ROBT 주가 전망 및 ETF 분석 - 배당·운용보수·보유종목·NAV·RSI·MACD

ROBT

First Trust Nasdaq Artificial Intelligence and Robotics ETF

7월 28일 2:55 PM ET (한국 7/29 03:55)

$53.80

+0.92 ▲ +1.73%

ROBT ETF is analyzed across 10 metrics including expense ratio, holdings, sector allocation, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

Total Expense Ratio

0.65%

Annual operating cost

Net Assets (AUM)

$693M

약 9499억원

Holdings

121 items

Dividend Yield

0.02%

Management Style

Passive

Category ⓘ	Global or ExUS Equities - Factor & Thematic	Asset Type ⓘ	Equities (Stocks)	Return% 1Y ⓘ	2.95%	Total Holdings ⓘ	121	Perf Week ⓘ	0.17%
ETF Type ⓘ	Global Equities	Active/Passive ⓘ	Passive	Return% 3Y ⓘ	3.95%	AUM ⓘ	$693M	Perf Month ⓘ	0.24%
Expense ⓘ	0.65%	NAV ⓘ	$52.93	Return% 5Y ⓘ	0.61%	52W High ⓘ	-10.99%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	4.79%
Dividend TTM ⓘ	$0.01 (0.02%)	Div Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	112.49% 16.35%	Return% 10Y ⓘ	-	52W Low ⓘ	22.24%	Perf Half Y ⓘ	-0.31%
Flows% 1M ⓘ	0.81%	Flows% YTD ⓘ	1.33%	Return% SI ⓘ	7.26%	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	1.45% 1.7%	Perf YTD ⓘ	3.73%
SMA20 ⓘ	-2.3%	SMA50 ⓘ	-3.03%	SMA200 ⓘ	2.02%	RSI (14) ⓘ	44.77	Beta ⓘ	1.28
IPO ⓘ	2018/2/22	Prev Close ⓘ	$52.88	Perf Year ⓘ	5.16%	Avg Volume ⓘ	0.05M	Price ⓘ	$53.8

📊 First Trust Nasdaq Artificial Intelligence and Robotics ETF (ROBT) Investment Analysis

ETF Overview

First Trust Nasdaq Artificial Intelligence and Robotics ETF · Global or ExUS Equities - Factor & Thematic

테마형 — AI·로봇·블록체인 등 비-GICS 테마 ETF

2018년 상장, 8년 운영 중.

First Trust Nasdaq Artificial Intelligence and Robotics ETF는 수수료 차감 전 기준으로 Nasdaq CTA Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Index(지수)의 가격 및 수익률과 대체로 일치하는 투자 성과를 추구합니다. 이 ETF는 정상적으로 순자산(투자 차입금 포함)의 최소 90%를 지수 구성 보통주 및 예탁증권에 투자합니다. 지수는 기술·산업 및 기타 경제 섹터의 인공지능(AI) 및 로봇 세그먼트에 관여하는 기업의 성과를 추종하도록 설계되었습니다.

📘 ROBT ETF 자세히 알아보기 →

GlobalequitytechnologyGlobal

규모: $693M 약 9499억원
운용사: First Trust
운용 방식: 패시브 (지수 추종)
상장일: 2018년

Cost Efficiency

Annual Expense Ratio · Category Rank · Long-Term Cost Impact

Average expense ratio — 0.65% annually

Mid-range within the Global or ExUS Equities - Factor & Thematic category.

Effective Annual Expense Ratio (Net Expense Ratio)

평균권

0.65%

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Actual Cost Simulation by Investment Amount

$100.0M

Annual Expense Ratio

$650K

Pay $100K more per year vs. category average

Category Median Annual Cost

$550K

Based on expense ratio of 0.55%

10-Year Cumulative Expense Ratio (Long-term simulation assuming 7% annual market growth)

$11.6M

12.0% of returns you could have earned goes to the fund manager due to fees

💡 Because the expense ratio takes a slice of your assets every year, costs compound over 10 years and result in far greater losses than a simple sum (annual fee × 10). The 7% annual return assumption is based on the S&P 500's long-term average.

