에코펫롤(EC) 주가 전망 및 기업 분석 - PER·배당·실적·목표주가·RSI·MACD

Ecopetrol SA ADR

7월 27일 1:44 PM ET (한국 7/28 02:44)

$16.01

-0.32 ▼ -1.96%

에코펫롤(EC) is a Energy sector company, analyzed across 14 metrics on this page including P/E, EPS, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

시가총액

$32.9B

미드캡

P/E

14.6

저평가 구간

배당수익률

6.45%

52주 위치

82%

저점 +94% · 고점 -10%

애널리스트

보유

C+

Fundamental health

vs. Oil & Gas Integrated

수익성

Top 55%

성장

Top 55%

밸류에이션

Top 66%

재무 안정

Top 22%

Index ⓘ	-	P/E ⓘ	14.61	EPS (ttm) ⓘ	1.1	Insider Own ⓘ	-	Shs Outstand ⓘ	2.06B	Perf Week ⓘ	-0.5%
Market Cap ⓘ	32.91B	Forward P/E ⓘ	7.77	EPS next Y ⓘ	-10.9%	Insider Trans ⓘ	-	Shs Float ⓘ	2.06B	Perf Month ⓘ	9.73%
Enterprise Value ⓘ	65.55B	PEG ⓘ	0.52	EPS next Q ⓘ	0.83	Inst Own ⓘ	1.31%	Short Float ⓘ	0.39%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	10.95%
Income ⓘ	2.25B	P/S ⓘ	1.11	EPS this Y ⓘ	81.05%	Inst Trans ⓘ	-85.47%	Short Ratio ⓘ	2.66	Perf Half Y ⓘ	31.23%
Sales ⓘ	29.62B	P/B ⓘ	1.51	EPS next 5Y ⓘ	14.94%	ROA ⓘ	3%	Short Interest ⓘ	7.95M	Perf YTD ⓘ	59.78%
Book/sh ⓘ	10.6	P/C ⓘ	8.73	EPS past 3/5Y ⓘ	-34.25% 37.3%	ROE ⓘ	11.18%	52W High ⓘ	-9.8% ($17.75)	Perf Year ⓘ	86.16%
Cash/sh ⓘ	1.83	P/FCF ⓘ	7.2	Sales past 3/5Y ⓘ	-0.39% 15.88%	ROIC ⓘ	4.69%	52W Low ⓘ	93.71% ($8.27)	Perf 3Y ⓘ	48.3%
Dividend Est. ⓘ	$1.03 (6.45%)	EV/EBITDA ⓘ	6.12	EPS Y/Y TTM ⓘ	-33.61%	Gross Margin ⓘ	30.67%	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	3% 3.37%	Perf 5Y ⓘ	38.83%
Dividend TTM ⓘ	0.65	EV/Sales ⓘ	2.21	Sales Y/Y TTM ⓘ	-6.14%	Oper. Margin ⓘ	22.21%	ATR (14) ⓘ	0.57	Perf 10Y ⓘ	100.91%
Dividend Ex-Date ⓘ	2026/4/29	Quick Ratio ⓘ	1.02	EPS Q/Q ⓘ	4.65%	Profit Margin ⓘ	7.6%	RSI (14) ⓘ	54.87	Recom ⓘ	3.31
Dividend Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	-38.54% 48.5%	Current Ratio ⓘ	1.26	Sales Q/Q ⓘ	-0.93%	SMA20 ⓘ	3.48% ($15.47)	Beta ⓘ	0.49	Target Price ⓘ	$15.35
Payout ⓘ	59.9%	Debt/Eq ⓘ	1.36	Earnings ⓘ	2026/5/12	SMA50 ⓘ	5.27% ($15.21)	Rel Volume ⓘ	0.53	Prev Close ⓘ	$16.33
Employees ⓘ	-	LT Debt/Eq ⓘ	1.2	EPS/Sales Surpr. ⓘ	-10.17% -4.03%	SMA200 ⓘ	27.59% ($12.55)	Avg Volume(3M) ⓘ	2.99M	Price ⓘ	$16.01
IPO ⓘ	2008/9/18	Option/Short ⓘ	Yes/Yes			Trades ⓘ	10844	Volume ⓘ	1,579,572	Change ⓘ	-1.96%

Quarterly earnings trend Quarterly earnings data is not yet available — foreign-listed companies (ADRs) only file annual reports with the U.S., and recently listed companies may not have filed their first quarterly report.

