SVIX 주가 전망 및 ETF 분석 - 배당·운용보수·보유종목·NAV·RSI·MACD

SVIX

-1x Short VIX Futures ETF

7월 28일 4:00 PM ET (한국 7/29 05:00)

$23.53

+0.19 ▲ +0.81%

🌙 7월 28일 6:36 PM ET (한국 7/29 07:36)

$23.47

-0.06 ▼ -0.25%

SVIX ETF is analyzed across 10 metrics including expense ratio, holdings, sector allocation, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

Total Expense Ratio

2.57%

Annual operating cost

Net Assets (AUM)

$178M

약 2436억원

Holdings

5 items

Dividend Yield

Management Style

Passive

Category ⓘ	Equity - Leveraged / Inverse	Asset Type ⓘ	Equities (Stocks)	Return% 1Y ⓘ	34.52%	Total Holdings ⓘ	5	Perf Week ⓘ	-3.53%
ETF Type ⓘ	US Equities	Active/Passive ⓘ	Passive	Return% 3Y ⓘ	-6.87%	AUM ⓘ	$178M	Perf Month ⓘ	4.58%
Expense ⓘ	2.57%	NAV ⓘ	$23.43	Return% 5Y ⓘ	-	52W High ⓘ	-6.52%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	23.84%
Dividend TTM ⓘ	-	Div Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	-	Return% 10Y ⓘ	-	52W Low ⓘ	66.53%	Perf Half Y ⓘ	-0.17%
Flows% 1M ⓘ	-12.62%	Flows% YTD ⓘ	-24.41%	Return% SI ⓘ	-	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	3.18% 3.34%	Perf YTD ⓘ	-2.89%
SMA20 ⓘ	-1.91%	SMA50 ⓘ	3.73%	SMA200 ⓘ	12.93%	RSI (14) ⓘ	50.68	Beta ⓘ	2.45
IPO ⓘ	2022/3/30	Prev Close ⓘ	$23.34	Perf Year ⓘ	31.09%	Avg Volume ⓘ	2.80M	Price ⓘ	$23.53

📊 -1x Short VIX Futures ETF (SVIX) Investment Analysis

ETF Overview

-1x Short VIX Futures ETF · Equity - Leveraged / Inverse

인버스형 — 지수 하락에 베팅 (단기 헤지용 · 고위험)

2022년 상장, 4년 운영 중.

1x Short VIX Futures ETF는 수수료 및 비용 차감 전 기준으로 Short VIX Futures 지수 일간 성과를 역(-1x)으로 추종하고자 합니다. 첫 번째 및 두 번째 월물 VIX 선물 계약 포트폴리오의 일간 하락으로부터 수익을 얻고자 하는 인버스 펀드로, 단기적인 변동성 매도 전략을 구사합니다.

📘 SVIX ETF 자세히 알아보기 →

U.S.futuresvolatility-indexvix

규모: $178M 약 2436억원
운용사: -
운용 방식: 패시브 (지수 추종)
상장일: 2022년

Cost Efficiency

Annual Expense Ratio · Category Rank · Long-Term Cost Impact

High-cost ETF — 2.57% annually

Costs are notably higher than the category average. Long-term holdings can erode returns.

Effective Annual Expense Ratio (Net Expense Ratio)

하위 5%

2.57%

My positionBottom 5%

Low range Average High range

Actual Cost Simulation by Investment Amount

$100.0M

Annual Expense Ratio

$2.6M

Pay $1.6M more per year vs. category average

Category Median Annual Cost

$970K

Based on expense ratio of 0.97%

10-Year Cumulative Expense Ratio (Long-term simulation assuming 7% annual market growth)

$42.5M

43.9% of returns you could have earned goes to the fund manager due to fees

💡 Because the expense ratio takes a slice of your assets every year, costs compound over 10 years and result in far greater losses than a simple sum (annual fee × 10). The 7% annual return assumption is based on the S&P 500's long-term average.

Defaults shown against $100K baseline portfolio. Adjust the slider to update the amount in real time.

Cheaper alternatives in the same category

TOPW

Roundhill Top WeeklyPay ETF

0.32%

-2.25%p annually

FNGU

MicroSectors FANG+ 3X Leveraged ETNs

0.35%

-2.22%p annually

SPDN

Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X ETF

0.48%

-2.09%p annually

* A lower fee does not necessarily mean a better ETF. Consider the tracked index, liquidity, and tax treatment as well.

