BTCI 주가 전망 및 ETF 분석 - 배당·운용보수·보유종목·NAV·RSI·MACD

BTCI

NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF

7월 28일 4:00 PM ET (한국 7/29 05:00)

$28.26

-0.41 ▼ -1.43%

🌙 7월 28일 7:58 PM ET (한국 7/29 08:58)

$28.48

+0.22 ▲ +0.77%

BTCI ETF is analyzed across 10 metrics including expense ratio, holdings, sector allocation, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

Total Expense Ratio

0.99%

Annual operating cost

Net Assets (AUM)

$1.1B

약 2조원

Holdings

9 items

Dividend Yield

40.85%

Management Style

Active

Category ⓘ	Other Asset Types - Multi-Asset / Other	Asset Type ⓘ	CryptoCurrency	Return% 1Y ⓘ	-41.04%	Total Holdings ⓘ	9	Perf Week ⓘ	-5.1%
ETF Type ⓘ	Global Cryptocurrency	Active/Passive ⓘ	Active	Return% 3Y ⓘ	-	AUM ⓘ	$1.1B	Perf Month ⓘ	3.65%
Expense ⓘ	0.99%	NAV ⓘ	$28.76	Return% 5Y ⓘ	-	52W High ⓘ	-57.1%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	-21.04%
Dividend TTM ⓘ	$11.54 (40.85%)	Div Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	-	Return% 10Y ⓘ	-	52W Low ⓘ	6.56%	Perf Half Y ⓘ	-34.66%
Flows% 1M ⓘ	2.04%	Flows% YTD ⓘ	114.3%	Return% SI ⓘ	-1.97%	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	1.04% 1.7%	Perf YTD ⓘ	-35.8%
SMA20 ⓘ	-1.15%	SMA50 ⓘ	-6.38%	SMA200 ⓘ	-27.84%	RSI (14) ⓘ	43.12	Beta ⓘ	1.33
IPO ⓘ	2024/10/17	Prev Close ⓘ	$28.67	Perf Year ⓘ	-55.39%	Avg Volume ⓘ	0.73M	Price ⓘ	$28.26

📊 NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF (BTCI) Investment Analysis

ETF Overview

NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF · Other Asset Types - Multi-Asset / Other

암호화폐형 — 비트코인·이더리움 등 암호화폐 노출

2024년 상장, 2년 운영 중.

The NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF seeks to generate high monthly income along with the potential for capital appreciation based on exposure to exchange-traded products (ETPs) that provide direct exposure to bitcoin. Under normal circumstances, it invests at least 80% of its net assets in options on bitcoin spot ETPs and/or bitcoin futures ETFs. When determining compliance with the 80% investment policy, derivatives are valued at notional value. This ETF is a non-diversified fund.

📘 BTCI ETF 자세히 알아보기 →

futurescryptobitcoinoptions

규모: $1.1B 약 2조원
운용사: NEOS
운용 방식: 액티브 (운용사 재량)
상장일: 2024년

Cost Efficiency

Annual Expense Ratio · Category Rank · Long-Term Cost Impact

Above-average cost — 0.99% annually

Expense ratio is higher than the Other Asset Types - Multi-Asset / Other median. Compare against similar ETFs.

Effective Annual Expense Ratio (Net Expense Ratio)

하위 25%

0.99%

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

Actual Cost Simulation by Investment Amount

$100.0M

Annual Expense Ratio

$990K

Pay $300K more per year vs. category average

Category Median Annual Cost

$690K

Based on expense ratio of 0.69%

10-Year Cumulative Expense Ratio (Long-term simulation assuming 7% annual market growth)

$17.5M

18.1% of returns you could have earned goes to the fund manager due to fees

💡 Because the expense ratio takes a slice of your assets every year, costs compound over 10 years and result in far greater losses than a simple sum (annual fee × 10). The 7% annual return assumption is based on the S&P 500's long-term average.

Defaults shown against $100K baseline portfolio. Adjust the slider to update the amount in real time.

Cheaper alternatives in the same category

MSBT

Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust

0.14%

-0.85%p annually

BTC

Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF

0.15%

-0.84%p annually

ETH

Grayscale Ethereum Staking Mini ETF

0.15%

-0.84%p annually

* A lower fee does not necessarily mean a better ETF. Consider the tracked index, liquidity, and tax treatment as well.

