FTGC 주가 전망 및 ETF 분석 - 배당·운용보수·보유종목·NAV·RSI·MACD

FTGC

First Trust Global Tactical Commodity Strategy Fund

7월 28일 4:00 PM ET (한국 7/29 05:00)

$28.70

-0.15 ▼ -0.52%

🌙 7월 28일 4:15 PM ET (한국 7/29 05:15)

$28.70

+0.00 +0.00%

FTGC ETF is analyzed across 10 metrics including expense ratio, holdings, sector allocation, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

Total Expense Ratio

0.98%

Annual operating cost

Net Assets (AUM)

$3.0B

약 4조원

Holdings

34 items

Dividend Yield

15.36%

Management Style

Active

Category ⓘ	Commodities & Metals - Diversified Commodities	Asset Type ⓘ	Commodities & Metals	Return% 1Y ⓘ	34.61%	Total Holdings ⓘ	34	Perf Week ⓘ	-1.75%
ETF Type ⓘ	Global Commodities & Metals	Active/Passive ⓘ	Active	Return% 3Y ⓘ	14.88%	AUM ⓘ	$3.0B	Perf Month ⓘ	6.65%
Expense ⓘ	0.98%	NAV ⓘ	$28.89	Return% 5Y ⓘ	13.88%	52W High ⓘ	-6.36%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	-1.61%
Dividend TTM ⓘ	$4.41 (15.36%)	Div Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	17.59% -	Return% 10Y ⓘ	7.73%	52W Low ⓘ	26.43%	Perf Half Y ⓘ	13.48%
Flows% 1M ⓘ	3.55%	Flows% YTD ⓘ	30.78%	Return% SI ⓘ	3.29%	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	0.64% 0.7%	Perf YTD ⓘ	23.55%
SMA20 ⓘ	1.03%	SMA50 ⓘ	1.01%	SMA200 ⓘ	6.13%	RSI (14) ⓘ	53.07	Beta ⓘ	0.18
IPO ⓘ	2013/10/23	Prev Close ⓘ	$28.85	Perf Year ⓘ	12.88%	Avg Volume ⓘ	0.83M	Price ⓘ	$28.7

📊 First Trust Global Tactical Commodity Strategy Fund (FTGC) Investment Analysis

ETF Overview

First Trust Global Tactical Commodity Strategy Fund · Commodities & Metals - Diversified Commodities

해외(선진국)형 — 미국 외 선진국 시장 노출

2013년 상장, 13년 운영 중.

First Trust Global Tactical Commodity Strategy Fund는 상대적으로 안정적인 위험 프로파일을 유지하면서 원자재 노출을 제공하여 총수익을 목표로 합니다. 이 ETF는 액티브 운용 방식이며, 매력적인 위험조정 수익을 추구하기 위해 케이맨 제도 법에 따라 설립된 완전자회사를 통해 원자재 선물 계약, 거래소 상장 원자재 연계 상품, 원자재 연계 총수익 스왑(통칭 '원자재 상품')에 투자합니다. 운용사는 해당 자회사에 투자하는 방식으로만 이들 투자에 노출되기를 기대합니다.

📘 FTGC ETF 자세히 알아보기 →

Globalfuturescommoditytactical

규모: $3.0B 약 4조원
운용사: First Trust
운용 방식: 액티브 (운용사 재량)
상장일: 2013년

Cost Efficiency

Annual Expense Ratio · Category Rank · Long-Term Cost Impact

Above-average cost — 0.98% annually

Expense ratio is higher than the Commodities & Metals - Diversified Commodities median. Compare against similar ETFs.

Effective Annual Expense Ratio (Net Expense Ratio)

하위 25%

0.98%

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

Actual Cost Simulation by Investment Amount

$100.0M

Annual Expense Ratio

$980K

Pay $330K more per year vs. category average

Category Median Annual Cost

$650K

Based on expense ratio of 0.65%

10-Year Cumulative Expense Ratio (Long-term simulation assuming 7% annual market growth)

$17.3M

17.9% of returns you could have earned goes to the fund manager due to fees

💡 Because the expense ratio takes a slice of your assets every year, costs compound over 10 years and result in far greater losses than a simple sum (annual fee × 10). The 7% annual return assumption is based on the S&P 500's long-term average.

