TCV 주가 전망 및 ETF 분석 - 배당·운용보수·보유종목·NAV·RSI·MACD

TCV

Towle Value ETF

7월 28일 3:35 PM ET (한국 7/29 04:35)

$32.77

+0.21 ▲ +0.64%

TCV ETF is analyzed across 10 metrics including expense ratio, holdings, sector allocation, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

Total Expense Ratio

0.85%

Annual operating cost

Net Assets (AUM)

$207M

약 2840억원

Holdings

49 items

Dividend Yield

0.24%

Management Style

Active

Category ⓘ	US Equities - US Style	Asset Type ⓘ	Equities (Stocks)	Return% 1Y ⓘ	24.28%	Total Holdings ⓘ	49	Perf Week ⓘ	-1.09%
ETF Type ⓘ	US Equities	Active/Passive ⓘ	Active	Return% 3Y ⓘ	-	AUM ⓘ	$207M	Perf Month ⓘ	1.86%
Expense ⓘ	0.85%	NAV ⓘ	$32.54	Return% 5Y ⓘ	-	52W High ⓘ	-2.87%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	7.19%
Dividend TTM ⓘ	$0.08 (0.24%)	Div Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	-	Return% 10Y ⓘ	-	52W Low ⓘ	42.6%	Perf Half Y ⓘ	13.66%
Flows% 1M ⓘ	-0.73%	Flows% YTD ⓘ	72%	Return% SI ⓘ	30.04%	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	1% 0.64%	Perf YTD ⓘ	26.55%
SMA20 ⓘ	0.45%	SMA50 ⓘ	2.8%	SMA200 ⓘ	13.62%	RSI (14) ⓘ	54.38	Beta ⓘ	0.79
IPO ⓘ	2025/7/17	Prev Close ⓘ	$32.56	Perf Year ⓘ	30%	Avg Volume ⓘ	0.01M	Price ⓘ	$32.77

📊 Towle Value ETF (TCV) Investment Analysis

ETF Overview

Towle Value ETF · US Equities - US Style

가치주형 — 저평가된 가치주 중심 포트폴리오

2025년 상장, 1년 운영 중.

Towle Value ETF는 장기 자본이득을 추구합니다. 정상적인 상황에서 이 ETF는 순자산(투자 목적 차입금 포함)의 최소 80%를 부운용사 Towle & Co.의 가치 정의를 충족하는 상장 주식 증권에 투자합니다. 가치 기업은 운용사가 이익 잠재력·매출 기반 대비 심하게 저평가되었다고 판단하는 기업입니다. 비분산형입니다.

📘 TCV ETF 자세히 알아보기 →

U.S.equityvalue

규모: $207M 약 2840억원
운용사: -
운용 방식: 액티브 (운용사 재량)
상장일: 2025년

Cost Efficiency

Annual Expense Ratio · Category Rank · Long-Term Cost Impact

Above-average cost — 0.85% annually

Expense ratio is higher than the US Equities - US Style median. Compare against similar ETFs.

Effective Annual Expense Ratio (Net Expense Ratio)

하위 25%

0.85%

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

Actual Cost Simulation by Investment Amount

$100.0M

Annual Expense Ratio

$850K

Pay $430K more per year vs. category average

Category Median Annual Cost

$420K

Based on expense ratio of 0.42%

10-Year Cumulative Expense Ratio (Long-term simulation assuming 7% annual market growth)

$15.1M

15.6% of returns you could have earned goes to the fund manager due to fees

💡 Because the expense ratio takes a slice of your assets every year, costs compound over 10 years and result in far greater losses than a simple sum (annual fee × 10). The 7% annual return assumption is based on the S&P 500's long-term average.

Defaults shown against $100K baseline portfolio. Adjust the slider to update the amount in real time.

Cheaper alternatives in the same category

Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF

0.04%

-0.81%p annually

* A lower fee does not necessarily mean a better ETF. Consider the tracked index, liquidity, and tax treatment as well.

Long-Term Performance

1-year · 3-year · 5-year · 10-year returns · vs. benchmark · drawdown defense

Insufficient return data

+6.5%p vs. benchmark (SPY) over 1Y.

ℹ️ The "1Y·3Y·5Y·10Y" periods below represent annualized returns (CAGR) measured backward from today. Example: "3Y +12%" means the investment grew at a compounded 12% per year over the past three years.

If you had invested 1 year(s) ago

$100.0M

Today's value

$124.3M

→

Total gain

+$24.3M

Annualized +24.3%

1 Year

2025.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +24.28%

평균권

Outperformed the benchmark by 6.5%p annually

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

3 Years

2023.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2025/7 — under 3 years

5 Years

2021.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2025/7 — under 5 years

10Y

2016.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2025/7 — under 10 years

1Y Cumulative Total Return Curve

2025-07-17 start, based on a 100M KRW base — read the curve values directly as units of 100M KRW (e.g., 308 → 3.08억 / 308M KRW). Both this ETF and the benchmark are rebased to 100 on the same start date for comparison.