Long-Term Performance

1-year · 3-year · 5-year · 10-year returns · vs. benchmark · drawdown defense

Insufficient return data

-58.8%p vs. benchmark (SPY) over 1Y.

ℹ️ The "1Y·3Y·5Y·10Y" periods below represent annualized returns (CAGR) measured backward from today. Example: "3Y +12%" means the investment grew at a compounded 12% per year over the past three years.

₿ Crypto ETF — extreme volatility

Crypto price swings are far larger than those of traditional assets, and historical return volatility is very high. Set your portfolio allocation carefully based on your own risk tolerance.

If you had invested 1 year(s) ago

$100.0M

Today's value

$59.0M

→

Total loss

$-41,040,000

Annualized -41.0%

ℹ️ How to read the return breakdown bar

Each period bar shows the share of this ETF's returns by source.

Price gains Price decline Dividends received

Mostly blue (80%+): Growth-style — price gains drive most returns
Mostly orange (70%+): Income-style — dividends drive most returns (watch out for after-tax drag)
Red + orange: Stagnant or declining price — dividends offset losses (common in covered-call and high-dividend funds)

1 Year

2025.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized -41.04%

평균권

Price -55.39% + Dividend +14.35% = Total -41.04%/yr

Trailed the benchmark by 58.8%p annually

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

3 Years

2023.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2024/10 — under 3 years

5 Years

2021.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2024/10 — under 5 years

10Y

2016.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2024/10 — under 10 years

2Y Cumulative Total Return Curve

2024-10-17 start, based on a 100M KRW base — read the curve values directly as units of 100M KRW (e.g., 308 → 3.08억 / 308M KRW). Both this ETF and the benchmark are rebased to 100 on the same start date for comparison.

BTCI · Price Only BTCI · Price + Cumulative Dividends BTCI · Dividend Reinvested S&P 500 (SPY)

100

150

200

ℹ️ Price Only: Excludes dividends and tracks pure stock price only. Covered-call and high-dividend ETFs often show a flat or declining line on this view, which is meaningful from a "principal preservation" standpoint. Price + Cumulative Dividend: Share count stays the same and received dividends are accumulated as cash. Closely matches your actual account total assets. Reinvested: Dividends are immediately used to buy additional shares (adjClose-based, the industry standard for total return). The wider the gap between the three lines, the easier it is to gauge the effectiveness of the dividend strategy.

Annual Return Comparison

ETF returns vs S&P 500 (SPY) by calendar year

BTCI S&P 500 (SPY)

+40%

−40%

+28%

2024

-5%

2025

-31%

2026 YTD

ℹ️ Returns from January 1 to December 31 of each year. The current year (2026) column is dimmed to indicate YTD (incomplete). If blue is higher than gray, the ETF outperformed the benchmark in that year.

Win rate vs S&P 500 (SPY)

—

Completed years: 2 — 3+ years of data are needed for a win rate to be shown.

2024 ✓

2025 ✗

2026 ✗ YTD

ℹ️ Number of winning years versus S&P 500 (SPY) within a completed calendar year (1/1–12/31). The current year (YTD) is reported separately.

Downside Capture

⚠️ 142%

Falls more than the benchmark — vulnerable in drawdowns

<85% (Defend) 85~110% (Track) >110% (Lag)

ℹ️ Average % drop of this ETF when S&P 500 (SPY) is −1%. Based on daily returns over the past 3 years (only days where the benchmark is negative).

Risk Profile

Volatility · Beta · Max Drawdown · Sharpe · Drawdown Recovery History

Overall Risk Grade

High Risk

It's common for crypto to move 10–20% in a single day, and drawdowns of -50% or more have happened many times. Keep your position size cautious.

₿ Crypto ETFs — Extreme volatility

The inherent extreme volatility of crypto assets is fully reflected here. Beta conversion has limited meaning, and drawdowns exceeding -50% are common.

Beta (market sensitivity)

평균권

1.33

If the market rises +10% +13.3%

If the market falls -10% -13.3%

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

ℹ️ A beta of 1.0 moves in line with the market. Above 1 means it moves more than the market; below 1 means less.