Defaults shown against $100K baseline portfolio. Adjust the slider to update the amount in real time.

Cheaper alternatives in the same category

COMB

GraniteShares Bloomberg Commodity Broad Strategy No K-1 ETF

0.25%

-0.73%p annually

BCI

abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy K-1 Free ETF

0.26%

-0.72%p annually

CERY

State Street SPDR Bloomberg Enhanced Roll Yld Comdty Straty No K-1 ETF

0.28%

-0.70%p annually

* A lower fee does not necessarily mean a better ETF. Consider the tracked index, liquidity, and tax treatment as well.

Long-Term Performance

1-year · 3-year · 5-year · 10-year returns · vs. benchmark · drawdown defense

Upper-tier returns in its category

상위 25% within Commodities & Metals - Diversified Commodities.+16.8%p vs. benchmark (SPY) over 1Y.

ℹ️ The "1Y·3Y·5Y·10Y" periods below represent annualized returns (CAGR) measured backward from today. Example: "3Y +12%" means the investment grew at a compounded 12% per year over the past three years.

If you had invested 10 year(s) ago

$100.0M

Today's value

$210.6M

→

Total gain

+$110.6M

Annualized +7.7%

ℹ️ How to read the return breakdown bar

Each period bar shows the share of this ETF's returns by source.

Price gains Price decline Dividends received

Mostly blue (80%+): Growth-style — price gains drive most returns
Mostly orange (70%+): Income-style — dividends drive most returns (watch out for after-tax drag)
Red + orange: Stagnant or declining price — dividends offset losses (common in covered-call and high-dividend funds)

1 Year

2025.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +34.61%

평균권

Price +12.88% + Dividend +21.73% = Total +34.61%/yr

Outperformed the benchmark by 16.8%p annually

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

3 Years

2023.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +14.88% Cumulative +51.6%

평균권

Price +5.50% + Dividend +9.38% = Total +14.88%/yr

Trailed the benchmark by 4.4%p annually

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

5 Years

2021.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +13.88% Cumulative +91.5%

상위 25%

Price +3.72% + Dividend +10.16% = Total +13.88%/yr

Outperformed the benchmark by 0.7%p annually

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

10Y

2016.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +7.73% Cumulative +110.6%

평균권

Price +3.28% + Dividend +4.45% = Total +7.73%/yr

Trailed the benchmark by 7.2%p annually

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

10Y Cumulative Total Return Curve

2016-07-28 start, based on a 100M KRW base — read the curve values directly as units of 100M KRW (e.g., 308 → 3.08억 / 308M KRW). Both this ETF and the benchmark are rebased to 100 on the same start date for comparison.

FTGC · Price Only FTGC · Price + Cumulative Dividends FTGC · Dividend Reinvested S&P 500 (SPY)

150

250

350

450

ℹ️ Price Only: Excludes dividends and tracks pure stock price only. Covered-call and high-dividend ETFs often show a flat or declining line on this view, which is meaningful from a "principal preservation" standpoint. Price + Cumulative Dividend: Share count stays the same and received dividends are accumulated as cash. Closely matches your actual account total assets. Reinvested: Dividends are immediately used to buy additional shares (adjClose-based, the industry standard for total return). The wider the gap between the three lines, the easier it is to gauge the effectiveness of the dividend strategy.

Annual Return Comparison

ETF returns vs S&P 500 (SPY) by calendar year

FTGC S&P 500 (SPY)

+40%

−40%

+3%

2017

-13%

2018

+6%

2019

+2%

2020

+28%

2021

+17%

2022

-3%

2023

+10%

2024

+14%

2025

+25%

2026 YTD

ℹ️ Returns from January 1 to December 31 of each year. The current year (2026) column is dimmed to indicate YTD (incomplete). If blue is higher than gray, the ETF outperformed the benchmark in that year.

Win rate vs S&P 500 (SPY)

1 / 9Y

Lags behind benchmark (11%)

+ 2026 YTD: Ahead (25.4% vs 8.7%)

2017 ✗

2018 ✗

2019 ✗

2020 ✗

2021 ✗

2022 ✓

2023 ✗

2024 ✗

2025 ✗

2026 ✓ YTD

ℹ️ Number of winning years versus S&P 500 (SPY) within a completed calendar year (1/1–12/31). The current year (YTD) is reported separately.