📊 Ecopetrol SA ADR (EC) Investment Analysis

What kind of company is Ecopetrol SA ADR?

에코펫롤(EC) 성장주

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Top 436 by Market Cap — Large-Cap

A global integrated oil and gas company headquartered in Colombia. It spans the full spectrum of Colombia's hydrocarbons value chain—production, transportation, refining, petrochemicals, and gas distribution—and, through its power transmission and real-time electricity system subsidiary, also operates as a comprehensive South American energy infrastructure player.

Learn more about Ecopetrol SA ADR →

Market Cap

$32.9B

Approx. KRW 45.1 trillion

⚖️ 11% of Samsung Electronics

Market Cap Rank436

IPO2008/09/18

Current Price$16.01 ≈ 21,934원

NYSE · Colombia

Key Events

⏰ Upcoming events

🔔 Earnings release

The next release date has not been announced yet.

🎯 Ex-dividend date

No scheduled dividends

📜 Recent events

🔔 Earnings release 2026년 5월 12일 (화) · 장 마감 후 EPS -10.2% 매출 -4.0%

🎯 Ex-div 2026년 4월 29일 (수)

🔔 Earnings release 2026년 3월 16일 (월) · 장 마감 후 EPS +7.4% 매출 -22.0%

Is it profitable?

Financially sound but profitability is low

Losses or thin margins — early-stage growth or weakening competitiveness

Profitability — How efficiently it makes money

Operating Margin

Profit kept from selling products and services (higher is better)

22.2%

✓ 양호

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated Median 12.3% · Top 27%

💡 일반적으로 10% 이상이면 양호, 20% 이상이면 우수

Net Margin

Share of revenue left after taxes and interest are paid

7.6%

✓ 양호

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated Median 6.7% · Top 44%

💡 일반적으로 8% 이상이면 양호, 15% 이상이면 우수

Gross Margin

Profit after subtracting raw-material costs only (signals product competitiveness)

30.7%

✓ 양호

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated Median 20.0% · Top 31%

💡 제조업 30%, IT/소프트웨어 50% 이상이면 우수 (업종별 편차 큼)

ROE

Annual return earned on shareholders' equity (15%+ is strong)

11.2%

✓ 평균

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Energy 대형주 Median 14.3% · Bottom 30%

💡 일반적으로 15% 이상이면 우수 (단, 부채 레버리지 효과 주의)

ROA

Annual earnings relative to total company assets

3.0%

✓ 부진

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

Energy 대형주 Median 5.9% · Bottom 21%

💡 일반적으로 5% 이상이면 양호, 10% 이상이면 우수

ROIC

Return generated per dollar invested in the business

4.7%

✓ 부진

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

Energy 대형주 Median 8.4% · Bottom 23%

💡 자본비용(보통 8~10%)보다 높으면 가치 창출, 15% 이상이면 우수

Financial health — Debt & liquidity burden

Debt-to-Equity (D/E)

Debt relative to equity (lower is healthier)

1.36

✓ Average

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated Median 0.68

💡 일반적으로 1.0 이하면 건전, 1.5까지는 무난 (금융·유틸·REIT는 구조적으로 높음)

Current Ratio

Liquid assets available to cover liabilities due within a year

1.26

✓ 우수

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated Median 1.07

💡 1.5~3.0 적정, 1.0 미만이면 단기 유동성 주의

Quick Ratio

Liquid assets excluding inventory, available for immediate use

1.02

✓ 우수

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated Median 0.86

💡 1.0 이상이면 안전, 0.5 미만이면 주의

* Ratings reflect relative position vs. peer-group distribution (same sector & size) plus absolute guards (loss & risk thresholds).

