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7월 29일 · 실적분석
실적분석

New Oriental Education & Technology Group ($EDU) FY2026 Q4 Earnings Analysis — Revenue and Adjusted EPS Both Beat Estimates

EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group 실적 요약

New Oriental Education & Technology Group ($EDU) posted revenue of $1.530 billion (up 23.0% year-over-year) and adjusted diluted EPS of $0.55 in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended May), surpassing market expectations of $1.465 billion in revenue and $0.46 in EPS. For fiscal 2027, the company guided to 14–18% revenue growth year-over-year. Shares edged up in after-hours trading on the beat and shareholder return plans. However, adjusted net income declined year-over-year, and growth in the overseas test prep and study abroad segment remained in the single digits.

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Earnings Scorecard

Revenue: $1.530 billion (+23.0% YoY, vs. $1.465 billion estimate) ✅ Beat
EPS: Adjusted diluted $0.55 (vs. $0.46 estimate) ✅ Beat
Guidance: Issued — FY2027 revenue of $6.454 billion–$6.680 billion (+14–18% YoY)
Stock Reaction: After-hours +2.38% ($52) — as of 07-29 20:37 KST
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What Went Well

Revenue beat: $1.530 billion topped the $1.465 billion estimate, up 23.0% YoY
Adjusted EPS beat: Diluted $0.55 came in well above the $0.46 estimate
Margin improvement: Quarterly adjusted operating margin 7.2% (+0.6 ppt), full-year 13.0% (+1.7 ppt)
New Oriental, which operates private education, test preparation, overseas study consulting, and live commerce businesses in China, continued its top-line momentum this quarter as revenue exceeded expectations. Adult and college student test prep revenue grew about 29.1% year-over-year, and new education business initiatives rose about 24.8%, leading the growth. Extracurricular tutoring recorded about 1.07 million enrollments across roughly 60 cities.
On the profitability side, adjusted operating income climbed 34.7% YoY to $110 million, while GAAP operating income swung to a profit of $85.8 million from an operating loss a year earlier. Deferred revenue, a prepayment indicator, reached $2.243 billion, up 14.8% YoY, leaving ample room for future revenue recognition. For fiscal 2027, the company set a fresh cash dividend of roughly $300 million and a buyback authorization of up to $200 million, reaffirming its commitment to shareholder returns.
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What Fell Short

Adjusted net income decline: Adjusted net income of $87.8 million, down 10.5% YoY
Overseas segment slowdown: Overseas test prep and consulting revenue grew only about 3.6%
One-time charges: Restructuring costs tied to internal reorganization weighed on quarterly earnings
While revenue and adjusted EPS topped expectations, adjusted net income and adjusted diluted EPS ($0.55) — which better reflect the quality of per-share results — came in below the year-ago quarter ($0.61). Last year included a $60.3 million goodwill impairment, whereas this quarter had none, making GAAP net income appear sharply higher; on an adjusted basis, however, profitability gains lagged the top-line expansion.
In the business mix, domestic adult and college test prep and new education initiatives posted double-digit growth, while overseas test prep and study abroad consulting stayed in the low single digits, remaining a relative weak spot. The CFO attributed the adjusted operating margin expansion to internal restructuring one-time charges, but noted that margin volatility could persist until the cost structure stabilizes. The company provided only a fiscal 2027 revenue guide without an EPS outlook, leaving earnings expectations more dependent on subsequent results.
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What Management Said

"We are pleased to close the final quarter of fiscal year 2026 on a solid footing, with revenue growth continuing at 23.0%." — Michael Yu, Executive Chairman

"Despite the one-time costs from this quarter's internal management restructuring, we delivered an adjusted operating margin expansion compared with the prior-year period." — Stephen Zhihui Yang, CFO and Executive President

Management framed fiscal 2026 as a strong finish on the back of solid revenue growth, with emphasis on elevating the quality of core education, improving cost and operational efficiency, and expanding customer lifetime value. The Executive Chairman stressed the effectiveness of the core education strategy. The CEO identified the integration of online and offline education and the adoption of artificial intelligence as central organizational priorities, and said East Buy (live commerce) would be driven by channel and own-brand strengthening to sustain medium- and long-term growth. The CFO noted that adjusted operating margin expanded YoY even after restructuring one-time charges, signaling continued focus on fixed-cost reduction and efficiency improvements in the new fiscal year. With revenue guidance pointing to continued double-digit growth, the market is focused on whether the company can sustain its top-line momentum while improving margins simultaneously.
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Market Reaction and Key Forward Points

The market appears to have taken in stride the beat on both revenue and adjusted EPS, the fiscal 2027 double-digit revenue guide, and the reaffirmation of shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks. However, the YoY decline in adjusted net income, sluggish growth in the overseas test prep and study abroad segment, and restructuring costs have capped expectations, making the rally more of a measured relief bounce than a sharp surge.
It will be important to track quarter by quarter how close fiscal 2027 revenue comes to the midpoint or upper end of guidance.
Investors should monitor whether adjusted operating margin expansion persists beyond the dissipation of one-time costs.
Watch for a recovery in overseas test prep and study abroad consulting growth, alongside shifts in revenue contribution from East Buy and new education initiatives.
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