포니에이아이에이디알(PONY) 주가 전망 및 기업 분석 - PER·배당·실적·목표주가·RSI·MACD

PONY

Pony AI Inc ADR

7월 27일 4:00 PM ET (한국 7/28 05:00)

$7.38

+0.25 ▲ +3.51%

🌙 7월 27일 7:44 PM ET (한국 7/28 08:44)

$7.40

+0.02 ▲ +0.27%

포니에이아이에이디알(PONY) is a Technology sector company, analyzed across 14 metrics on this page including P/E, EPS, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

시가총액

$2.6B

스몰캡

P/E

배당수익률

없음

52주 위치

저점 +16% · 고점 -70%

애널리스트

적극 매수

B-

Fundamental health

vs. 초고성장주 중형주· based on 3 axes

수익성

산출 불가 (적자)

성장

Top 52%

밸류에이션

Top 47%

재무 안정

Top 33%

Index ⓘ	-	P/E ⓘ	-	EPS (ttm) ⓘ	-0.37	Insider Own ⓘ	19.25%	Shs Outstand ⓘ	352.4M	Perf Week ⓘ	9.99%
Market Cap ⓘ	2.61B	Forward P/E ⓘ	-	EPS next Y ⓘ	2.84%	Insider Trans ⓘ	-0.2%	Shs Float ⓘ	285.3M	Perf Month ⓘ	6.49%
Enterprise Value ⓘ	1.61B	PEG ⓘ	-	EPS next Q ⓘ	-0.15	Inst Own ⓘ	29.6%	Short Float ⓘ	9.41%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	-30.96%
Income ⓘ	-0.14B	P/S ⓘ	23.57	EPS this Y ⓘ	-79.67%	Inst Trans ⓘ	-0.84%	Short Ratio ⓘ	6.11	Perf Half Y ⓘ	-55.11%
Sales ⓘ	0.11B	P/B ⓘ	1.98	EPS next 5Y ⓘ	-3.42%	ROA ⓘ	-10.39%	Short Interest ⓘ	26.84M	Perf YTD ⓘ	-49.1%
Book/sh ⓘ	3.72	P/C ⓘ	2.44	EPS past 3/5Y ⓘ	9.83% 16.69%	ROE ⓘ	-11.27%	52W High ⓘ	-70.39% ($24.92)	Perf Year ⓘ	-51.22%
Cash/sh ⓘ	3.03	P/FCF ⓘ	-	Sales past 3/5Y ⓘ	9.73% 82.54%	ROIC ⓘ	-8.71%	52W Low ⓘ	15.95% ($6.36)	Perf 3Y ⓘ	-
Dividend Est. ⓘ	-	EV/EBITDA ⓘ	-	EPS Y/Y TTM ⓘ	53.19%	Gross Margin ⓘ	15.78%	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	5.15% 5.16%	Perf 5Y ⓘ	-
Dividend TTM ⓘ	-	EV/Sales ⓘ	14.55	Sales Y/Y TTM ⓘ	-	Oper. Margin ⓘ	-238.64%	ATR (14) ⓘ	0.42	Perf 10Y ⓘ	-
Dividend Ex-Date ⓘ	-	Quick Ratio ⓘ	16.12	EPS Q/Q ⓘ	5.13%	Profit Margin ⓘ	-128.11%	RSI (14) ⓘ	51.4	Recom ⓘ	1.3
Dividend Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	-	Current Ratio ⓘ	16.12	Sales Q/Q ⓘ	145.39%	SMA20 ⓘ	6.62% ($6.92)	Beta ⓘ	3.93	Target Price ⓘ	$20.03
Payout ⓘ	-	Debt/Eq ⓘ	0.01	Earnings ⓘ	2026/8/18	SMA50 ⓘ	-7.47% ($7.98)	Rel Volume ⓘ	0.67	Prev Close ⓘ	$7.13
Employees ⓘ	1669	LT Debt/Eq ⓘ	0.01	EPS/Sales Surpr. ⓘ	0.99% 53.56%	SMA200 ⓘ	-40.68% ($12.44)	Avg Volume(3M) ⓘ	4.39M	Price ⓘ	$7.38
IPO ⓘ	2024/11/27	Option/Short ⓘ	Yes/Yes			Trades ⓘ	12779	Volume ⓘ	2,925,186	Change ⓘ	3.51%

Quarterly earnings trend Quarterly earnings data is not yet available — foreign-listed companies (ADRs) only file annual reports with the U.S., and recently listed companies may not have filed their first quarterly report.

📊 Pony AI Inc ADR (PONY) Investment Analysis

What kind of company is Pony AI Inc ADR?

