SCIO 주가 전망 및 ETF 분석 - 배당·운용보수·보유종목·NAV·RSI·MACD

SCIO

First Trust Structured Credit Income Opportunities ETF

7월 28일 12:16 PM ET (한국 7/29 01:16)

$20.50

+0.04 ▲ +0.20%

SCIO ETF is analyzed across 10 metrics including expense ratio, holdings, sector allocation, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

Total Expense Ratio

0.7%

Annual operating cost

Net Assets (AUM)

$497M

약 6809억원

Holdings

447 items

Dividend Yield

5.83%

Management Style

Active

Category ⓘ	Bonds - Mortgage	Asset Type ⓘ	Bonds	Return% 1Y ⓘ	5.21%	Total Holdings ⓘ	447	Perf Week ⓘ	-0.63%
ETF Type ⓘ	US Bonds	Active/Passive ⓘ	Active	Return% 3Y ⓘ	-	AUM ⓘ	$497M	Perf Month ⓘ	-0.77%
Expense ⓘ	0.7%	NAV ⓘ	$20.41	Return% 5Y ⓘ	-	52W High ⓘ	-5.49%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	-0.97%
Dividend TTM ⓘ	$1.19 (5.83%)	Div Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	-	Return% 10Y ⓘ	-	52W Low ⓘ	0.49%	Perf Half Y ⓘ	-1.49%
Flows% 1M ⓘ	22.26%	Flows% YTD ⓘ	357.36%	Return% SI ⓘ	7.55%	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	0.28% 0.32%	Perf YTD ⓘ	-1.44%
SMA20 ⓘ	-0.47%	SMA50 ⓘ	-0.59%	SMA200 ⓘ	-1.19%	RSI (14) ⓘ	38.95	Beta ⓘ	0.08
IPO ⓘ	2024/2/29	Prev Close ⓘ	$20.46	Perf Year ⓘ	-0.58%	Avg Volume ⓘ	0.18M	Price ⓘ	$20.5

📊 First Trust Structured Credit Income Opportunities ETF (SCIO) Investment Analysis

ETF Overview

First Trust Structured Credit Income Opportunities ETF · Bonds - Mortgage

버퍼/구조화형 — 옵션으로 하락 일부 방어 · 상승도 제한

2024년 상장, 2년 운영 중.

First Trust Structured Credit Income Opportunities ETF는 장기적인 인컴 수익 극대화를 목표로 합니다. 정상적인 상황에서 순자산의 최소 80%를 대출 채권이나 모기지 등 금융 자산을 묶어 발행한 이자 지급형 구조화 채권에 투자하며, 비분산형(Non-diversified) 펀드입니다.

📘 SCIO ETF 자세히 알아보기 →

U.S.debtdebt-securitiesloans

규모: $497M 약 6809억원
운용사: First Trust
운용 방식: 액티브 (운용사 재량)
상장일: 2024년

Cost Efficiency

Annual Expense Ratio · Category Rank · Long-Term Cost Impact

Above-average cost — 0.7% annually

Expense ratio is higher than the Bonds - Mortgage median. Compare against similar ETFs.

Effective Annual Expense Ratio (Net Expense Ratio)

하위 25%

0.7%

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

Actual Cost Simulation by Investment Amount

$100.0M

Annual Expense Ratio

$700K

Pay $350K more per year vs. category average

Category Median Annual Cost

$350K

Based on expense ratio of 0.35%

10-Year Cumulative Expense Ratio (Long-term simulation assuming 7% annual market growth)

$12.5M

12.9% of returns you could have earned goes to the fund manager due to fees

💡 Because the expense ratio takes a slice of your assets every year, costs compound over 10 years and result in far greater losses than a simple sum (annual fee × 10). The 7% annual return assumption is based on the S&P 500's long-term average.

Defaults shown against $100K baseline portfolio. Adjust the slider to update the amount in real time.