Long-Term Performance

1-year · 3-year · 5-year · 10-year returns · vs. benchmark · drawdown defense

Insufficient return data

+16.7%p vs. benchmark (SPY) over 1Y.

ℹ️ The "1Y·3Y·5Y·10Y" periods below represent annualized returns (CAGR) measured backward from today. Example: "3Y +12%" means the investment grew at a compounded 12% per year over the past three years.

↩️ Inverse ETF — for short-term hedging only

These products bet on declines in the underlying index. By construction, "if the index rises, the ETF falls," so it is not unusual to see a negative annualized return (−). The daily reset mechanism causes significant compounding decay over longer holding periods. Long-term holding is not recommended outside of hedging or short-term trading purposes.

If you had invested 3 year(s) ago

$100.0M

Today's value

$80.8M

→

Total loss

$-19,226,517

Annualized -6.9%

1 Year

2025.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +34.52%

상위 25%

Outperformed the benchmark by 16.7%p annually

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

3 Years

2023.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized -6.87% Cumulative -19.2%

평균권

Trailed the benchmark by 26.1%p annually

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

5 Years

2021.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2022/3 — under 5 years

10Y

2016.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2022/3 — under 10 years

4Y Cumulative Total Return Curve

2022-03-30 start, based on a 100M KRW base — read the curve values directly as units of 100M KRW (e.g., 308 → 3.08억 / 308M KRW). Both this ETF and the benchmark are rebased to 100 on the same start date for comparison.

SVIX · Price Only SVIX · Price + Cumulative Dividends SVIX · Dividend Reinvested S&P 500 (SPY)

150

250

350

ℹ️ Price Only: Excludes dividends and tracks pure stock price only. Covered-call and high-dividend ETFs often show a flat or declining line on this view, which is meaningful from a "principal preservation" standpoint. Price + Cumulative Dividend: Share count stays the same and received dividends are accumulated as cash. Closely matches your actual account total assets. Reinvested: Dividends are immediately used to buy additional shares (adjClose-based, the industry standard for total return). The wider the gap between the three lines, the easier it is to gauge the effectiveness of the dividend strategy.

Annual Return Comparison

ETF returns vs S&P 500 (SPY) by calendar year

SVIX S&P 500 (SPY)

+160%

−160%

-1%

2022

+156%

2023

-33%

2024

-2%

2025

-5%

2026 YTD

💡 Inverse ETFs are the mirror image — positive returns in years the benchmark falls, losses in years it rises.

ℹ️ Returns from January 1 to December 31 of each year. The current year (2026) column is dimmed to indicate YTD (incomplete). If blue is higher than gray, the ETF outperformed the benchmark in that year.

Win rate vs S&P 500 (SPY)

2 / 4Y

Roughly even with benchmark (50%)

+ 2026 YTD: Behind (-4.6% vs 8.7%)

2022 ✓

2023 ✓

2024 ✗

2025 ✗

2026 ✗ YTD

💡 Inverses only win in down years — not suitable as a long-term win-rate metric.

ℹ️ Number of winning years versus S&P 500 (SPY) within a completed calendar year (1/1–12/31). The current year (YTD) is reported separately.

Downside Capture

⚠️ 380%

Falls more than the benchmark — vulnerable in drawdowns

<85% (Defend) 85~110% (Track) >110% (Lag)

💡 Inverses rise when the benchmark falls and fall when it rises — the usual interpretation of this metric is reversed.

ℹ️ Average % drop of this ETF when S&P 500 (SPY) is −1%. Based on daily returns over the past 3 years (only days where the benchmark is negative).

Risk Profile

Volatility · Beta · Max Drawdown · Sharpe · Drawdown Recovery History

Overall Risk Grade

High Risk

These products move opposite to the market. The longer you hold them, the more losses accumulate over time, making them suitable only for short-term hedging.

↩️ Inverse ETFs — Negative Beta is normal

Because they move opposite to the index, a negative Beta or one near −1 is expected. Volatility is similar to the underlying index. These are intended for short-term hedging and are unsuitable for long-term holding.

Beta (market sensitivity)

평균권

2.45

If the market rises +10% +24.5%

If the market falls -10% -24.5%

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

ℹ️ A beta of 1.0 moves in line with the market. Above 1 means it moves more than the market; below 1 means less.

Average daily range (last 1 month)

평균권

±3.34%

S&P 500 typically ±1.0~1.3% · Bond funds ±0.3% · Leveraged ETFs ±3% or more

Annual volatility trend (past 10 years)

ℹ️ This ETF's average daily price swing. 1% means "on average, moves about ±1% per day." The rolling curve below shows the annualized volatility (long-term standard measure) over time.