TCV · Price Only TCV · Price + Cumulative Dividends TCV · Dividend Reinvested S&P 500 (SPY)

100

150

ℹ️ Price Only: Excludes dividends and tracks pure stock price only. Covered-call and high-dividend ETFs often show a flat or declining line on this view, which is meaningful from a "principal preservation" standpoint. Price + Cumulative Dividend: Share count stays the same and received dividends are accumulated as cash. Closely matches your actual account total assets. Reinvested: Dividends are immediately used to buy additional shares (adjClose-based, the industry standard for total return). The wider the gap between the three lines, the easier it is to gauge the effectiveness of the dividend strategy.

Annual Return Comparison

ETF returns vs S&P 500 (SPY) by calendar year

TCV S&P 500 (SPY)

+40%

−40%

+4%

2025

+25%

2026 YTD

ℹ️ Returns from January 1 to December 31 of each year. The current year (2026) column is dimmed to indicate YTD (incomplete). If blue is higher than gray, the ETF outperformed the benchmark in that year.

Win rate vs S&P 500 (SPY)

—

Completed years: 1 — 3+ years of data are needed for a win rate to be shown.

2025 ✗

2026 ✓ YTD

ℹ️ Number of winning years versus S&P 500 (SPY) within a completed calendar year (1/1–12/31). The current year (YTD) is reported separately.

Downside Capture

⚖️ 89%

Falls in line with the benchmark — high correlation

<85% (Defend) 85~110% (Track) >110% (Lag)

ℹ️ Average % drop of this ETF when S&P 500 (SPY) is −1%. Based on daily returns over the past 3 years (only days where the benchmark is negative).

Risk Profile

Volatility · Beta · Max Drawdown · Sharpe · Drawdown Recovery History

Overall Risk Grade

Low Risk

Less volatile than the market average, making it relatively easy to hold over time.

Beta (market sensitivity)

상위 25%

0.79

If the market rises +10% +7.9%

If the market falls -10% -7.9%

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

ℹ️ A beta of 1.0 moves in line with the market. Above 1 means it moves more than the market; below 1 means less.

Average daily range (last 1 month)

평균권

±0.64%

S&P 500 typically ±1.0~1.3% · Bond funds ±0.3% · Leveraged ETFs ±3% or more

Annual volatility trend (past 10 years)

ℹ️ This ETF's average daily price swing. 1% means "on average, moves about ±1% per day." The rolling curve below shows the annualized volatility (long-term standard measure) over time.

Max Drawdown · Past 10 years

-12.2%

Drawdown duration: 1 months

2025-07-23 → 2025-08-11

Recovered in about 73 days

2025-07-17 Worst -12% 2026-07-01

ℹ️ Maximum drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in the past. It represents the worst-case loss a long-term investor must psychologically endure.

Sharpe Ratio (Risk-Adjusted Return)

1.31

Good — Solid risk-adjusted returns

ℹ️ Annualized return minus the risk-free rate (3% annualized), divided by annualized volatility. A value above 1.0 is generally considered good risk-adjusted performance.

Dividend Analysis

Yield · Dividend history · After-tax income calculator

Pays dividends, but at a relatively low rate — 0.24% annually

Closer to a blend of growth and dividends.

ℹ️ Dividends are a secondary source of performance; the main expected return comes from share-price appreciation.

배당수익률

0.24%

주당 배당

$0.08

연간 기준

5년 성장률

지급 주기

연배당

12월

📊 총 이력 2025~2025 (2건)

연도별 배당 총액 추이

주당 배당금을 연 단위로 합산한 금액입니다. 막대가 우상향이면 매년 배당이 늘어나고 있다는 뜻입니다.

—

2021

—

2022

—

2023

—

2024

$0.08

2025

$X.XX 그 해 총 배당금 +X% 전년 대비 증가 -X% 감소

최근 배당 이력 총 2건

아래로 스크롤하면 과거 배당 이력을 볼 수 있습니다.

배당락일

주당 금액

지급일

당시 수익률

2025-12-30

$0.009

—

0.30%

2025-12-23

$0.070

—

0.27%

* "배당락일"은 배당받으려면 이 날 이전에 주식을 보유해야 하는 기준일입니다. 지급일·당시 수익률은 일부 종목에서 데이터가 없을 수 있습니다.

💰 내가 $100K 투자한다면

연간 배당금 (세후) $208

5년 누적 (세후) $1K

* 환율 1 가정, 배당소득세 15% 반영. 5년 누적은 배당 성장률 연 0% 가정.

* Qualified dividend middle-bracket approximation. Actual rate varies by total income.

Overall investment appeal

What this ETF fits best — strengths, weaknesses, and target investor profile

Strengths and weaknesses both present Check the fit below to see whether it matches your investing goal.