What's the outlook?

Mixed Outlook

Positive and negative signals are mixed

애널리스트 목표가

$15.35

현재가 대비 -4.1%

💡 12개월 이내 도달을 전망하는 애널리스트 컨센서스 평균

예상 PER (Forward)

7.77배

💡 내년 예상 EPS 기준. 현재 PER과 비교해 이익 성장 반영 정도 확인

PEG (성장 반영 밸류)

0.52

저평가

💡 PEG < 1 — 성장 대비 저렴

내년 EPS 예상 성장률

-10.9%

💡 10% 이상이면 견조한 성장, 마이너스는 이익 감소 예상

5년 EPS 예상 연평균

+14.9%

💡 장기 성장 전망. 15% 이상이면 고성장 기업

⚠ 이 데이터는 애널리스트 추정치이며 실제 결과와 다를 수 있습니다. 투자 결정은 추가 검토와 함께 하세요.

Did earnings meet expectations?

Average Earnings Performance

Mixed beats and misses

예상 상회

예상 부합

예상 하회

50%

상회 비율

-1.4%

평균 서프라이즈

2026.05.12

하회

-10.2%

2026.03.16

상회

+7.4%

💡 예상보다 높은 실적을 자주 내는 기업은 실적 신뢰도가 높다고 평가됩니다. 단, 애널리스트 기대치가 낮게 설정되었을 수도 있으니 절대 수치도 함께 봐야 합니다.

Is it growing?

Average Growth

Mid-range within the industry

Top-Line Growth Only Revenue is growing while EPS is flat — a possible sign of weakening profitability

🔮 How much will it grow? (analyst forecasts)

This Year's EPS Outlook

Projected EPS growth rate for this year

+81.0%

우수

My positionTop 5%

Low range Average High range

성장주 대형주 Median 15.4% · Top tier

Next Year's EPS Outlook

Projected EPS growth rate for next year (analyst consensus)

-10.9%

매우 부진

My positionBottom 5%

Low range Average High range

성장주 대형주 Median 13.1% · Bottom tier

5-Year EPS CAGR Outlook

Projected average annual EPS growth over the next 5 years

+14.9%

양호

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

성장주 대형주 Median 14.9% · Top 50%

📊 How much has it grown? (actual results)

Past 3-Year EPS

Actual average annual EPS growth over the past 3 years

-34.3%

매우 부진

My positionBottom 5%

Low range Average High range

성장주 대형주 Median 9.2% · Bottom tier

Past 5-Year EPS

Actual average annual EPS growth over the past 5 years

+37.3%

우수

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

성장주 대형주 Median 13.8% · Top 10%

Past 5-Year Revenue

How much revenue grew over the past 5 years

+15.9%

우수

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

성장주 대형주 Median 10.3% · Top 25%

⚡ Short-term momentum

QoQ Revenue

Revenue change from the previous quarter (short-term momentum)

-0.9%

매우 부진

My positionBottom 5%

Low range Average High range

성장주 대형주 Median 11.2% · Bottom tier

* Forecast values are analyst consensus estimates. Ratings are determined by relative position vs. peer group of the same growth style and size.

New to investing terms? Look it up in the financial dictionary →

Has the stock risen over the long term?