Cheaper alternatives in the same category

VMBS

Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF

0.03%

-0.67%p annually

SMBS

Schwab Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF

* A lower fee does not necessarily mean a better ETF. Consider the tracked index, liquidity, and tax treatment as well.

Long-Term Performance

1-year · 3-year · 5-year · 10-year returns · vs. benchmark · drawdown defense

Insufficient return data

-12.6%p vs. benchmark (SPY) over 1Y.

ℹ️ The "1Y·3Y·5Y·10Y" periods below represent annualized returns (CAGR) measured backward from today. Example: "3Y +12%" means the investment grew at a compounded 12% per year over the past three years.

🛡️ Buffered / Structured ETF — designed for a defined outcome period

These use options to buffer a portion of downside losses while also capping upside gains. They typically have a 1-year outcome period; buying or selling outside this window means the buffer and cap may apply differently. Total return and win-rate versus the benchmark are inherently limited by the structure.

If you had invested 1 year(s) ago

$100.0M

Today's value

$105.2M

→

Total gain

+$5.2M

Annualized +5.2%

ℹ️ How to read the return breakdown bar

Each period bar shows the share of this ETF's returns by source.

Price gains Price decline Dividends received

Mostly blue (80%+): Growth-style — price gains drive most returns
Mostly orange (70%+): Income-style — dividends drive most returns (watch out for after-tax drag)
Red + orange: Stagnant or declining price — dividends offset losses (common in covered-call and high-dividend funds)

1 Year

2025.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +5.21%

상위 25%

Price -0.58% + Dividend +5.79% = Total +5.21%/yr

Trailed the benchmark by 12.6%p annually

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

3 Years

2023.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2024/2 — under 3 years

5 Years

2021.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2024/2 — under 5 years

10Y

2016.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2024/2 — under 10 years

2Y Cumulative Total Return Curve

2024-02-29 start, based on a 100M KRW base — read the curve values directly as units of 100M KRW (e.g., 308 → 3.08억 / 308M KRW). Both this ETF and the benchmark are rebased to 100 on the same start date for comparison.

SCIO · Price Only SCIO · Price + Cumulative Dividends SCIO · Dividend Reinvested S&P 500 (SPY)

100

150

200

ℹ️ Price Only: Excludes dividends and tracks pure stock price only. Covered-call and high-dividend ETFs often show a flat or declining line on this view, which is meaningful from a "principal preservation" standpoint. Price + Cumulative Dividend: Share count stays the same and received dividends are accumulated as cash. Closely matches your actual account total assets. Reinvested: Dividends are immediately used to buy additional shares (adjClose-based, the industry standard for total return). The wider the gap between the three lines, the easier it is to gauge the effectiveness of the dividend strategy.

Annual Return Comparison

ETF returns vs S&P 500 (SPY) by calendar year

SCIO S&P 500 (SPY)

+40%

−40%

+6%

2024

+10%

2025

+1%

2026 YTD

ℹ️ Returns from January 1 to December 31 of each year. The current year (2026) column is dimmed to indicate YTD (incomplete). If blue is higher than gray, the ETF outperformed the benchmark in that year.

Win rate vs S&P 500 (SPY)

—

Completed years: 2 — 3+ years of data are needed for a win rate to be shown.

2024 ✗

2025 ✗

2026 ✗ YTD

ℹ️ Number of winning years versus S&P 500 (SPY) within a completed calendar year (1/1–12/31). The current year (YTD) is reported separately.

Downside Capture

🛡️ 1%

Falls less than the benchmark in drawdowns — strong downside protection

<85% (Defend) 85~110% (Track) >110% (Lag)

ℹ️ Average % drop of this ETF when S&P 500 (SPY) is −1%. Based on daily returns over the past 3 years (only days where the benchmark is negative).

Risk Profile

Volatility · Beta · Max Drawdown · Sharpe · Drawdown Recovery History

Overall Risk Grade

Low Risk

Less volatile than the market average, making it relatively easy to hold over time.