Downside Capture

🛡️ 1%

Falls less than the benchmark in drawdowns — strong downside protection

<85% (Defend) 85~110% (Track) >110% (Lag)

ℹ️ Average % drop of this ETF when S&P 500 (SPY) is −1%. Based on daily returns over the past 3 years (only days where the benchmark is negative).

Risk Profile

Volatility · Beta · Max Drawdown · Sharpe · Drawdown Recovery History

Overall Risk Grade

Low Risk

Less volatile than the market average, making it relatively easy to hold over time.

Beta (market sensitivity)

하위 25%

0.18

If the market rises +10% +1.8%

If the market falls -10% -1.8%

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

ℹ️ A beta of 1.0 moves in line with the market. Above 1 means it moves more than the market; below 1 means less.

Average daily range (last 1 month)

평균권

±0.70%

S&P 500 typically ±1.0~1.3% · Bond funds ±0.3% · Leveraged ETFs ±3% or more

Annual volatility trend (past 10 years)

ℹ️ This ETF's average daily price swing. 1% means "on average, moves about ±1% per day." The rolling curve below shows the annualized volatility (long-term standard measure) over time.

Max Drawdown · Past 10 years

-38.9%

Drawdown duration: 56 months

2015-08-10 → 2020-03-23

Recovered in about 1.0 years

2015-07-31 Worst -37% 2026-07-01

ℹ️ Maximum drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in the past. It represents the worst-case loss a long-term investor must psychologically endure.

Sharpe Ratio (Risk-Adjusted Return)

0.22

Weak — Low risk-adjusted returns

ℹ️ Annualized return minus the risk-free rate (3% annualized), divided by annualized volatility. A value above 1.0 is generally considered good risk-adjusted performance.

Estimated Monthly Maximum Loss (VaR 95%)

-5.4%

Historically, monthly losses exceeding this figure occurred only5%of the time.

ℹ️ A statistical estimate meaning "with 95% probability, monthly losses will not exceed this amount." The remaining 5% corresponds to crisis-level events such as financial crises or pandemics.

Dividend Analysis

Yield · Dividend history · After-tax income calculator

Dividend-paying ETF — 15.36% annually

An ETF that provides consistent dividend income.

배당수익률

15.36%

주당 배당

$4.41

연간 기준

5년 성장률

지급 주기

분기배당

3월 · 9월 · 12월

📊 총 이력 2017~2026 (20건)

연도별 배당 총액 추이

주당 배당금을 연 단위로 합산한 금액입니다. 막대가 우상향이면 매년 배당이 늘어나고 있다는 뜻입니다.

$0.25

2017

$0.14 -42.4%

2018

$0.15 +6.9%

2019

$1.66 +979.2%

2021

$2.54 +52.5%

2022

$0.75 -70.5%

2023

$0.73 -2.3%

2024

$4.12 +463.1%

2025

$X.XX 그 해 총 배당금 +X% 전년 대비 증가 -X% 감소

최근 배당 이력 총 20건

아래로 스크롤하면 과거 배당 이력을 볼 수 있습니다.

배당락일

주당 금액

지급일

당시 수익률

2026-03-26

$0.409

—

16.22%

2025-12-16

$3.67

—

18.96%

2025-09-25

$0.164

—

3.19%

2025-06-26

$0.151

—

3.47%

2025-03-27

$0.142

—

2.80%

2024-12-17

$0.185

—

3.10%

2024-09-26

$0.187

—

3.21%

2024-06-27

$0.196

—

3.17%

2024-03-21

$0.164

—

3.87%

2023-12-15

$0.212

—

14.52%

2023-09-22

$0.188

—

12.59%

2023-06-27

$0.189

—

12.67%

2023-03-24

$0.160

—

11.83%

2022-12-15

$2.53

—

17.48%

2022-06-24

$0.007

—

6.08%

2021-12-23

$1.66

—

7.24%

2019-12-13

$0.154

—

1.55%

2018-12-18

$0.134

—

2.16%

2018-03-22

$0.010

—

1.26%

2017-12-21

$0.250

—

1.24%

* "배당락일"은 배당받으려면 이 날 이전에 주식을 보유해야 하는 기준일입니다. 지급일·당시 수익률은 일부 종목에서 데이터가 없을 수 있습니다.