Underperformed the market by 29%p over 5 years

EC +38.8% · S&P 500 +68.0%

Excess return vs. market (price-based, ex-dividends)

5-year basis

vs S&P 500

-29.1%p

behind the market

vs Energy (XLE)

-106.9%p

Significantly behind the sector average

1-year basis

vs S&P 500

+69.7%p

well ahead of the market

vs Energy (XLE)

+49.8%p

well ahead of the sector average

Rank among peers

5-year return Lowest among peers Based on 11 peers

1-year return Top 10% Based on 11 peers

Current position within 52-week range

Low (-93.7%p) High (-9.8%p)

Current price is 93.7% above the 52-week low and 9.8% below the 52-week high

Recent risk (last 120 trading days)

Max drawdown

-16.5%

Annualized volatility

44.7%

Technical Indicators

Bollinger Bands · MACD · RSI · Stochastics · Ichimoku 5-line · recent 136-day series

Price · Bollinger Bands · Ichimoku Cloud

close
BB Upper
BB Mid
BB Lower
Tenkan
Kijun
Cloud (SpanA/B)

Bollinger Bands are upper and lower channels showing the closing price range (20 days · 2σ). Touching the upper band = overheated; touching the lower band = oversold. Ichimoku Cloud shows trend direction and strength through colored areas. Prices above the cloud indicate an uptrend; prices below indicate a downtrend. About Bollinger Bands →

🟢

Current diagnosis · 2026-07-24

Uptrend zone

Current price $16.01 above the midline ($15.47). Normal upward flow. Inside the Ichimoku cloud (neutral).

MACD (12 · 26 · 9) Expand ▼

An indicator that uses the difference between the short-term EMA (12) and long-term EMA (26) to identify trend reversals. When MACD rises above the Signal line, it is a buy signal (golden cross); when it falls below, it is a sell signal (death cross). About MACD →

🟢

Current diagnosis · 2026-07-24

Bullish momentum holding

MACD 0.341 > Signal 0.270 in positive zone + Hist positive (+0.071). Trend in progress.

RSI(14) · Stochastics %K(14) Expand ▼

RSI measures short-term buying and selling pressure on a scale of 0–100. 30 or below = oversold (a rebound may be possible); 70 or above = overbought (a pullback may be possible). Stoch %K similarly measures short-term momentum strength. RSI · Learn more about Stochastics →

🟢

Current diagnosis · 2026-07-24

Bullish zone

RSI 54.9 (above the neutral level of 50). Buying pressure leads, supporting a steady rise. Stoch %K is also 62.1.

※ "Current diagnosis" is an automated interpretation based on standard thresholds and is for reference only. Make your own comprehensive judgment before trading.

Is it attractive at this price?

Cheaper than peers in its industry

Cheap on Vs. Earnings·Vs. Assets·Vs. Cash Flow, In line with peers on Vs. Sales

💡 How to read this — Compare against peers in the same industry to see what the price is cheap or expensive relative to. Example: cheap vs. earnings = stock price is low relative to what the company earns; expensive vs. assets = stock price is high relative to assets on the balance sheet.

💵 Vs. Earnings Cheap

🏢 Vs. Assets Cheap

🧾 Vs. Sales Mid-range

💧 Vs. Cash Flow Cheap

💵 Vs. Earnings

PER Price-to-Earnings Ratio

How expensive the price is vs. earnings — lower is cheaper

14.61x

✓ Cheap

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated median 16.06x · Around the industry average

💡 PER 15 이하 저평가, 25 이상이면 성장성 검증 필요 (적자 기업은 의미 없음)

💵 Vs. Earnings

Forward PER Forward Price-to-Earnings Ratio

PER using next year's estimated earnings — reflects growth

7.77x

✓ Very cheap

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated median 10.13x · Top 22% — relatively cheap within the industry

💡 향후 12개월 예상 EPS 기준 PER. 현재 PER보다 낮으면 이익 성장 중

🏢 Vs. Assets

PBR Price-to-Book Ratio

Price vs. the company's asset value — below 1 trades cheaper than assets

1.51x

✓ Cheap

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated median 1.76x · Around the industry average

💡 PBR 1 미만이면 청산가치 이하 (금융·제조업에서 특히 의미, IT는 낮은 비중)

🧾 Vs. Sales

PSR Price-to-Sales Ratio

Market cap vs. revenue — lower is cheaper relative to sales

1.11x

✓ Fair

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated median 1.09x · Around the industry average