Defaults shown against $100K baseline portfolio. Adjust the slider to update the amount in real time.

Cheaper alternatives in the same category

KLMN

Invesco MSCI North America Climate ETF

0.09%

-0.56%p annually

FINA

Fidelity MSCI North American Subset Index ETF

0.09%

-0.56%p annually

VSGX

Vanguard ESG International Stock ETF

0.10%

-0.55%p annually

* A lower fee does not necessarily mean a better ETF. Consider the tracked index, liquidity, and tax treatment as well.

Long-Term Performance

1-year · 3-year · 5-year · 10-year returns · vs. benchmark · drawdown defense

Returns slightly below average

하위 25% vs. Global or ExUS Equities - Factor & Thematic.-14.9%p vs. benchmark (SPY) over 1Y.

ℹ️ The "1Y·3Y·5Y·10Y" periods below represent annualized returns (CAGR) measured backward from today. Example: "3Y +12%" means the investment grew at a compounded 12% per year over the past three years.

If you had invested 5 year(s) ago

$100.0M

Today's value

$103.1M

→

Total gain

+$3.1M

Annualized +0.6%

1 Year

2025.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +2.95%

하위 25%

Trailed the benchmark by 14.9%p annually

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

3 Years

2023.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +3.95% Cumulative +12.3%

하위 25%

Trailed the benchmark by 15.1%p annually

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

5 Years

2021.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +0.61% Cumulative +3.1%

하위 25%

Trailed the benchmark by 12.3%p annually

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

10Y

2016.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2018/2 — under 10 years

8Y Cumulative Total Return Curve

2018-03-05 start, based on a 100M KRW base — read the curve values directly as units of 100M KRW (e.g., 308 → 3.08억 / 308M KRW). Both this ETF and the benchmark are rebased to 100 on the same start date for comparison.

ROBT · Price Only ROBT · Price + Cumulative Dividends ROBT · Dividend Reinvested S&P 500 (SPY)

150

250

350

ℹ️ Price Only: Excludes dividends and tracks pure stock price only. Covered-call and high-dividend ETFs often show a flat or declining line on this view, which is meaningful from a "principal preservation" standpoint. Price + Cumulative Dividend: Share count stays the same and received dividends are accumulated as cash. Closely matches your actual account total assets. Reinvested: Dividends are immediately used to buy additional shares (adjClose-based, the industry standard for total return). The wider the gap between the three lines, the easier it is to gauge the effectiveness of the dividend strategy.

Annual Return Comparison

ETF returns vs S&P 500 (SPY) by calendar year

ROBT S&P 500 (SPY)

+50%

−50%

-14%

2018

+34%

2019

+44%

2020

+10%

2021

-35%

2022

+27%

2023

+2%

2024

+15%

2025

+3%

2026 YTD

ℹ️ Returns from January 1 to December 31 of each year. The current year (2026) column is dimmed to indicate YTD (incomplete). If blue is higher than gray, the ETF outperformed the benchmark in that year.

Win rate vs S&P 500 (SPY)

3 / 8Y

Lags behind benchmark (38%)

+ 2026 YTD: Behind (2.6% vs 8.5%)

2018 ✗

2019 ✓

2020 ✓

2021 ✗

2022 ✗

2023 ✓

2024 ✗

2025 ✗

2026 ✗ YTD

ℹ️ Number of winning years versus S&P 500 (SPY) within a completed calendar year (1/1–12/31). The current year (YTD) is reported separately.

Downside Capture

⚠️ 168%

Falls more than the benchmark — vulnerable in drawdowns

<85% (Defend) 85~110% (Track) >110% (Lag)

ℹ️ Average % drop of this ETF when S&P 500 (SPY) is −1%. Based on daily returns over the past 3 years (only days where the benchmark is negative).