💰 내가 $100K 투자한다면

연간 배당금 (세후) $13K

5년 누적 (세후) $65K

* 환율 1 가정, 배당소득세 15% 반영. 5년 누적은 배당 성장률 연 0% 가정.

* Qualified dividend middle-bracket approximation. Actual rate varies by total income.

Overall investment appeal

What this ETF fits best — strengths, weaknesses, and target investor profile

Strengths and weaknesses both present Check the fit below to see whether it matches your investing goal.

🎯 목적별 적합도

내가 이 ETF를 어떤 목적으로 활용할 수 있는지 확인하세요.

🌳

장기 보유

수년 이상 꾸준히 모아갈 때

매우 적합

💵

배당 인컴

매월·분기 현금흐름이 목적일 때

보통

⚡

단기 트레이딩

며칠~몇 주 단기 방향성 매매

낮음

🧩

포트폴리오 보조

자산 배분·헤지 용도

보통

👤

이런 분에게 어울려요

Globally diversified investors

✅ 강점

📈Top-tier long-term returns

⚠️ 약점·주의사항

💸Expense ratio is somewhat high — 0.98% annually

Portfolio Composition

What's actually inside — sector weights and top holdings

상위 10종목이 101% 차지

소수 종목에 집중돼 개별 종목 변동에 크게 영향을 받을 수 있어요.

ℹ️ 왜 구성을 봐야 하나요?

ETF의 실제 성과는 담고 있는 종목과 섹터에서 나와요. 이름이 "S&P 500"이라도 기술주 비중이 유난히 높을 수 있고, "배당주 ETF"라도 몇몇 대형주에 쏠려 있을 수 있어요. 라벨보다 실제 구성을 확인하는 게 중요해요.

🔬 집중도 한눈에 보기

총 보유종목

42개

상위 10개 비중

101.3%

최대 단일 종목

28.71%

집중도(HHI)

1947

높음 (집중)

⚠️ 소수 종목·섹터에 집중되어 있어, 해당 종목/섹터가 흔들리면 ETF 전체가 크게 영향을 받아요.

🥧 섹터 비중

Communication Services

2.8%

📋 상위 보유 종목 Top 10 Top 10이 전체의 101.3% 차지

티커 옆의 점 색상 = 섹터 구분 (섹터 차트와 동일 색상)

#1 - Dreyfus Government Cash Management Funds

28.71%

CAF Morgan Stanley Institutional Liquidity Funds

28.71%

BNO United States Treasury Bills

7.91%

BNO United States Treasury Bills

7.89%

USLM United States Treasury Bills

7.88%

BNO United States Treasury Bills

6.12%

USLM United States Treasury Bills

5.90%

BNO United States Treasury Notes

5.90%

NYT NEW YORK MERCANTILE EXCHANGE, INC.

1.50%

#10 - BOARD OF TRADE OF THE CITY OF CHICAGO, INC.

0.82%

Leveraged & Covered Call ETFs on the Same Theme

ETFs that approach the same theme with a different strategy

17 ETFs tracking the same theme as FTGC using leveraged or covered call strategies (Leverage 8 · Inverse 8 · Covered Call 1)

Not direct derivatives of FTGC, but ETFs that cover the same theme via a different strategy.

ℹ️ Which ETFs are included?

Among ETFs whose theme (category or sector) overlaps with FTGC, some use special strategies. Leveraged ETFs aim for 2–3× the daily move, Inverse ETFs seek opposite-direction returns, and Covered Call ETFs generate monthly income from option premiums.

⚠️ Caution: Long-Term Holding

Leveraged and inverse ETFs track only the daily return. With high volatility, holding them for longer periods causes cumulative volatility decay—returns diverge further from the underlying index. They are meant for short-term trading.

📈 Leverage 8 ETFs that amplify the same theme by 2-3x (high volatility)