💡 PSR 2 이하 저평가, 10 초과면 고평가 (고성장 기업일 때만 정당화)

💧 Vs. Cash Flow

EV/EBITDA Enterprise Value Multiple

Total enterprise value ÷ operating cash earnings — a benchmark for M&A

6.12x

✓ Cheap

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated median 6.66x · Around the industry average

💡 EV/EBITDA 10 이하 저평가, 20 이상이면 고평가 (M&A 밸류 기준)

💧 Vs. Cash Flow

P/FCF Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow Ratio

Price vs. actual cash generation — lower means more efficient

7.20x

✓ Very cheap

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated median 14.97x · Top 15% — relatively cheap within the industry

💡 P/FCF 20 이하면 현금창출 대비 저평가 (실질 수익성 기준)

Analyst target price (reference)

$15.35 vs. current price -4.1%

* Valuation is the stock's relative position within the industry peer group (same sector and market-cap range). Even when valuation looks attractive, check the 'Profitability' and 'Growth' sections too.

As of: Recent snapshot · Peer group: Oil & Gas Integrated

Who owns it?

Ownership flow shows some pressure

Institutional net selling -85.5% · Short interest light 0.4%

📈 Recent trading flow (6 months)

🧑‍💼 Insiders (executives & directors)

No trading data for Insiders

🏦 Institutions (funds & investors)

-85.5%

Institutions large net selling

💡 Net change over the past 6 months. Shows how much insiders and institutions increased or reduced their holdings, in %.

👥 Holdings composition

🏦 Institutions 1.3%

Retail-led

Energy 대형주 Median 72.1%

🧑‍💼 Insiders 0.0%

Low, common among large-caps

Energy 대형주 Median 0.5%

👤 Retail investors (estimated) 98.7%

Everyone excluding institutions and insiders

Institutions Insiders Retail (est.)

📉 Short-selling metrics

Short ratio

0.4%

Low — limited short-side pressure

Energy 대형주 Median 2.5%

Past 90 days Little change

Short interest days to cover

2.7 days

Days needed to close short positions using average trading volume

🧮 Share count

Total shares outstanding 2.06B주

Float (tradable shares) 2.06B주

* Insider/institutional flows are based on net changes over the past 6 months. Trend is cumulative over the past 90 days.

ETFs holding EC

ETFs with the highest weightings · 10 total shown

COLO

Global X MSCI Colombia ETF

8.11%

$198M

DVYE

iShares Emerging Markets Dividend ETF

1.65%

$1.2B

GVAL

Cambria Global Value ETF

1.12%

$578M

EPEM

Harbor Emerging Markets Equity ETF

0.84%

$8M

DIAL

Columbia Diversified Fixed Income Allocation ETF

0.76%

$386M

* Based on official quarterly filings. Latest disclosure; actual current weights may differ.

How much does it pay in dividends?

고배당주 — 연 6.45% 배당

지난 5년 평균 연 48.5% 배당 성장

Dividend Yield

6.45%

Industry average 3.39%

Dividend Per Share

$1.03

Annualized

Payout Ratio

60%

Share of net income paid as dividends

5-Year Growth

48.5%

Annualized dividend growth

📊 총 이력 2008~2025 (30건)

연도별 배당 총액 추이

주당 배당금을 연 단위로 합산한 금액입니다. 막대가 우상향이면 매년 배당이 늘어나고 있다는 뜻입니다.

$1.03 -60.9%

2015

$0.16 -84.4%

2017

$0.64 +295.7%

2018

$1.98 +210.7%

2019

$0.89 -54.8%

2020

$0.09 -89.6%

2021

$2.35 +2429.0%

2022

$2.48 +5.6%

2023

$1.60 -35.6%

2024

$0.99 -38.0%

2025

$X.XX 그 해 총 배당금 +X% 전년 대비 증가 -X% 감소

최근 배당 이력 총 30건

아래로 스크롤하면 과거 배당 이력을 볼 수 있습니다.

