TBUX 주가 전망 및 ETF 분석 - 배당·운용보수·보유종목·NAV·RSI·MACD

TBUX

T. Rowe Price Ultra Short-Term Bond ETF

7월 28일 12:10 PM ET (한국 7/29 01:10)

$49.87

-0.02 ▼ -0.04%

TBUX ETF is analyzed across 10 metrics including expense ratio, holdings, sector allocation, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

Total Expense Ratio

0.17%

Annual operating cost

Net Assets (AUM)

$1.3B

약 2조원

Holdings

618 items

Dividend Yield

4.34%

Management Style

Active

Category ⓘ	Bonds - Broad Market	Asset Type ⓘ	Bonds	Return% 1Y ⓘ	4.58%	Total Holdings ⓘ	618	Perf Week ⓘ	-0.06%
ETF Type ⓘ	Global Bonds	Active/Passive ⓘ	Active	Return% 3Y ⓘ	5.76%	AUM ⓘ	$1.3B	Perf Month ⓘ	0.22%
Expense ⓘ	0.17%	NAV ⓘ	$49.85	Return% 5Y ⓘ	-	52W High ⓘ	-0.54%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	-0.16%
Dividend TTM ⓘ	$2.17 (4.34%)	Div Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	22.15% -	Return% 10Y ⓘ	-	52W Low ⓘ	0.53%	Perf Half Y ⓘ	-0.2%
Flows% 1M ⓘ	8.22%	Flows% YTD ⓘ	60.81%	Return% SI ⓘ	4.11%	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	0.04% 0.06%	Perf YTD ⓘ	0.04%
SMA20 ⓘ	0.05%	SMA50 ⓘ	0.05%	SMA200 ⓘ	0.03%	RSI (14) ⓘ	52.68	Beta ⓘ	0.03
IPO ⓘ	2021/9/29	Prev Close ⓘ	$49.89	Perf Year ⓘ	0.05%	Avg Volume ⓘ	0.20M	Price ⓘ	$49.87

📊 T. Rowe Price Ultra Short-Term Bond ETF (TBUX) Investment Analysis

ETF Overview

T. Rowe Price Ultra Short-Term Bond ETF · Bonds - Broad Market

레버리지형 — 지수의 2~3배 방향으로 추종 (단기 투자용 · 고위험)

2021년 상장, 5년 운영 중.

T. Rowe Price Ultra Short-Term Bond ETF는 낮은 원금 가치 변동성과 양립하는 높은 수준의 수익을 추구합니다. 정상적인 여건에서 이 ETF는 순자산(투자 목적 차입금 포함)의 최소 80%를 채권에 투자합니다. 이 ETF는 모기지·자산담보부증권, 지방채, 머니마켓 증권 및 은행 채무, 해외 발행자 증권(순자산의 최대 10%까지 비미국 달러 표시 해외 발행자 증권 포함)을 포함한 단기 투자등급 회사채·국채로 구성된 분산 포트폴리오에 투자합니다.

📘 TBUX ETF 자세히 알아보기 →

U.S.bondsmunicipal-bondsinvestment-grade

규모: $1.3B 약 2조원
운용사: T. Rowe Price
운용 방식: 액티브 (운용사 재량)
상장일: 2021년

Cost Efficiency

Annual Expense Ratio · Category Rank · Long-Term Cost Impact

Low-cost ETF — 0.17% annually

상위 25% within Bonds - Broad Market. For a ₩100M investment, roughly ₩170,000/year.

Effective Annual Expense Ratio (Net Expense Ratio)

상위 25%

0.17%

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

Actual Cost Simulation by Investment Amount

$100.0M

Annual Expense Ratio

$170K

Save $190K per year vs. category average

Category Median Annual Cost

$360K

Based on expense ratio of 0.36%

10-Year Cumulative Expense Ratio (Long-term simulation assuming 7% annual market growth)

$3.1M

3.2% of returns you could have earned goes to the fund manager due to fees

💡 Because the expense ratio takes a slice of your assets every year, costs compound over 10 years and result in far greater losses than a simple sum (annual fee × 10). The 7% annual return assumption is based on the S&P 500's long-term average.

