MSBT 주가 전망 및 ETF 분석 - 배당·운용보수·보유종목·NAV·RSI·MACD

MSBT

Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust

7월 28일 3:50 PM ET (한국 7/29 04:50)

$18.60

+0.21 ▲ +1.14%

MSBT ETF is analyzed across 10 metrics including expense ratio, holdings, sector allocation, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

Total Expense Ratio

0.14%

Annual operating cost

Net Assets (AUM)

$392M

약 5375억원

Holdings

1 items

Dividend Yield

Management Style

Passive

Category ⓘ	Other Asset Types - Multi-Asset / Other	Asset Type ⓘ	CryptoCurrency	Return% 1Y ⓘ	-	Total Holdings ⓘ	1	Perf Week ⓘ	-0.43%
ETF Type ⓘ	Global Cryptocurrency	Active/Passive ⓘ	Passive	Return% 3Y ⓘ	-	AUM ⓘ	$392M	Perf Month ⓘ	9.67%
Expense ⓘ	0.14%	NAV ⓘ	$18.39	Return% 5Y ⓘ	-	52W High ⓘ	-21.05%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	-16.48%
Dividend TTM ⓘ	-	Div Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	-	Return% 10Y ⓘ	-	52W Low ⓘ	11.81%	Perf Half Y ⓘ	-
Flows% 1M ⓘ	26.64%	Flows% YTD ⓘ	-	Return% SI ⓘ	-30.62%	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	1.42% 2.17%	Perf YTD ⓘ	-10.58%
SMA20 ⓘ	2.26%	SMA50 ⓘ	-2.27%	SMA200 ⓘ	-7.46%	RSI (14) ⓘ	51.23	Beta ⓘ	-
IPO ⓘ	2026/4/8	Prev Close ⓘ	$18.39	Perf Year ⓘ	-	Avg Volume ⓘ	0.55M	Price ⓘ	$18.6

📊 Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust (MSBT) Investment Analysis

ETF Overview

Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust · Other Asset Types - Multi-Asset / Other

암호화폐형 — 비트코인·이더리움 등 암호화폐 노출

Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust는 투자 목표 달성을 위해 비트코인을 직접 보유하고자 하는 신탁 상품입니다. 모건스탠리의 자회사가 후원하며, 투자자들이 복잡한 절차 없이 비트코인의 가치 변동에 참여할 수 있는 수단을 제공하고자 설계되었습니다.

📘 MSBT ETF 자세히 알아보기 →

Globalcryptocrypto-spotbitcoin

규모: $392M 약 5375억원
운용사: Morgan Stanley
운용 방식: 패시브 (지수 추종)
상장일: 2026년

Cost Efficiency

Annual Expense Ratio · Category Rank · Long-Term Cost Impact

Low-cost ETF — 0.14% annually

상위 25% within Other Asset Types - Multi-Asset / Other. For a ₩100M investment, roughly ₩140,000/year.

Effective Annual Expense Ratio (Net Expense Ratio)

상위 25%

0.14%

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

Actual Cost Simulation by Investment Amount

$100.0M

Annual Expense Ratio

$140K

Save $550K per year vs. category average

Category Median Annual Cost

$690K

Based on expense ratio of 0.69%

10-Year Cumulative Expense Ratio (Long-term simulation assuming 7% annual market growth)

$2.6M

2.6% of returns you could have earned goes to the fund manager due to fees

💡 Because the expense ratio takes a slice of your assets every year, costs compound over 10 years and result in far greater losses than a simple sum (annual fee × 10). The 7% annual return assumption is based on the S&P 500's long-term average.

Defaults shown against $100K baseline portfolio. Adjust the slider to update the amount in real time.

Long-Term Performance

1-year · 3-year · 5-year · 10-year returns · vs. benchmark · drawdown defense

Insufficient return data

₿ Crypto ETF — extreme volatility

Crypto price swings are far larger than those of traditional assets, and historical return volatility is very high. Set your portfolio allocation carefully based on your own risk tolerance.

Insufficient return data

This ETF is either too recently listed or does not yet have enough disclosed return data. Please refer to ETFs that have been operating for more than one year.

Risk Profile

Volatility · Beta · Max Drawdown · Sharpe · Drawdown Recovery History

Overall Risk Grade

High Risk

It's common for crypto to move 10–20% in a single day, and drawdowns of -50% or more have happened many times. Keep your position size cautious.