Max Drawdown · Past 10 years

-79.3%

Drawdown duration: 9 months

2024-07-12 → 2025-04-10

Still recovering

2022-03-30 Worst -75% 2026-07-01

ℹ️ Maximum drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in the past. It represents the worst-case loss a long-term investor must psychologically endure.

Sharpe Ratio (Risk-Adjusted Return)

0.13

Weak — Low risk-adjusted returns

ℹ️ Annualized return minus the risk-free rate (3% annualized), divided by annualized volatility. A value above 1.0 is generally considered good risk-adjusted performance.

Estimated Monthly Maximum Loss (VaR 95%)

-26.5%

Historically, monthly losses exceeding this figure occurred only5%of the time.

ℹ️ A statistical estimate meaning "with 95% probability, monthly losses will not exceed this amount." The remaining 5% corresponds to crisis-level events such as financial crises or pandemics.

Overall investment appeal

What this ETF fits best — strengths, weaknesses, and target investor profile

Designed for short-term trading Not recommended for long-term investing, but suitable for short-term trading and hedging.

⚠️ Short-term hedge that moves opposite to the market. Time decay causes losses to accumulate on long holds.

🎯 목적별 적합도

내가 이 ETF를 어떤 목적으로 활용할 수 있는지 확인하세요.

🌳

장기 보유

수년 이상 꾸준히 모아갈 때

부적합

💵

배당 인컴

매월·분기 현금흐름이 목적일 때

부적합

⚡

단기 트레이딩

며칠~몇 주 단기 방향성 매매

매우 적합

🧩

포트폴리오 보조

자산 배분·헤지 용도

매우 낮음

👤

이런 분에게 어울려요

For short-term hedging and downside bets

✅ 강점

🎯Outperforms benchmark by +16.7%p annually

⚠️ 약점·주의사항

💸Very high expense ratio — 2.57% annually
🔄Inverse — time decay losses accumulate the longer you hold

Category Peers

Category: Equity - Leveraged / Inverse

같은 카테고리 6종 중 AUM 6/6위 · 보수율 6/6위

카테고리: Equity - Leveraged / Inverse

ℹ️ 왜 비교해야 하나요?

같은 카테고리 ETF끼리는 보수율·규모(AUM)·배당률을 비교해 볼 가치가 있어요. 보수율은 낮을수록 장기 수익에 유리하고, AUM이 크면 운용 안정성이 높아요. ▲ 표시는 SVIX보다 유리, ▼ 표시는 SVIX보다 불리를 뜻해요.

티커	ETF명	보수율	AUM	보유종목	배당률	YTD	1년
SVIX	-1x Short VIX Futures ETF	2.57%	$178M	5	-	-2.89%	+31.09%
SQQQ	ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ -3x Shares	0.95% ▲	$2.1B ▲	22	8.59%	-	-48.55% ▼
SOXS	Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF	1% ▲	$1.6B ▲	13	36.06%	-	-95.65% ▼
SH	ProShares Short S&P500 -1x Shares	0.89% ▲	$930M ▲	18	4.16%	-	-13.67% ▼
PSQ	ProShares Short QQQ -1x Shares	0.95% ▲	$791M ▲	18	4.18%	-	-16.85% ▼
SPXU	ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500	0.9% ▲	$431M ▲	18	6.63%	-	-38.30% ▼

AUM 내림차순 정렬 · ▲ SVIX보다 유리 · ▼ SVIX보다 불리

Leveraged & Covered Call ETFs on the Same Theme

ETFs that approach the same theme with a different strategy

17 ETFs tracking the same theme as SVIX using leveraged or covered call strategies (Leverage 8 · Inverse 8 · Covered Call 1)

Not direct derivatives of SVIX, but ETFs that cover the same theme via a different strategy.

ℹ️ Which ETFs are included?

Among ETFs whose theme (category or sector) overlaps with SVIX, some use special strategies. Leveraged ETFs aim for 2–3× the daily move, Inverse ETFs seek opposite-direction returns, and Covered Call ETFs generate monthly income from option premiums.

⚠️ Caution: Long-Term Holding

Leveraged and inverse ETFs track only the daily return. With high volatility, holding them for longer periods causes cumulative volatility decay—returns diverge further from the underlying index. They are meant for short-term trading.

📈 Leverage 8 ETFs that amplify the same theme by 2-3x (high volatility)