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7월 28일 · 실적분석
실적분석

Full Earnings Analysis of Zurn Elkay Water Solutions ($ZWS) for Q2 2026 — Revenue and EPS Both Beat, Full-Year Guidance Raised

ZWS Full Earnings Analysis of Zurn Elkay Water Solutions 실적 요약

Zurn Elkay Water Solutions ($ZWS) released its Q2 2026 results after the market close on July 28. Revenue came in at $491 million, beating the consensus estimate of $483.3 million and rising 10.5% year over year. Adjusted EPS landed at $0.50, exceeding the expected $0.47 by roughly 6%. Adjusted EBITDA reached $136 million, with a margin of 27.7%, a 1.2-percentage-point improvement from a year earlier. The company raised its full-year guidance, and since the release came after the regular trading session, the after-hours price reaction is still being confirmed.

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Earnings Scorecard

Revenue: $491 million (+10.5% year over year, +1.6% vs. estimate of $483.3 million) ✅ Beat
EPS (Earnings Per Share): $0.50 (+5.8% vs. estimate of $0.47) ✅ Beat
Guidance: Raised — Full-year adjusted EBITDA of $503 million to $513 million (margin improvement of approximately 1.4 percentage points vs. 2025), free cash flow of at least $350 million
Stock Reaction: Release came after the regular session, so the after-hours reaction is still being confirmed
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What Went Well

Double-Digit Growth: Core revenue grew 10% year over year, exceeding estimates
Margin Expansion: Adjusted EBITDA margin of 27.7%, up 1.2 percentage points from a year ago
Guidance Raise: Lifted the bar with full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $503 million to $513 million
This company is a water management specialist that makes plumbing valves, drainage products, water fountains, and water filtration systems for commercial and institutional buildings. It has a large weighting in markets with steady replacement demand, such as schools, hospitals, and airports, so its revenue tends to be relatively stable even when construction activity is bumpy. This quarter's revenue of $491 million is up 10.5% from $444.5 million a year ago, and the key point is that core revenue alone — excluding acquisition effects — still grew 10%. In other words, the business grew on its own rather than being fueled by acquisitions.
Profitability was even better. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $136 million, beating the consensus of $132.9 million, and the margin expanded from 26.5% to 27.7%. That signals profits grew faster than revenue, meaning cost management and product mix provided joint support. GAAP diluted EPS also jumped sharply, from $0.29 to $0.67.
Shareholder returns continued. The company bought back $50 million of stock in Q2 alone, bringing the year-to-date total to $100 million, and paid out $37 million in dividends. In parallel, it is working to broaden its product lineup through the acquisition of IntelliHot, a maker of gas and electric tankless water heaters (closing timing and the scale of its earnings impact have not been officially confirmed).
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What Was Disappointing

Cash Flow: The exact free cash flow figure for this quarter has not been officially confirmed
Uneven End-Market Temperatures: Commercial is expected to be flat, residential slightly down, so strength varies by market
Higher Bar: With guidance raised, the burden of clearing expectations again in the second half has grown
Cash flow is one item that needs more confirmation from this release. Given that the company has guided to at least $350 million in free cash flow for the full year, the key point to verify is whether the second half gets on that track. Beginner investors should build the habit of separately checking whether cash is actually coming in, apart from earnings metrics.
Demand is also uneven. In the picture the company laid out, institutional and municipal water segments show modest growth, commercial is flat, and residential is stepping back. This quarter's 10% growth is impressive, but where that strength came from and whether it persists into the second half are separate questions.
Finally, expectations themselves have risen. With a market cap of roughly $8.2 billion and full-year adjusted EBITDA in the neighborhood of $500 million, the company is already priced as a "good operator." The IntelliHot acquisition is roughly $37 million in annual revenue, not large enough to move the needle on results right away, so it will be worth watching how smoothly the integration goes.
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What the Company Said

"Q2 and the first half were both solid, and we are raising our full-year guidance." — Todd Adams, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer (CEO)

The company said core revenue grew 10% and adjusted EBITDA margin of 27.7% improved 120 basis points (1.2 percentage points) versus the prior-year period.
Management's tone leans toward the calm-but-confident end. The fact that "raising guidance" was placed in the opening sentence of the earnings release is itself a signal that the company's view of second-half demand is brighter than it was three months ago. Particularly notable is that the company emphasized margin improvement alongside growth. When revenue rises but profitability stays flat, the market doesn't reward it — but this time the company highlighted that both moved together.
That said, the company is keeping a measured picture at the market level. Institutional and municipal water show modest growth, commercial is flat, and residential is slightly down. In other words, the story is closer to "the market wasn't great, but we won on share and cost" rather than "the end markets got better and we benefited." More detailed context is expected to be covered on the earnings conference call scheduled for July 29.
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Market Reaction and Key Things to Watch

The release came after the regular trading session, so the after-hours price reaction has not yet been confirmed. Looking purely at the content, the result lands closer to "good but not surprising." Revenue and EPS both beat and full-year guidance was raised, but the beat sizes were about 1.6% on revenue and 5.8% on EPS — solid outperformance rather than a true surprise. Given that the company has delivered stable results for several quarters in a row, it is natural to read this as already partly reflected in the stock.
Going forward, the direction of the stock looks likely to depend on whether the company actually delivers against the raised full-year targets.
Whether second-half free cash flow gets on track for the full-year minimum goal of $350 million
Whether the double-digit core revenue growth continues, or whether it reverts to the modest-growth pattern the company described
Whether adjusted EBITDA margin holds in the 27% range and settles into the $503 million to $513 million full-year band
How the progress of the IntelliHot acquisition is confirmed, along with the integration and earnings impact
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