₿ Crypto ETFs — Extreme volatility

The inherent extreme volatility of crypto assets is fully reflected here. Beta conversion has limited meaning, and drawdowns exceeding -50% are common.

Average daily range (last 1 month)

평균권

±2.17%

S&P 500 typically ±1.0~1.3% · Bond funds ±0.3% · Leveraged ETFs ±3% or more

Annual volatility trend (past 10 years)

ℹ️ This ETF's average daily price swing. 1% means "on average, moves about ±1% per day." The rolling curve below shows the annualized volatility (long-term standard measure) over time.

Max Drawdown · Past 10 years

-33.1%

Drawdown duration: 3 months

2026-04-06 → 2026-06-30

Still recovering

2026-04-06 Worst -32% 2026-07-01

ℹ️ Maximum drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in the past. It represents the worst-case loss a long-term investor must psychologically endure.

Sharpe Ratio (Risk-Adjusted Return)

-1.34

Poor — Underperforms the risk-free rate

ℹ️ Annualized return minus the risk-free rate (3% annualized), divided by annualized volatility. A value above 1.0 is generally considered good risk-adjusted performance.

Overall investment appeal

What this ETF fits best — strengths, weaknesses, and target investor profile

Strengths and weaknesses both present Check the fit below to see whether it matches your investing goal.

💡 This product reflects the extreme volatility typical of crypto assets. Size your allocation carefully.

🎯 목적별 적합도

내가 이 ETF를 어떤 목적으로 활용할 수 있는지 확인하세요.

🌳

장기 보유

수년 이상 꾸준히 모아갈 때

낮음

💵

배당 인컴

매월·분기 현금흐름이 목적일 때

부적합

⚡

단기 트레이딩

며칠~몇 주 단기 방향성 매매

적합

🧩

포트폴리오 보조

자산 배분·헤지 용도

보통

👤

이런 분에게 어울려요

Investors seeking crypto exposure

✅ 강점

💸Low cost — 0.14% annually

⚠️ 약점·주의사항

특별한 약점이 보이지 않아요.

Category Peers

Category: Other Asset Types - Multi-Asset / Other

같은 카테고리 6종 중 AUM 6/6위 · 보수율 1/6위

카테고리: Other Asset Types - Multi-Asset / Other

ℹ️ 왜 비교해야 하나요?

같은 카테고리 ETF끼리는 보수율·규모(AUM)·배당률을 비교해 볼 가치가 있어요. 보수율은 낮을수록 장기 수익에 유리하고, AUM이 크면 운용 안정성이 높아요. ▲ 표시는 MSBT보다 유리, ▼ 표시는 MSBT보다 불리를 뜻해요.

티커	ETF명	보수율	AUM	보유종목	배당률	YTD	1년
MSBT	Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust	0.14%	$392M	1	-	-10.58%	-
IBIT	iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF	0.25% ▼	$47.2B ▲	2	-	-	-44.59%
FBTC	Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund	0.25% ▼	$11.1B ▲	3	-	-	-44.58%
GBTC	Grayscale Bitcoin Trust	1.5% ▼	$8.6B ▲	1	-	-	-45.27%
ETHA	iShares Ethereum Trust ETF	0.25% ▼	$5.4B ▲	2	-	-	-46.74%
BTC	Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF	0.15% ▼	$3.8B ▲	1	-	-	-44.52%

AUM 내림차순 정렬 · ▲ MSBT보다 유리 · ▼ MSBT보다 불리

Leveraged & Covered Call ETFs on the Same Theme

ETFs that approach the same theme with a different strategy

20 ETFs tracking the same theme as MSBT using leveraged or covered call strategies (Leverage 8 · Inverse 4 · Covered Call 8)

Not direct derivatives of MSBT, but ETFs that cover the same theme via a different strategy.

ℹ️ Which ETFs are included?

Among ETFs whose theme (category or sector) overlaps with MSBT, some use special strategies. Leveraged ETFs aim for 2–3× the daily move, Inverse ETFs seek opposite-direction returns, and Covered Call ETFs generate monthly income from option premiums.

⚠️ Caution: Long-Term Holding

Leveraged and inverse ETFs track only the daily return. With high volatility, holding them for longer periods causes cumulative volatility decay—returns diverge further from the underlying index. They are meant for short-term trading.

📈 Leverage 8 ETFs that amplify the same theme by 2-3x (high volatility)