🎯 목적별 적합도

내가 이 ETF를 어떤 목적으로 활용할 수 있는지 확인하세요.

🌳

장기 보유

수년 이상 꾸준히 모아갈 때

적합

💵

배당 인컴

매월·분기 현금흐름이 목적일 때

낮음

⚡

단기 트레이딩

며칠~몇 주 단기 방향성 매매

매우 낮음

🧩

포트폴리오 보조

자산 배분·헤지 용도

보통

👤

이런 분에게 어울려요

Value investors

✅ 강점

🎯Outperforms benchmark by +6.5%p annually

⚠️ 약점·주의사항

💸Expense ratio is somewhat high — 0.85% annually

Portfolio Composition

What's actually inside — sector weights and top holdings

42개 종목에 넓게 분산

개별 종목 리스크가 분산되어 있어요.

ℹ️ 왜 구성을 봐야 하나요?

ETF의 실제 성과는 담고 있는 종목과 섹터에서 나와요. 이름이 "S&P 500"이라도 기술주 비중이 유난히 높을 수 있고, "배당주 ETF"라도 몇몇 대형주에 쏠려 있을 수 있어요. 라벨보다 실제 구성을 확인하는 게 중요해요.

🔬 집중도 한눈에 보기

총 보유종목

42개

상위 10개 비중

32.6%

최대 단일 종목

4.28%

집중도(HHI)

256

낮음 (분산)

🥧 섹터 비중

Consumer Cyclical

21.0% +11%p

Industrials

19.3% +11%p

Energy

15.3% +11%p

Financial

9.1% -4%p

Basic Materials

8.0% +5%p

Healthcare

6.4% -5%p

Consumer Defensive

5.5%

Technology

4.5% -26%p

Real Estate

4.2%

S&P 500보다 많이 투자 (+3%p 이상) S&P 500보다 적게 투자 (-3%p 이상)

📋 상위 보유 종목 Top 10 Top 10이 전체의 32.6% 차지

티커 옆의 점 색상 = 섹터 구분 (섹터 차트와 동일 색상)

GOLD Gold.com Inc

4.28%

LBRT Liberty Energy Inc

3.80%

PUMP ProPetro Holding Corp

3.27%

PBF PBF Energy Inc

3.20%

UNFI United Natural Foods Inc

3.10%

BWA BorgWarner Inc

3.08%

MGA Magna International Inc

3.04%

DLX Deluxe Corp

2.97%

ARCB ArcBest Corp

2.94%

#10

OSK Oshkosh Corp

2.90%

Category Peers

Category: US Equities - US Style

같은 카테고리 6종 중 AUM 6/6위 · 보수율 6/6위

카테고리: US Equities - US Style

ℹ️ 왜 비교해야 하나요?

같은 카테고리 ETF끼리는 보수율·규모(AUM)·배당률을 비교해 볼 가치가 있어요. 보수율은 낮을수록 장기 수익에 유리하고, AUM이 크면 운용 안정성이 높아요. ▲ 표시는 TCV보다 유리, ▼ 표시는 TCV보다 불리를 뜻해요.

티커	ETF명	보수율	AUM	보유종목	배당률	YTD	1년
TCV	Towle Value ETF	0.85%	$207M	49	0.24%	+26.55%	+30.00%
VTV	Vanguard Value ETF	0.03% ▲	$188.3B ▲	325	1.84% ▲	-	+22.73% ▼
IWD	iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF	0.18% ▲	$80.9B ▲	875	1.40% ▲	-	+25.45% ▼
IVE	iShares S&P 500 Value ETF	0.18% ▲	$48.9B ▲	444	1.52% ▲	-	+15.86% ▼
VBR	Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF	0.05% ▲	$37.2B ▲	844	1.76% ▲	-	+20.77% ▼
SPYV	State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF	0.04% ▲	$36.1B ▲	440	1.68% ▲	-	+15.77% ▼

AUM 내림차순 정렬 · ▲ TCV보다 유리 · ▼ TCV보다 불리

Leveraged & Covered Call ETFs on the Same Theme

ETFs that approach the same theme with a different strategy

1 ETFs tracking the same theme as TCV using leveraged or covered call strategies (Leverage 1)

Not direct derivatives of TCV, but ETFs that cover the same theme via a different strategy.

ℹ️ Which ETFs are included?

Among ETFs whose theme (category or sector) overlaps with TCV, some use special strategies. Leveraged ETFs aim for 2–3× the daily move, Inverse ETFs seek opposite-direction returns, and Covered Call ETFs generate monthly income from option premiums.

⚠️ Caution: Long-Term Holding

Leveraged and inverse ETFs track only the daily return. With high volatility, holding them for longer periods causes cumulative volatility decay—returns diverge further from the underlying index. They are meant for short-term trading.

📈 Leverage 1 ETFs that amplify the same theme by 2-3x (high volatility)