Beta (market sensitivity)

상위 25%

0.08

If the market rises +10% +0.8%

If the market falls -10% -0.8%

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

ℹ️ A beta of 1.0 moves in line with the market. Above 1 means it moves more than the market; below 1 means less.

Average daily range (last 1 month)

평균권

±0.32%

S&P 500 typically ±1.0~1.3% · Bond funds ±0.3% · Leveraged ETFs ±3% or more

Annual volatility trend (past 10 years)

ℹ️ This ETF's average daily price swing. 1% means "on average, moves about ±1% per day." The rolling curve below shows the annualized volatility (long-term standard measure) over time.

Max Drawdown · Past 10 years

-1.7%

Drawdown duration: 1 months

2026-02-27 → 2026-03-26

Recovered in about 78 days

2024-02-29 Worst -5% 2026-07-01

ℹ️ Maximum drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in the past. It represents the worst-case loss a long-term investor must psychologically endure.

Sharpe Ratio (Risk-Adjusted Return)

1.26

Good — Solid risk-adjusted returns

ℹ️ Annualized return minus the risk-free rate (3% annualized), divided by annualized volatility. A value above 1.0 is generally considered good risk-adjusted performance.

Estimated Monthly Maximum Loss (VaR 95%)

-0.7%

Historically, monthly losses exceeding this figure occurred only5%of the time.

ℹ️ A statistical estimate meaning "with 95% probability, monthly losses will not exceed this amount." The remaining 5% corresponds to crisis-level events such as financial crises or pandemics.

Dividend Analysis

Yield · Dividend history · After-tax income calculator

Dividend-paying ETF — 5.83% annually

An ETF that provides consistent dividend income.

배당수익률

5.83%

주당 배당

$1.19

연간 기준

5년 성장률

지급 주기

불규칙

1월 · 2월 · 3월 · 4월 · 8월 · 9월 · 10월 · 11월 · 12월

📊 총 이력 2024~2026 (25건)

연도별 배당 총액 추이

주당 배당금을 연 단위로 합산한 금액입니다. 막대가 우상향이면 매년 배당이 늘어나고 있다는 뜻입니다.

—

2021

—

2022

—

2023

$1.21

2024

$1.31 +8.3%

2025

$X.XX 그 해 총 배당금 +X% 전년 대비 증가 -X% 감소

최근 배당 이력 총 25건

아래로 스크롤하면 과거 배당 이력을 볼 수 있습니다.

배당락일

주당 금액

지급일

당시 수익률

2026-04-21

$0.095

—

6.63%

2026-03-26

$0.095

—

6.74%

2026-02-20

$0.095

—

6.68%

2026-01-21

$0.095

—

6.79%

2025-12-12

$0.095

—

7.86%

2025-11-21

$0.100

—

8.05%

2025-10-21

$0.105

—

8.22%

2025-09-25

$0.115

—

8.34%

2025-08-21

$0.115

—

8.30%

2025-07-22

$0.115

—

8.29%

2025-06-26

$0.115

—

8.19%

2025-05-21

$0.115

—

8.28%

2025-04-22

$0.115

—

8.16%

2025-03-27

$0.108

—

7.53%

2025-02-21

$0.108

—

7.02%

2025-01-22

$0.108

—

6.57%

2024-12-13

$0.314

—

6.03%

2024-11-21

$0.138

—

4.44%

2024-10-22

$0.138

—

3.75%

2024-09-26

$0.123

—

3.03%

2024-08-21

$0.105

—

2.45%

2024-07-23

$0.105

—

1.95%

2024-06-27

$0.100

—

1.43%

2024-05-21

$0.100

—

0.94%

2024-04-23

$0.090

—

0.45%

* "배당락일"은 배당받으려면 이 날 이전에 주식을 보유해야 하는 기준일입니다. 지급일·당시 수익률은 일부 종목에서 데이터가 없을 수 있습니다.