Risk Profile

Volatility · Beta · Max Drawdown · Sharpe · Drawdown Recovery History

Overall Risk Grade

Moderate Risk

Volatility is around market average. Be prepared for losses of roughly -30% to -40% in major downturns.

Beta (market sensitivity)

하위 25%

1.28

If the market rises +10% +12.8%

If the market falls -10% -12.8%

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

ℹ️ A beta of 1.0 moves in line with the market. Above 1 means it moves more than the market; below 1 means less.

Average daily range (last 1 month)

하위 25%

±1.70%

S&P 500 typically ±1.0~1.3% · Bond funds ±0.3% · Leveraged ETFs ±3% or more

Annual volatility trend (past 10 years)

ℹ️ This ETF's average daily price swing. 1% means "on average, moves about ±1% per day." The rolling curve below shows the annualized volatility (long-term standard measure) over time.

Max Drawdown · Past 10 years

-44.5%

Drawdown duration: 20 months

2021-02-12 → 2022-10-14

Recovered in about 3.6 years

2018-03-05 Worst -41% 2026-07-01

ℹ️ Maximum drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in the past. It represents the worst-case loss a long-term investor must psychologically endure.

Sharpe Ratio (Risk-Adjusted Return)

0.17

Weak — Low risk-adjusted returns

ℹ️ Annualized return minus the risk-free rate (3% annualized), divided by annualized volatility. A value above 1.0 is generally considered good risk-adjusted performance.

Estimated Monthly Maximum Loss (VaR 95%)

-8.9%

Historically, monthly losses exceeding this figure occurred only5%of the time.

ℹ️ A statistical estimate meaning "with 95% probability, monthly losses will not exceed this amount." The remaining 5% corresponds to crisis-level events such as financial crises or pandemics.

Dividend Analysis

Yield · Dividend history · After-tax income calculator

Pays dividends, but at a relatively low rate — 0.02% annually

Closer to a blend of growth and dividends.5-year dividend growth rate: +16.4%.

ℹ️ Dividends are a secondary source of performance; the main expected return comes from share-price appreciation.

배당수익률

0.02%

주당 배당

$0.01

연간 기준

5년 성장률

16.4%

지급 주기

—

최근 12개월 기준

💰 내가 $100K 투자한다면

연간 배당금 (세후) $16

5년 누적 (세후) $109

* 환율 1 가정, 배당소득세 15% 반영. 5년 누적은 배당 성장률 연 16.35% 가정.

* Qualified dividend middle-bracket approximation. Actual rate varies by total income.

Overall investment appeal

What this ETF fits best — strengths, weaknesses, and target investor profile

Warrants a closer look Several metrics show warning signs. Compare it with similar ETFs before deciding.

🎯 목적별 적합도

내가 이 ETF를 어떤 목적으로 활용할 수 있는지 확인하세요.

🌳

장기 보유

수년 이상 꾸준히 모아갈 때

낮음

💵

배당 인컴

매월·분기 현금흐름이 목적일 때

부적합

⚡

단기 트레이딩

며칠~몇 주 단기 방향성 매매

보통

🧩

포트폴리오 보조

자산 배분·헤지 용도

보통

👤

이런 분에게 어울려요

Investors with conviction in a specific sector or theme

✅ 강점

뚜렷한 강점이 드러나지 않아요.

⚠️ 약점·주의사항

📈Long-term returns trail the average
⚠️Volatility is above average
🎯Trails benchmark by -12.3%p annually

Portfolio Composition

What's actually inside — sector weights and top holdings

Technology 집중 테마 ETF

한 섹터에 집중된 게 이 상품의 설계 자체예요. 해당 섹터 전망을 확신할 때 유용해요.

ℹ️ 왜 구성을 봐야 하나요?