Defaults shown against $100K baseline portfolio. Adjust the slider to update the amount in real time.

Cheaper alternatives in the same category

BND

Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF

0.03%

-0.14%p annually

AGG

iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF

0.03%

-0.14%p annually

BSV

Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF

0.03%

-0.14%p annually

* A lower fee does not necessarily mean a better ETF. Consider the tracked index, liquidity, and tax treatment as well.

Long-Term Performance

1-year · 3-year · 5-year · 10-year returns · vs. benchmark · drawdown defense

Insufficient return data

-13.2%p vs. benchmark (SPY) over 1Y.

ℹ️ The "1Y·3Y·5Y·10Y" periods below represent annualized returns (CAGR) measured backward from today. Example: "3Y +12%" means the investment grew at a compounded 12% per year over the past three years.

⚡ Leveraged ETF — beware of compounding decay over long holding periods

These ETFs aim to deliver 2–3× the daily return of the underlying index, but during sideways or volatile markets, compounding effects can cause long-term cumulative returns to diverge significantly from 2–3× the index. They are suited for short-term trading and are not appropriate as core holdings for long-term portfolios.

If you had invested 3 year(s) ago

$100.0M

Today's value

$118.3M

→

Total gain

+$18.3M

Annualized +5.8%

ℹ️ How to read the return breakdown bar

Each period bar shows the share of this ETF's returns by source.

Price gains Price decline Dividends received

Mostly blue (80%+): Growth-style — price gains drive most returns
Mostly orange (70%+): Income-style — dividends drive most returns (watch out for after-tax drag)
Red + orange: Stagnant or declining price — dividends offset losses (common in covered-call and high-dividend funds)

1 Year

2025.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +4.58%

상위 25%

Price +0.05% + Dividend +4.53% = Total +4.58%/yr

Trailed the benchmark by 13.2%p annually

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

3 Years

2023.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +5.76% Cumulative +18.3%

상위 25%

Price +0.74% + Dividend +5.02% = Total +5.76%/yr

Trailed the benchmark by 13.2%p annually

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

5 Years

2021.07 ~ 2026.07

Insufficient data

10Y

2016.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2021/9 — under 10 years

5Y Cumulative Total Return Curve

2021-09-29 start, based on a 100M KRW base — read the curve values directly as units of 100M KRW (e.g., 308 → 3.08억 / 308M KRW). Both this ETF and the benchmark are rebased to 100 on the same start date for comparison.

TBUX · Price Only TBUX · Price + Cumulative Dividends TBUX · Dividend Reinvested S&P 500 (SPY)

100

150

200

ℹ️ Price Only: Excludes dividends and tracks pure stock price only. Covered-call and high-dividend ETFs often show a flat or declining line on this view, which is meaningful from a "principal preservation" standpoint. Price + Cumulative Dividend: Share count stays the same and received dividends are accumulated as cash. Closely matches your actual account total assets. Reinvested: Dividends are immediately used to buy additional shares (adjClose-based, the industry standard for total return). The wider the gap between the three lines, the easier it is to gauge the effectiveness of the dividend strategy.

Annual Return Comparison

ETF returns vs S&P 500 (SPY) by calendar year

TBUX S&P 500 (SPY)

+40%

−40%

-0%

2021

-0%

2022

+6%

2023

+6%

2024

+5%

2025

+2%

2026 YTD

💡 Leveraged ETFs have an asymmetric structure: big wins in up markets, big losses in down markets.

ℹ️ Returns from January 1 to December 31 of each year. The current year (2026) column is dimmed to indicate YTD (incomplete). If blue is higher than gray, the ETF outperformed the benchmark in that year.

Win rate vs S&P 500 (SPY)

1 / 5Y

Lags behind benchmark (20%)

+ 2026 YTD: Behind (1.8% vs 8.5%)

2021 ✗

2022 ✓

2023 ✗

2024 ✗

2025 ✗

2026 ✗ YTD

💡 Leveraged wins in up markets, loses big in down markets — annual return dispersion matters more than win rate.