💰 내가 $100K 투자한다면

연간 배당금 (세후) $5K

5년 누적 (세후) $25K

* 환율 1 가정, 배당소득세 15% 반영. 5년 누적은 배당 성장률 연 0% 가정.

* Qualified dividend middle-bracket approximation. Actual rate varies by total income.

Overall investment appeal

What this ETF fits best — strengths, weaknesses, and target investor profile

Strengths and weaknesses both present Check the fit below to see whether it matches your investing goal.

🎯 목적별 적합도

내가 이 ETF를 어떤 목적으로 활용할 수 있는지 확인하세요.

🌳

장기 보유

수년 이상 꾸준히 모아갈 때

보통

💵

배당 인컴

매월·분기 현금흐름이 목적일 때

낮음

⚡

단기 트레이딩

며칠~몇 주 단기 방향성 매매

매우 낮음

🧩

포트폴리오 보조

자산 배분·헤지 용도

낮음

👤

이런 분에게 어울려요

Long-term and recurring investors

✅ 강점

뚜렷한 강점이 드러나지 않아요.

⚠️ 약점·주의사항

💸Expense ratio is somewhat high — 0.7% annually
🎯Trails benchmark by -12.6%p annually

Portfolio Composition

What's actually inside — sector weights and top holdings

414개 종목에 넓게 분산

개별 종목 리스크가 분산되어 있어요.

ℹ️ 왜 구성을 봐야 하나요?

ETF의 실제 성과는 담고 있는 종목과 섹터에서 나와요. 이름이 "S&P 500"이라도 기술주 비중이 유난히 높을 수 있고, "배당주 ETF"라도 몇몇 대형주에 쏠려 있을 수 있어요. 라벨보다 실제 구성을 확인하는 게 중요해요.

🔬 집중도 한눈에 보기

총 보유종목

414개

상위 10개 비중

12.1%

최대 단일 종목

2.14%

집중도(HHI)

낮음 (분산)

📋 상위 보유 종목 Top 10 Top 10이 전체의 12.1% 차지

티커 옆의 점 색상 = 섹터 구분 (섹터 차트와 동일 색상)

CAF MORGAN STANLEY INSTITUTIONAL LIQUIDITY FUNDS

2.14%

#2 - FEDERAL HOME LOAN MORTGAGE CORP

1.35%

#3 - RCO IX MORTGAGE LLC 2025-4

1.16%

#4 - FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION

1.16%

#5 - VERUS SECURITIZATION TRUST 2024-2

1.13%

#6 - VERUS SECURITIZATION TRUST 2022-3

1.05%

#7 - CARMAX SELECT RECEIVABLES TRUST 2026-A

1.05%

#8 - WESTLAKE AUTOMOBILE RECEIVABLES TRUST 2026-1

1.03%

#9 - CITIGROUP MORTGAGE LOAN TRUST 2020-EXP1

1.02%

#10 - RESEARCH-DRIVEN PAGAYA MOTOR ASSET TRUST 2026-R1

1.02%

Leveraged & Covered Call ETFs on the Same Theme

ETFs that approach the same theme with a different strategy

1 ETFs tracking the same theme as SCIO using leveraged or covered call strategies (Leverage 1)

Not direct derivatives of SCIO, but ETFs that cover the same theme via a different strategy.

ℹ️ Which ETFs are included?

Among ETFs whose theme (category or sector) overlaps with SCIO, some use special strategies. Leveraged ETFs aim for 2–3× the daily move, Inverse ETFs seek opposite-direction returns, and Covered Call ETFs generate monthly income from option premiums.

⚠️ Caution: Long-Term Holding

Leveraged and inverse ETFs track only the daily return. With high volatility, holding them for longer periods causes cumulative volatility decay—returns diverge further from the underlying index. They are meant for short-term trading.

📈 Leverage 1 ETFs that amplify the same theme by 2-3x (high volatility)