포니에이아이에이디알(PONY) 초고성장주

Technology · Information Technology Services

#1919 by Market Cap — Mid-Cap

🚕 This is an autonomous driving company that develops self-driving technology. It develops and operates autonomous driving solutions, including robotaxis and self-driving trucks, and stands to benefit from expectations around the commercialization of autonomous driving. It is a newly listed company in the autonomous driving sector.

Learn more about Pony AI Inc ADR →

Market Cap

$2.6B

Approx. KRW 3.6 trillion

⚖️ 1% of Samsung Electronics

Market Cap Rank1919

Employees1,669people

IPO2024/11/27

Current Price$7.38 ≈ 10,111원

NASD · China

Key Events

⏰ Upcoming events

🔔 Earnings release D-21

8월 18일 (화) · 장 시작 전

예상 EPS $-0.15

🎯 Ex-dividend date

No scheduled dividends

📜 Recent events

🔔 Earnings release 2026년 5월 26일 (화) · 장 시작 전 EPS +1.0% 매출 +53.6%

🔔 Earnings release 2026년 3월 26일 (목) · 장 시작 전 EPS +65.6% 매출 +18.1%

Is it profitable?

Financially sound but profitability is low

Losses or thin margins — early-stage growth or weakening competitiveness

Profitability — How efficiently it makes money

Operating Margin

Profit kept from selling products and services (higher is better)

-238.6%

✓ 적자

💡 적자 상태 — 수익을 내지 못하고 있습니다

Net Margin

Share of revenue left after taxes and interest are paid

-128.1%

✓ 적자

💡 적자 상태 — 수익을 내지 못하고 있습니다

Gross Margin

Profit after subtracting raw-material costs only (signals product competitiveness)

15.8%

✓ 평균

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Information Technology Services 중형주 Median 23.2% · Bottom 28%

💡 제조업 30%, IT/소프트웨어 50% 이상이면 우수 (업종별 편차 큼)

ROE

Annual return earned on shareholders' equity (15%+ is strong)

-11.3%

✓ 적자

💡 적자 상태 — 수익을 내지 못하고 있습니다

ROA

Annual earnings relative to total company assets

-10.4%

✓ 적자

💡 적자 상태 — 수익을 내지 못하고 있습니다

ROIC

Return generated per dollar invested in the business

-8.7%

✓ 적자

💡 적자 상태 — 수익을 내지 못하고 있습니다

Financial health — Debt & liquidity burden

Debt-to-Equity (D/E)

Debt relative to equity (lower is healthier)

0.01

✓ Very low debt

My positionTop 5%

Low range Average High range

Information Technology Services Median 0.57

💡 일반적으로 1.0 이하면 건전, 1.5까지는 무난 (금융·유틸·REIT는 구조적으로 높음)

Current Ratio

Liquid assets available to cover liabilities due within a year

16.12

✓ 우수

My positionTop 5%

Low range Average High range

Information Technology Services Median 1.67

💡 1.5~3.0 적정, 1.0 미만이면 단기 유동성 주의

Quick Ratio

Liquid assets excluding inventory, available for immediate use

16.12

✓ 우수

My positionTop 5%

Low range Average High range

Information Technology Services Median 1.66

💡 1.0 이상이면 안전, 0.5 미만이면 주의

* Ratings reflect relative position vs. peer-group distribution (same sector & size) plus absolute guards (loss & risk thresholds).

What's the outlook?

Mixed Outlook

Positive and negative signals are mixed

애널리스트 목표가

$20.03

현재가 대비 +171.4%

💡 12개월 이내 도달을 전망하는 애널리스트 컨센서스 평균

내년 EPS 예상 성장률

+2.8%

💡 10% 이상이면 견조한 성장, 마이너스는 이익 감소 예상

5년 EPS 예상 연평균

-3.4%

💡 장기 성장 전망. 15% 이상이면 고성장 기업

⚠ 이 데이터는 애널리스트 추정치이며 실제 결과와 다를 수 있습니다. 투자 결정은 추가 검토와 함께 하세요.

Did earnings meet expectations?

High Earnings Reliability

Beat estimates in 2 of the last 2 quarters

예상 상회

예상 부합

예상 하회

100%

상회 비율

+47.2%

평균 서프라이즈

2026.05.26

상회

실적 $-0.09 · 예상 $-0.13 +28.7%

2026.03.26

상회

+65.6%

💡 예상보다 높은 실적을 자주 내는 기업은 실적 신뢰도가 높다고 평가됩니다. 단, 애널리스트 기대치가 낮게 설정되었을 수도 있으니 절대 수치도 함께 봐야 합니다.

Is it growing?