ℹ️ Number of winning years versus S&P 500 (SPY) within a completed calendar year (1/1–12/31). The current year (YTD) is reported separately.

Downside Capture

🛡️ -2%

Falls less than the benchmark in drawdowns — strong downside protection

<85% (Defend) 85~110% (Track) >110% (Lag)

💡 Leveraged ETFs are designed to fall 2–3x the benchmark — values above 200% are normal. Short-term risk must be considered.

ℹ️ Average % drop of this ETF when S&P 500 (SPY) is −1%. Based on daily returns over the past 3 years (only days where the benchmark is negative).

Risk Profile

Volatility · Beta · Max Drawdown · Sharpe · Drawdown Recovery History

Overall Risk Grade

High Risk

These 2-3x leveraged products are structurally very volatile. Holding them long-term can erode your principal in ways that don't match expectations, so they're better suited for short-term trading.

⚡ Leveraged ETF — High Beta & Volatility Are by Design

A Beta of 2 or higher and volatility 2–3× the underlying index is by design. The "high volatility" reading below is a feature of the product, not a problem. However, long-term holding can lead to compounding decay and results that differ from expectations.

Beta (market sensitivity)

상위 25%

0.03

If the market rises +10% +0.3%

If the market falls -10% -0.3%

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

ℹ️ A beta of 1.0 moves in line with the market. Above 1 means it moves more than the market; below 1 means less.

Average daily range (last 1 month)

상위 25%

±0.06%

S&P 500 typically ±1.0~1.3% · Bond funds ±0.3% · Leveraged ETFs ±3% or more

Annual volatility trend (past 10 years)

ℹ️ This ETF's average daily price swing. 1% means "on average, moves about ±1% per day." The rolling curve below shows the annualized volatility (long-term standard measure) over time.

Max Drawdown · Past 10 years

-1.8%

Drawdown duration: 9 months

2021-09-29 → 2022-06-28

Recovered in about 7 months

2021-09-29 Worst -5% 2026-07-01

ℹ️ Maximum drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in the past. It represents the worst-case loss a long-term investor must psychologically endure.

Sharpe Ratio (Risk-Adjusted Return)

0.86

Average — Moderate risk-adjusted returns

ℹ️ Annualized return minus the risk-free rate (3% annualized), divided by annualized volatility. A value above 1.0 is generally considered good risk-adjusted performance.

Estimated Monthly Maximum Loss (VaR 95%)

-0.2%

Historically, monthly losses exceeding this figure occurred only5%of the time.

ℹ️ A statistical estimate meaning "with 95% probability, monthly losses will not exceed this amount." The remaining 5% corresponds to crisis-level events such as financial crises or pandemics.

Dividend Analysis

Yield · Dividend history · After-tax income calculator

Leveraged ETF distribution — 4.34% annually

Its leveraged structure makes it unsuitable for long-term dividend investing.

ℹ️ Leveraged ETFs are not designed for dividend income. Even if they temporarily show a high yield, their structure makes them unsuitable for long-term dividend investing.

배당수익률

4.34%

주당 배당

$2.17

연간 기준

5년 성장률

지급 주기

불규칙

1월 · 2월 · 3월 · 4월 · 8월 · 9월 · 10월 · 11월 · 12월

📊 총 이력 2021~2026 (54건)

연도별 배당 총액 추이

주당 배당금을 연 단위로 합산한 금액입니다. 막대가 우상향이면 매년 배당이 늘어나고 있다는 뜻입니다.

$0.13

2021

$1.25 +833.6%

2022

$2.08 +66.4%

2023

$2.67 +28.3%

2024

$2.33 -12.8%

2025

$X.XX 그 해 총 배당금 +X% 전년 대비 증가 -X% 감소

최근 배당 이력 총 54건

아래로 스크롤하면 과거 배당 이력을 볼 수 있습니다.