Average daily range (last 1 month)

평균권

±1.70%

S&P 500 typically ±1.0~1.3% · Bond funds ±0.3% · Leveraged ETFs ±3% or more

Annual volatility trend (past 10 years)

ℹ️ This ETF's average daily price swing. 1% means "on average, moves about ±1% per day." The rolling curve below shows the annualized volatility (long-term standard measure) over time.

Max Drawdown · Past 10 years

-50.6%

Drawdown duration: 9 months

2025-10-06 → 2026-06-30

Still recovering

2024-10-17 Worst -50% 2026-07-01

ℹ️ Maximum drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in the past. It represents the worst-case loss a long-term investor must psychologically endure.

Sharpe Ratio (Risk-Adjusted Return)

-0.23

Poor — Underperforms the risk-free rate

ℹ️ Annualized return minus the risk-free rate (3% annualized), divided by annualized volatility. A value above 1.0 is generally considered good risk-adjusted performance.

Dividend Analysis

Yield · Dividend history · After-tax income calculator

Dividend-paying ETF — 40.85% annually

An ETF that provides consistent dividend income.

배당수익률

40.85%

주당 배당

$11.54

연간 기준

5년 성장률

지급 주기

불규칙

1월 · 2월 · 3월 · 4월 · 8월 · 9월 · 10월 · 11월 · 12월

📊 총 이력 2024~2026 (19건)

연도별 배당 총액 추이

주당 배당금을 연 단위로 합산한 금액입니다. 막대가 우상향이면 매년 배당이 늘어나고 있다는 뜻입니다.

—

2021

—

2022

—

2023

$3.99

2024

$16.05 +302.2%

2025

$X.XX 그 해 총 배당금 +X% 전년 대비 증가 -X% 감소

최근 배당 이력 총 19건

아래로 스크롤하면 과거 배당 이력을 볼 수 있습니다.

배당락일

주당 금액

지급일

당시 수익률

2026-04-22

$0.798

—

41.64%

2026-03-18

$0.780

—

46.32%

2026-02-18

$0.761

—

50.03%

2026-01-21

$1.04

—

38.44%

2025-12-24

$0.997

—

39.90%

2025-11-26

$1.02

—

36.03%

2025-10-22

$1.30

—

32.67%

2025-09-24

$1.34

—

28.38%

2025-08-20

$1.42

—

25.38%

2025-07-23

$1.47

—

22.08%

2025-06-25

$1.40

—

20.92%

2025-05-21

$1.51

—

18.39%

2025-04-23

$1.26

—

17.67%

2025-03-26

$1.33

—

15.95%

2025-02-26

$1.43

—

13.54%

2025-01-22

$1.57

—

8.62%

2024-12-24

$1.46

—

6.44%

2024-11-20

$1.41

—

4.12%

2024-10-23

$1.13

—

2.34%

* "배당락일"은 배당받으려면 이 날 이전에 주식을 보유해야 하는 기준일입니다. 지급일·당시 수익률은 일부 종목에서 데이터가 없을 수 있습니다.

💰 내가 $100K 투자한다면

연간 배당금 (세후) $35K

5년 누적 (세후) $174K

* 환율 1 가정, 배당소득세 15% 반영. 5년 누적은 배당 성장률 연 0% 가정.

* Qualified dividend middle-bracket approximation. Actual rate varies by total income.

Overall investment appeal

What this ETF fits best — strengths, weaknesses, and target investor profile

Strengths and weaknesses both present Check the fit below to see whether it matches your investing goal.

💡 This product reflects the extreme volatility typical of crypto assets. Size your allocation carefully.

🎯 목적별 적합도

내가 이 ETF를 어떤 목적으로 활용할 수 있는지 확인하세요.

🌳

장기 보유

수년 이상 꾸준히 모아갈 때

낮음

💵

배당 인컴

매월·분기 현금흐름이 목적일 때

매우 낮음

⚡

단기 트레이딩

며칠~몇 주 단기 방향성 매매

적합

🧩

포트폴리오 보조

자산 배분·헤지 용도

보통

👤

이런 분에게 어울려요

Investors seeking crypto exposure

✅ 강점

뚜렷한 강점이 드러나지 않아요.