Growth Expected to Slow

Historical growth is expected to lose momentum

Healthy, Balanced Growth EPS and revenue are both growing steadily — a sustainable growth profile

🔮 How much will it grow? (analyst forecasts)

This Year's EPS Outlook

Projected EPS growth rate for this year

-79.7%

매우 부진

My positionBottom 5%

Low range Average High range

초고성장주 중형주 Median 49.3% · Bottom tier

Next Year's EPS Outlook

Projected EPS growth rate for next year (analyst consensus)

+2.8%

부진

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

초고성장주 중형주 Median 31.3% · Bottom 11%

5-Year EPS CAGR Outlook

Projected average annual EPS growth over the next 5 years

-3.4%

매우 부진

My positionBottom 5%

Low range Average High range

초고성장주 중형주 Median 39.1% · Bottom tier

📊 How much has it grown? (actual results)

Past 3-Year EPS

Actual average annual EPS growth over the past 3 years

+9.8%

양호

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

초고성장주 중형주 Median 0.8% · Top 40%

Past 5-Year EPS

Actual average annual EPS growth over the past 5 years

+16.7%

양호

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

초고성장주 중형주 Median 1.9% · Top 33%

Past 5-Year Revenue

How much revenue grew over the past 5 years

+82.5%

우수

My positionTop 5%

Low range Average High range

초고성장주 중형주 Median 30.4% · Top tier

⚡ Short-term momentum

QoQ Revenue

Revenue change from the previous quarter (short-term momentum)

+145.4%

우수

My positionTop 5%

Low range Average High range

초고성장주 중형주 Median 18.9% · Top tier

* Forecast values are analyst consensus estimates. Ratings are determined by relative position vs. peer group of the same growth style and size.

New to investing terms? Look it up in the financial dictionary →

Has the stock risen over the long term?

Underperformed the market by 67%p over the past year

PONY -51.2% · S&P 500 +16.0%

Excess return vs. market (price-based, ex-dividends)

1-year basis

vs S&P 500

-67.2%p

Significantly behind the market

vs Technology (XLK)

-84.3%p

Significantly behind the sector average

Rank among peers

1-year return Bottom 14% Based on 16 peers

Current position within 52-week range

Low (-15.9%p) High (-70.4%p)

Current price is 15.9% above the 52-week low and 70.4% below the 52-week high

Recent risk (last 120 trading days)

Max drawdown

-55.6%

Annualized volatility

68.0%

Technical Indicators

Bollinger Bands · MACD · RSI · Stochastics · Ichimoku 5-line · recent 136-day series

Price · Bollinger Bands · Ichimoku Cloud

close
BB Upper
BB Mid
BB Lower
Tenkan
Kijun
Cloud (SpanA/B)

Bollinger Bands are upper and lower channels showing the closing price range (20 days · 2σ). Touching the upper band = overheated; touching the lower band = oversold. Ichimoku Cloud shows trend direction and strength through colored areas. Prices above the cloud indicate an uptrend; prices below indicate a downtrend. About Bollinger Bands →

🟢

Current diagnosis · 2026-07-27

Uptrend zone

Current price $7.38 above the midline ($6.92). Normal upward flow. Inside the Ichimoku cloud (neutral).

MACD (12 · 26 · 9) Expand ▼

An indicator that uses the difference between the short-term EMA (12) and long-term EMA (26) to identify trend reversals. When MACD rises above the Signal line, it is a buy signal (golden cross); when it falls below, it is a sell signal (death cross). About MACD →

🟡

Current diagnosis · 2026-07-27

Neutral zone — weak trend

MACD -0.224 · Signal -0.367 · Hist 0.142. Weak directional bias.

RSI(14) · Stochastics %K(14) Expand ▼

RSI measures short-term buying and selling pressure on a scale of 0–100. 30 or below = oversold (a rebound may be possible); 70 or above = overbought (a pullback may be possible). Stoch %K similarly measures short-term momentum strength. RSI · Learn more about Stochastics →

🟢

Current diagnosis · 2026-07-27

Bullish zone

RSI 51.4 (above the neutral level of 50). Buying pressure leads, supporting a steady rise. Stoch %K is also 85.7.

※ "Current diagnosis" is an automated interpretation based on standard thresholds and is for reference only. Make your own comprehensive judgment before trading.

Is it attractive at this price?

In line with the industry average

Cheap on Vs. Assets, Pricey on Vs. Sales

💡 How to read this — Compare against peers in the same industry to see what the price is cheap or expensive relative to. Example: cheap vs. earnings = stock price is low relative to what the company earns; expensive vs. assets = stock price is high relative to assets on the balance sheet.