배당락일

주당 금액

지급일

당시 수익률

2026-04-27

$0.178

—

4.52%

2026-03-26

$0.172

—

4.94%

2026-02-24

$0.166

—

4.96%

2026-01-27

$0.174

—

5.02%

2025-12-23

$0.237

—

5.28%

2025-11-24

$0.185

—

5.23%

2025-10-28

$0.183

—

5.26%

2025-09-25

$0.189

—

5.34%

2025-08-26

$0.189

—

5.39%

2025-07-28

$0.192

—

5.02%

2025-06-25

$0.192

—

5.56%

2025-05-27

$0.192

—

5.18%

2025-04-25

$0.189

—

5.20%

2025-03-26

$0.192

—

5.25%

2025-02-25

$0.191

—

5.28%

2025-01-28

$0.197

—

5.34%

2024-12-23

$0.299

—

5.39%

2024-11-25

$0.213

—

5.36%

2024-10-28

$0.202

—

5.38%

2024-09-25

$0.220

—

5.40%

2024-08-27

$0.218

—

4.97%

2024-07-26

$0.235

—

4.98%

2024-06-25

$0.223

—

5.17%

2024-05-24

$0.201

—

4.71%

2024-04-24

$0.213

—

4.68%

2024-03-22

$0.209

—

4.92%

2024-02-23

$0.216

—

4.50%

2024-01-25

$0.222

—

4.68%

2023-12-22

$0.295

—

4.99%

2023-11-24

$0.219

—

4.41%

2023-10-25

$0.219

—

4.52%

2023-08-25

$0.213

—

4.48%

2023-07-25

$0.137

—

4.19%

2023-06-26

$0.184

—

3.91%

2023-05-24

$0.176

—

4.01%

2023-04-24

$0.170

—

3.73%

2023-03-27

$0.166

—

3.38%

2023-02-22

$0.161

—

3.18%

2023-01-25

$0.142

—

2.86%

2022-12-23

$0.371

—

2.76%

2022-11-23

$0.127

—

2.05%

2022-10-25

$0.140

—

1.83%

2022-09-26

$0.111

—

1.54%

2022-08-25

$0.091

—

1.31%

2022-07-25

$0.066

—

1.12%

2022-06-24

$0.179

—

0.98%

2022-05-24

$0.049

—

0.61%

2022-04-25

$0.040

—

0.51%

2022-03-25

$0.041

—

0.43%

2022-02-22

$0.029

—

0.34%

2022-01-25

$0.007

—

0.28%

2021-12-27

$0.083

—

0.27%

2021-11-23

$0.031

—

0.10%

2021-10-25

$0.020

—

0.04%

* "배당락일"은 배당받으려면 이 날 이전에 주식을 보유해야 하는 기준일입니다. 지급일·당시 수익률은 일부 종목에서 데이터가 없을 수 있습니다.

💰 내가 $100K 투자한다면

연간 배당금 (세후) $4K

5년 누적 (세후) $18K

* 환율 1 가정, 배당소득세 15% 반영. 5년 누적은 배당 성장률 연 0% 가정.

* Qualified dividend middle-bracket approximation. Actual rate varies by total income.

Overall investment appeal

What this ETF fits best — strengths, weaknesses, and target investor profile

Designed for short-term trading Not recommended for long-term investing, but suitable for short-term trading and hedging.

⚠️ 2–3x leveraged product; not suitable for long-term holding. Use as a short-term trading tool only.

🎯 목적별 적합도

내가 이 ETF를 어떤 목적으로 활용할 수 있는지 확인하세요.

🌳

장기 보유

수년 이상 꾸준히 모아갈 때

부적합

💵

배당 인컴

매월·분기 현금흐름이 목적일 때

부적합

⚡

단기 트레이딩

며칠~몇 주 단기 방향성 매매

매우 적합

🧩

포트폴리오 보조

자산 배분·헤지 용도

매우 낮음

👤

이런 분에게 어울려요

Short-term traders only

✅ 강점

💸Low cost — 0.17% annually
🛡️Below-average volatility

⚠️ 약점·주의사항

🎯Trails benchmark by -13.2%p annually
🎢Leveraged — compounding decay can produce results that differ from expectations over long holds

Portfolio Composition

What's actually inside — sector weights and top holdings

파생상품 기반 ETF

실제 보유 종목이 일반 ETF와 다르게 스왑·선물 중심이에요.