⚠️ 약점·주의사항

💸Expense ratio is somewhat high — 0.99% annually
🎯Trails benchmark by -58.8%p annually

Portfolio Composition

What's actually inside — sector weights and top holdings

상위 10종목이 123% 차지

소수 종목에 집중돼 개별 종목 변동에 크게 영향을 받을 수 있어요.

ℹ️ 왜 구성을 봐야 하나요?

ETF의 실제 성과는 담고 있는 종목과 섹터에서 나와요. 이름이 "S&P 500"이라도 기술주 비중이 유난히 높을 수 있고, "배당주 ETF"라도 몇몇 대형주에 쏠려 있을 수 있어요. 라벨보다 실제 구성을 확인하는 게 중요해요.

🔬 집중도 한눈에 보기

총 보유종목

9개

상위 10개 비중

122.8%

최대 단일 종목

97.50%

집중도(HHI)

9798

높음 (집중)

⚠️ 소수 종목·섹터에 집중되어 있어, 해당 종목/섹터가 흔들리면 ETF 전체가 크게 영향을 받아요.

🥧 섹터 비중

Financial

13.3%

📋 상위 보유 종목 Top 10 Top 10이 전체의 100.1% 차지

티커 옆의 점 색상 = 섹터 구분 (섹터 차트와 동일 색상)

BNO United States Treasury Bill

97.50%

IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF

13.29%

HODL VanEck Bitcoin ETF/US

10.70%

FAF First American Treasury Obliga

0.86%

#5 - N/A

0.23%

#6 - Northern US Government Select

0.23%

#7 - N/A

-0.26%

#8 - N/A

-0.81%

#9 - N/A

-21.67%

Category Peers

Category: Other Asset Types - Multi-Asset / Other

같은 카테고리 6종 중 AUM 6/6위 · 보수율 5/6위

카테고리: Other Asset Types - Multi-Asset / Other

ℹ️ 왜 비교해야 하나요?

같은 카테고리 ETF끼리는 보수율·규모(AUM)·배당률을 비교해 볼 가치가 있어요. 보수율은 낮을수록 장기 수익에 유리하고, AUM이 크면 운용 안정성이 높아요. ▲ 표시는 BTCI보다 유리, ▼ 표시는 BTCI보다 불리를 뜻해요.

티커	ETF명	보수율	AUM	보유종목	배당률	YTD	1년
BTCI	NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF	0.99%	$1.1B	9	40.85%	-35.80%	-55.39%
IBIT	iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF	0.25% ▲	$47.7B ▲	2	-	-	-46.14% ▲
FBTC	Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund	0.25% ▲	$11.2B ▲	3	-	-	-46.11% ▲
GBTC	Grayscale Bitcoin Trust	1.5% ▼	$8.7B ▲	1	-	-	-46.77% ▲
ETHA	iShares Ethereum Trust ETF	0.25% ▲	$5.6B ▲	2	-	-	-49.67% ▲
BTC	Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF	0.15% ▲	$3.8B ▲	1	-	-	-46.07% ▲

AUM 내림차순 정렬 · ▲ BTCI보다 유리 · ▼ BTCI보다 불리

Leveraged & Covered Call ETFs on the Same Theme

ETFs that approach the same theme with a different strategy

17 ETFs tracking the same theme as BTCI using leveraged or covered call strategies (Leverage 8 · Inverse 8 · Covered Call 1)

Not direct derivatives of BTCI, but ETFs that cover the same theme via a different strategy.

ℹ️ Which ETFs are included?

Among ETFs whose theme (category or sector) overlaps with BTCI, some use special strategies. Leveraged ETFs aim for 2–3× the daily move, Inverse ETFs seek opposite-direction returns, and Covered Call ETFs generate monthly income from option premiums.

⚠️ Caution: Long-Term Holding

Leveraged and inverse ETFs track only the daily return. With high volatility, holding them for longer periods causes cumulative volatility decay—returns diverge further from the underlying index. They are meant for short-term trading.

📈 Leverage 8 ETFs that amplify the same theme by 2-3x (high volatility)