ETF의 실제 성과는 담고 있는 종목과 섹터에서 나와요. 이름이 "S&P 500"이라도 기술주 비중이 유난히 높을 수 있고, "배당주 ETF"라도 몇몇 대형주에 쏠려 있을 수 있어요. 라벨보다 실제 구성을 확인하는 게 중요해요.

🔬 집중도 한눈에 보기

총 보유종목

116개

상위 10개 비중

21.5%

최대 단일 종목

6.62%

집중도(HHI)

155

낮음 (분산)

🥧 섹터 비중

Technology

43.5%

Industrials

7.6%

Healthcare

7.0%

Consumer Cyclical

4.7%

Communication Services

2.1%

Energy

1.6%

Financial

1.5%

📋 상위 보유 종목 Top 10 Top 10이 전체의 21.5% 차지

티커 옆의 점 색상 = 섹터 구분 (섹터 차트와 동일 색상)

#1 - BOFA SECURITIES, INC.

6.62%

#2 NET Cloudflare Inc

1.88%

#3 PANW Palo Alto Networks Inc

1.69%

#4 PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc

1.67%

AI C3.ai Inc

1.66%

PATH UiPath Inc.

1.62%

DT Dynatrace Inc

1.61%

CCC CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc

1.61%

#9 IBM International Business Machines Corp.

1.58%

#10

OII Oceaneering International, Inc.

1.57%

Category Peers

Category: Global or ExUS Equities - Factor & Thematic

같은 카테고리 6종 중 AUM 6/6위 · 보수율 2/6위

카테고리: Global or ExUS Equities - Factor & Thematic

ℹ️ 왜 비교해야 하나요?

같은 카테고리 ETF끼리는 보수율·규모(AUM)·배당률을 비교해 볼 가치가 있어요. 보수율은 낮을수록 장기 수익에 유리하고, AUM이 크면 운용 안정성이 높아요. ▲ 표시는 ROBT보다 유리, ▼ 표시는 ROBT보다 불리를 뜻해요.

티커	ETF명	보수율	AUM	보유종목	배당률	YTD	1년
ROBT	First Trust Nasdaq Artificial Intelligence and Robotics ETF	0.65%	$693M	121	0.02%	+3.73%	+5.16%
GRID	First Trust NASDAQ Clean Edge Smart Grid Infrastructure Index Fund	0.56% ▲	$11.5B ▲	128	0.81% ▲	-	+21.87% ▲
BOTZ	Global X Funds Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF	0.68% ▼	$3.2B ▲	67	0.51% ▲	-	+0.03% ▼
TAN	Invesco Solar ETF	0.7% ▼	$1.5B ▲	46	-	-	+31.83% ▲
NASA	Tema Space Innovators ETF	0.75% ▼	$1.1B ▲	37	-	-	-
AIS	VistaShares Artificial Intelligence Supercycle ETF	0.75% ▼	$851M ▲	62	-	-	+125.89% ▲

AUM 내림차순 정렬 · ▲ ROBT보다 유리 · ▼ ROBT보다 불리

Leveraged & Covered Call ETFs on the Same Theme

ETFs that approach the same theme with a different strategy

24 ETFs tracking the same theme as ROBT using leveraged or covered call strategies (Leverage 8 · Inverse 8 · Covered Call 8)

Not direct derivatives of ROBT, but ETFs that cover the same theme via a different strategy.

ℹ️ Which ETFs are included?

Among ETFs whose theme (category or sector) overlaps with ROBT, some use special strategies. Leveraged ETFs aim for 2–3× the daily move, Inverse ETFs seek opposite-direction returns, and Covered Call ETFs generate monthly income from option premiums.

⚠️ Caution: Long-Term Holding

Leveraged and inverse ETFs track only the daily return. With high volatility, holding them for longer periods causes cumulative volatility decay—returns diverge further from the underlying index. They are meant for short-term trading.

📈 Leverage 8 ETFs that amplify the same theme by 2-3x (high volatility)