06-02

$0.191

—

5.31%

2025-05-01

$0.181

—

5.36%

2025-04-01

$0.192

—

5.45%

2025-03-03

$0.191

—

5.07%

2025-02-03

$0.178

—

5.14%

2024-12-30

$0.272

—

5.17%

2024-12-02

$0.202

—

5.10%

2024-11-01

$0.202

—

5.13%

2024-10-01

$0.206

—

5.60%

2024-09-03

$0.216

—

5.21%

2024-08-01

$0.215

—

5.21%

2024-07-01

$0.213

—

5.71%

2024-06-03

$0.218

—

5.29%

2024-05-01

$0.220

—

5.23%

2024-04-01

$0.227

—

5.56%

2024-03-01

$0.218

—

5.10%

2024-02-01

$0.190

—

5.37%

2023-12-28

$0.247

—

5.35%

2023-12-01

$0.216

—

5.22%

2023-11-01

$0.234

—

5.13%

2023-10-02

$0.220

—

4.66%

2023-09-01

$0.211

—

4.22%

2023-08-01

$0.216

—

3.79%

2023-07-03

$0.246

—

3.37%

2023-06-01

$0.182

—

2.87%

2023-05-01

$0.200

—

2.51%

2023-04-03

$0.186

—

2.11%

2023-03-01

$0.177

—

1.74%

2023-02-01

$0.183

—

1.38%

2022-12-29

$0.174

—

1.02%

2022-12-01

$0.179

—

0.67%

2022-11-01

$0.156

—

0.31%

* "배당락일"은 배당받으려면 이 날 이전에 주식을 보유해야 하는 기준일입니다. 지급일·당시 수익률은 일부 종목에서 데이터가 없을 수 있습니다.

💰 내가 $100K 투자한다면

연간 배당금 (세후) $3K

5년 누적 (세후) $17K

* 환율 1 가정, 배당소득세 15% 반영. 5년 누적은 배당 성장률 연 0% 가정.

* Qualified dividend middle-bracket approximation. Actual rate varies by total income.

Overall investment appeal

What this ETF fits best — strengths, weaknesses, and target investor profile

Designed for short-term trading Not recommended for long-term investing, but suitable for short-term trading and hedging.

⚠️ Short-term hedge that moves opposite to the market. Time decay causes losses to accumulate on long holds.

🎯 목적별 적합도

내가 이 ETF를 어떤 목적으로 활용할 수 있는지 확인하세요.

🌳

장기 보유

수년 이상 꾸준히 모아갈 때

부적합

💵

배당 인컴

매월·분기 현금흐름이 목적일 때

부적합

⚡

단기 트레이딩

며칠~몇 주 단기 방향성 매매

매우 적합

🧩

포트폴리오 보조

자산 배분·헤지 용도

매우 낮음

👤

이런 분에게 어울려요

For short-term hedging and downside bets

✅ 강점

🛡️Below-average volatility

⚠️ 약점·주의사항

🎯Trails benchmark by -14.3%p annually
🔄Inverse — time decay losses accumulate the longer you hold

Portfolio Composition

What's actually inside — sector weights and top holdings

파생상품 기반 ETF

실제 보유 종목이 일반 ETF와 다르게 스왑·선물 중심이에요.

ℹ️ 왜 구성을 봐야 하나요?

ETF의 실제 성과는 담고 있는 종목과 섹터에서 나와요. 이름이 "S&P 500"이라도 기술주 비중이 유난히 높을 수 있고, "배당주 ETF"라도 몇몇 대형주에 쏠려 있을 수 있어요. 라벨보다 실제 구성을 확인하는 게 중요해요.

🔬 집중도 한눈에 보기

총 보유종목

346개

상위 10개 비중

53.8%

최대 단일 종목

8.32%

집중도(HHI)

457

낮음 (분산)

⚠️ 소수 종목·섹터에 집중되어 있어, 해당 종목/섹터가 흔들리면 ETF 전체가 크게 영향을 받아요.

🥧 섹터 비중

Financial

21.2%

Energy

5.3%

Healthcare

3.5%

Consumer Defensive

3.5%

Industrials

3.0%

Technology

2.7%

Utilities

2.4%

Consumer Cyclical

2.2%

Basic Materials

2.0%

Real Estate

1.5%

Communication Services

1.5%

📋 상위 보유 종목 Top 10 Top 10이 전체의 53.8% 차지

티커 옆의 점 색상 = 섹터 구분 (섹터 차트와 동일 색상)

USLM United States Treasury

8.32%

USLM United States Treasury

8.19%

USLM United States Treasury

7.58%

USLM United States Treasury

5.56%

USLM United States Treasury

4.51%

USLM United States Treasury

4.28%

USLM United States Treasury

4.25%

USLM United States Treasury

4.20%

#9 - Alliance Bernstein

3.83%

#10

USLM United States Treasury

3.07%

Category Peers

Category: Bonds - Broad Market

같은 카테고리 6종 중 AUM 6/6위 · 보수율 4/6위

카테고리: Bonds - Broad Market

ℹ️ 왜 비교해야 하나요?

같은 카테고리 ETF끼리는 보수율·규모(AUM)·배당률을 비교해 볼 가치가 있어요. 보수율은 낮을수록 장기 수익에 유리하고, AUM이 크면 운용 안정성이 높아요. ▲ 표시는 YEAR보다 유리, ▼ 표시는 YEAR보다 불리를 뜻해요.

티커	ETF명	보수율	AUM	보유종목	배당률	YTD	1년
YEAR	AB Ultra Short Income ETF	0.25%	$1.5B	165	4.09%	-0.42%	-0.57%
JPST	JPMorgan Ultra-Short Income ETF	0.18% ▲	$40.1B ▲	788	4.23% ▲	-	-0.28% ▲
PULS	PGIM Ultra Short Bond ETF	0.15% ▲	$18.0B ▲	926	4.51% ▲	-	-0.18% ▲
MINT	PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Active ETF	0.36% ▼	$16.9B ▲	1027	4.22% ▲	-	+0.14% ▲
VUSB	Vanguard Ultra-Short Bond ETF	0.1% ▲	$9.2B ▲	1342	4.35% ▲	-	-0.24% ▲
FTSM	First Trust Enhanced Short Maturity ETF	0.29% ▼	$6.5B ▲	692	4.13% ▲	-	-0.27% ▲

AUM 내림차순 정렬 · ▲ YEAR보다 유리 · ▼ YEAR보다 불리

Leveraged & Covered Call ETFs on the Same Theme

ETFs that approach the same theme with a different strategy

9 ETFs tracking the same theme as YEAR using leveraged or covered call strategies (Leverage 2 · Inverse 3 · Covered Call 4)

Not direct derivatives of YEAR, but ETFs that cover the same theme via a different strategy.

ℹ️ Which ETFs are included?

Among ETFs whose theme (category or sector) overlaps with YEAR, some use special strategies. Leveraged ETFs aim for 2–3× the daily move, Inverse ETFs seek opposite-direction returns, and Covered Call ETFs generate monthly income from option premiums.

⚠️ Caution: Long-Term Holding

Leveraged and inverse ETFs track only the daily return. With high volatility, holding them for longer periods causes cumulative volatility decay—returns diverge further from the underlying index. They are meant for short-term trading.

📈 Leverage 2 ETFs that amplify the same theme by 2-3x (high volatility)