🏢 Vs. Assets Cheap

🧾 Vs. Sales Pricey

🏢 Vs. Assets

PBR Price-to-Book Ratio

Price vs. the company's asset value — below 1 trades cheaper than assets

1.98x

✓ Very cheap

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

Information Technology Services 중형주 median 3.48x · Top 22% — relatively cheap within the industry

💡 PBR 1 미만이면 청산가치 이하 (금융·제조업에서 특히 의미, IT는 낮은 비중)

🧾 Vs. Sales

PSR Price-to-Sales Ratio

Market cap vs. revenue — lower is cheaper relative to sales

23.57x

✓ Pricey

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

Information Technology Services 중형주 median 1.65x · Bottom 16% — expensive within the industry

💡 PSR 2 이하 저평가, 10 초과면 고평가 (고성장 기업일 때만 정당화)

Analyst target price (reference)

$20.03 vs. current price +171.4%

* Valuation is the stock's relative position within the industry peer group (same sector and market-cap range). Even when valuation looks attractive, check the 'Profitability' and 'Growth' sections too.

As of: Recent snapshot · Peer group: Information Technology Services 중형주

Who owns it?

Ownership backdrop is unfavorable

Insider modest net selling -0.2% · Institutional modest net selling -0.8% · Short interest moderate 9.4% · Short interest up +2.9pp over last 90d

📈 Recent trading flow (6 months)

🧑‍💼 Insiders (executives & directors)

-0.2%

Insiders net selling

🏦 Institutions (funds & investors)

-0.8%

Institutions net selling

💡 Net change over the past 6 months. Shows how much insiders and institutions increased or reduced their holdings, in %.

👥 Holdings composition

🏦 Institutions 29.6%

Moderate institutional participation

Technology 중형주 Median 87.1%

🧑‍💼 Insiders 19.3%

Founder/management large holders (strong skin-in-the-game)

Technology 중형주 Median 5.1%

👤 Retail investors (estimated) 51.1%

Everyone excluding institutions and insiders

Institutions Insiders Retail (est.)

📉 Short-selling metrics

Short ratio

9.4%

Moderate

Technology 중형주 Median 10.2%

Past 90 days 📈 +2.9%p increase

Short interest days to cover

6.1 days

Days needed to close short positions using average trading volume

🧮 Share count

Total shares outstanding 352.4M주

Float (tradable shares) 285.3M주

* Insider/institutional flows are based on net changes over the past 6 months. Trend is cumulative over the past 90 days.

ETFs holding PONY

ETFs with the highest weightings · 10 total shown

BOTZ

Global X Funds Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF

1.17%

$3.2B

HAIL

State Street SPDR S&P Kensho Smart Mobility ETF

ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF

0.84%

$1.9B

NMB

Simplify National Muni Bond ETF

0.75%

$48M

* Based on official quarterly filings. Latest disclosure; actual current weights may differ.

How much does it pay in dividends?

This company does not pay a dividend

It may be a growth-focused firm reinvesting profits into expansion. Consider this growth-stock profile when investing.

Compare Industry Peers

💡 vs. sector average ▲ Favorable / ▼ Unfavorable (Lower PER and PBR are better; higher ROE and dividend yield are better)

Sorted by market cap, largest first

Stock	Market Cap	PER	PBR	ROE	Dividend Yield	Change
PONY This Stock	$2.6B	-	2.0 ▲	-11.27% ▼	-	+3.5%
AAPL	$4.95T	40.8 ▼	46.4 ▼	141.47% ▲	0.32% ▼	+1.2%
NVDA	$4.76T	30.1 ▲	24.4 ▼	114.29% ▲	0.33% ▼	-5.0%
MSFT	$2.89T	23.2 ▲	7.0 ▼	34.01% ▲	0.95% ▼	+1.9%
TSM	$2.07T	28.8 ▲	11.2 ▼	40.06% ▲	1.03% ▼	-1.1%
AVGO	$1.82T	63.8 ▼	20.8 ▼	37.28% ▲	0.68% ▼	+0.4%
Sector Avg	-	31.1	3.0	1.77%	1.11%	-

Derivative ETFs for PONY

Leveraged, inverse, and covered call ETFs based on the underlying asset

1 derivative ETFs based on PONY (Leverage 1)

These are based on the same underlying asset but carry a completely different risk and return profile. Please review the warning below first.

ℹ️ What is a Derivative ETF?

These are special ETFs that amplify, reverse, or monetize the price movement of an underlying ETF or security. Leveraged ETFs aim for 2–3× the daily move, Inverse ETFs target opposite-direction returns, and Covered Call ETFs generate monthly income from option premiums.

⚠️ Caution: Long-Term Holding

Leveraged and inverse ETFs track only the daily return. With high volatility, holding them for longer periods causes cumulative volatility decay—returns diverge further from the underlying index. They are meant for short-term trading.

📈 Leverage 1 ETFs that move 2-3x with PONY (high volatility)