배당락일

주당 금액

지급일

당시 수익률

2025-04-28

$0.506

—

21.16%

2025-04-03

$0.486

—

21.84%

2024-06-25

$0.800

—

29.15%

2024-04-04

$0.800

—

27.07%

2023-12-19

$0.828

—

20.72%

2023-09-26

$0.828

—

14.56%

2023-04-25

$0.828

—

17.20%

2022-06-28

$0.861

—

20.49%

2022-04-19

$1.49

—

8.87%

2021-04-20

$0.093

—

7.93%

2020-04-21

$0.894

—

31.92%

2019-12-26

$0.535

—

9.76%

2019-04-23

$1.44

—

7.44%

2018-04-17

$0.637

—

3.78%

2017-04-25

$0.161

—

1.71%

2015-06-17

$1.03

—

7.92%

2014-04-22

$2.65

—

7.16%

2013-04-09

$3.21

—

13.02%

2012-04-19

$3.41

—

7.42%

2011-10-07

$0.538

—

4.79%

2011-07-08

$0.540

—

4.02%

2011-04-07

$0.524

—

3.58%

2010-11-30

$0.331

—

4.15%

2010-08-10

$0.305

—

5.36%

2010-04-12

$0.329

—

7.03%

2009-11-30

$0.704

—

6.59%

2009-08-12

$0.635

—

5.33%

2009-04-13

$0.297

—

4.48%

2008-11-28

$0.243

—

2.87%

2008-10-10

$0.262

—

1.46%

* "배당락일"은 배당받으려면 이 날 이전에 주식을 보유해야 하는 기준일입니다. 지급일·당시 수익률은 일부 종목에서 데이터가 없을 수 있습니다.

💰 내가 100만원 투자한다면

연간 배당금 (세후) 5.5만원

5년 누적 (세후) 70.1만원

* 환율 1,370원, 세금 15% 반영. 5년 누적은 배당 성장률 연 48.5% 가정.

Compare Industry Peers

💡 vs. sector average ▲ Favorable / ▼ Unfavorable (Lower PER and PBR are better; higher ROE and dividend yield are better)

Sorted by market cap, largest first

Stock	Market Cap	PER	PBR	ROE	Dividend Yield	Change
EC This Stock	$32.9B	14.6 ▲	1.5 ▲	11.18% ▲	6.45% ▲	-2.0%
XOM	$650.4B	26.5 ▼	2.6 ▼	9.79% ▲	2.65% ▼	+0.0%
CVX	$387.9B	33.8 ▼	2.1 ▼	6.61% ▼	3.66% ▲	+0.2%
SHEL	$246.4B	13.8 ▲	1.4 ▲	10.64% ▲	3.55% ▲	+0.5%
TTE	$193.3B	10.7 ▲	1.5 ▲	14.56% ▲	4.68% ▲	+0.7%
COP	$146.5B	20.4 ▼	2.3 ▼	11.25% ▲	2.83% ▼	+0.1%
Sector Avg	-	16.9	1.8	8.19%	3.39%	-

Derivative ETFs for EC

Leveraged, inverse, and covered call ETFs based on the underlying asset

24 derivative ETFs based on EC (Leverage 8 · Inverse 8 · Covered Call 8)

These are based on the same underlying asset but carry a completely different risk and return profile. Please review the warning below first.

ℹ️ What is a Derivative ETF?

These are special ETFs that amplify, reverse, or monetize the price movement of an underlying ETF or security. Leveraged ETFs aim for 2–3× the daily move, Inverse ETFs target opposite-direction returns, and Covered Call ETFs generate monthly income from option premiums.

⚠️ Caution: Long-Term Holding

Leveraged and inverse ETFs track only the daily return. With high volatility, holding them for longer periods causes cumulative volatility decay—returns diverge further from the underlying index. They are meant for short-term trading.

📈 Leverage 8 ETFs that move 2-3x with EC (high volatility)