ℹ️ 왜 구성을 봐야 하나요?

ETF의 실제 성과는 담고 있는 종목과 섹터에서 나와요. 이름이 "S&P 500"이라도 기술주 비중이 유난히 높을 수 있고, "배당주 ETF"라도 몇몇 대형주에 쏠려 있을 수 있어요. 라벨보다 실제 구성을 확인하는 게 중요해요.

🔬 집중도 한눈에 보기

총 보유종목

640개

상위 10개 비중

9.6%

최대 단일 종목

1.24%

집중도(HHI)

낮음 (분산)

🥧 섹터 비중

Technology

2.8%

Financial

2.4%

Industrials

1.7%

Healthcare

1.6%

Energy

1.0%

Consumer Defensive

1.0%

Real Estate

0.8%

Basic Materials

0.6%

Communication Services

0.5%

Utilities

0.3%

Consumer Cyclical

0.2%

📋 상위 보유 종목 Top 10 Top 10이 전체의 9.6% 차지

티커 옆의 점 색상 = 섹터 구분 (섹터 차트와 동일 색상)

#1 ET ENERGY TRANSFER PARTNERS 4/2 144A CP

1.24%

#2 - U S TREASURY BILL

1.11%

GPN GLOBAL PAYMENTS INC 4/2 CP

0.96%

#4 - BRUNSWICK CORP 4/2 144A CP

0.96%

SWK STANLEY BLACK & DECKER 4/2 144A CP

0.94%

#6 - OVINTIV INC 4/2 CP

0.91%

#7 CNQ CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURC 4/2 144A CP

0.91%

#8 - JPMCC 2016-NINE A 144A

0.90%

PAA PLAINS ALL AMER PIPELINE 4/2 144A CP

0.86%

#10 - SEMPRA ENERGY 4/2 144A CP

0.84%

Category Peers

Category: Bonds - Broad Market

같은 카테고리 4종 중 AUM 3/4위 · 보수율 2/4위

카테고리: Bonds - Broad Market

ℹ️ 왜 비교해야 하나요?

같은 카테고리 ETF끼리는 보수율·규모(AUM)·배당률을 비교해 볼 가치가 있어요. 보수율은 낮을수록 장기 수익에 유리하고, AUM이 크면 운용 안정성이 높아요. ▲ 표시는 TBUX보다 유리, ▼ 표시는 TBUX보다 불리를 뜻해요.

티커	ETF명	보수율	AUM	보유종목	배당률	YTD	1년
TBUX	T. Rowe Price Ultra Short-Term Bond ETF	0.17%	$1.3B	618	4.34%	+0.04%	+0.05%
ICSH	iShares Ultra Short Duration Bond Active ETF	0.08% ▲	$8.1B ▲	381	4.28% ▼	-	-0.33% ▼
GSY	Invesco Ultra Short Duration ETF	0.22% ▼	$3.9B ▲	414	4.26% ▼	-	-0.02% ▼
ULST	State Street Ultra Short Term Bond ETF	0.2% ▼	$527M ▼	309	4.17% ▼	-	-0.51% ▼

AUM 내림차순 정렬 · ▲ TBUX보다 유리 · ▼ TBUX보다 불리

Leveraged & Covered Call ETFs on the Same Theme

ETFs that approach the same theme with a different strategy

18 ETFs tracking the same theme as TBUX using leveraged or covered call strategies (Leverage 5 · Inverse 7 · Covered Call 6)

Not direct derivatives of TBUX, but ETFs that cover the same theme via a different strategy.

ℹ️ Which ETFs are included?

Among ETFs whose theme (category or sector) overlaps with TBUX, some use special strategies. Leveraged ETFs aim for 2–3× the daily move, Inverse ETFs seek opposite-direction returns, and Covered Call ETFs generate monthly income from option premiums.

⚠️ Caution: Long-Term Holding

Leveraged and inverse ETFs track only the daily return. With high volatility, holding them for longer periods causes cumulative volatility decay—returns diverge further from the underlying index. They are meant for short-term trading.

📈 Leverage 5 ETFs that amplify the same theme by 2-3x (high volatility)