Prediction markets see roughly even odds on August payrolls exceeding 50,000
- 1After July's job decline, prediction-market traders expect a rebound in August employment
- 2Kalshi puts the odds of exceeding 50,000 at 50%, Polymarket at 48%, below the 53,000 consensus
- 3Following two straight months of overestimation in June and July, Kalshi sees roughly 25% odds each for job losses and for exceeding 80,000
This 3-line summary is compiled from the report below.
CNBC View original ↗
오늘의 AI 픽 5종목, 무료로 전부 공개합니다숨기는 것 없이, 지난 픽의 성적표(S&P500 대비)까지 그대로 보여드립니다