NBIL 주가 전망 및 ETF 분석 - 배당·운용보수·보유종목·NAV·RSI·MACD

NBIL

GraniteShares 2x Long NBIS Daily ETF

7월 28일 4:00 PM ET (한국 7/29 05:00)

$17.86

-4.43 ▼ -19.87%

🌙 7월 28일 5:45 PM ET (한국 7/29 06:45)

$17.79

-0.07 ▼ -0.41%

NBIL ETF is analyzed across 10 metrics including expense ratio, holdings, sector allocation, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

Total Expense Ratio

1.5%

Annual operating cost

Net Assets (AUM)

$145M

약 1985억원

Holdings

4 items

Dividend Yield

Management Style

Active

Category ⓘ	Equity - Leveraged / Inverse	Asset Type ⓘ	Equities (Stocks)	Return% 1Y ⓘ	-	Total Holdings ⓘ	4	Perf Week ⓘ	-41.86%
ETF Type ⓘ	Global Ex. US Equities	Active/Passive ⓘ	Active	Return% 3Y ⓘ	-	AUM ⓘ	$145M	Perf Month ⓘ	-59.13%
Expense ⓘ	1.5%	NAV ⓘ	$22.22	Return% 5Y ⓘ	-	52W High ⓘ	-73.92%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	-8.17%
Dividend TTM ⓘ	-	Div Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	-	Return% 10Y ⓘ	-	52W Low ⓘ	180.38%	Perf Half Y ⓘ	72.89%
Flows% 1M ⓘ	152.29%	Flows% YTD ⓘ	19.71%	Return% SI ⓘ	0.84%	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	24.58% 22.88%	Perf YTD ⓘ	97.69%
SMA20 ⓘ	-39.47%	SMA50 ⓘ	-54.38%	SMA200 ⓘ	-15.86%	RSI (14) ⓘ	36.71	Beta ⓘ	-
IPO ⓘ	2025/10/7	Prev Close ⓘ	$22.29	Perf Year ⓘ	-	Avg Volume ⓘ	1.93M	Price ⓘ	$17.86

📊 GraniteShares 2x Long NBIS Daily ETF (NBIL) Investment Analysis

ETF Overview

GraniteShares 2x Long NBIS Daily ETF · Equity - Leveraged / Inverse

레버리지형 — 지수의 2~3배 방향으로 추종 (단기 투자용 · 고위험)

2025년 상장, 1년 운영 중.

GraniteShares 2x Long NBIS Daily ETF는 수수료 차감 전 기준으로 Nebius Group NV(Nasdaq: NBIS) ADR 일일 변동률의 2배(200%)에 해당하는 일일 투자 성과를 목표로 하는 액티브 운용 ETF입니다. 기초 주식에 대한 스왑·옵션 등의 금융 상품을 활용하거나 기초 주식을 직접 매수하여 기초 주식 일일 변동률의 2배를 복제하려 합니다. 주로 스왑 계약을 통해 기초 주식에 대한 명목 노출을 확보할 계획입니다.

📘 NBIL ETF 자세히 알아보기 →

U.S.single-assetNBISleverage

규모: $145M 약 1985억원
운용사: GraniteShares
운용 방식: 액티브 (운용사 재량)
상장일: 2025년

Cost Efficiency

Annual Expense Ratio · Category Rank · Long-Term Cost Impact

Above-average cost — 1.5% annually

Expense ratio is higher than the Equity - Leveraged / Inverse median. Compare against similar ETFs.

Effective Annual Expense Ratio (Net Expense Ratio)

하위 25%

1.5%

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

Actual Cost Simulation by Investment Amount

$100.0M

Annual Expense Ratio

$1.5M

Pay $530K more per year vs. category average

Category Median Annual Cost

$970K

Based on expense ratio of 0.97%

10-Year Cumulative Expense Ratio (Long-term simulation assuming 7% annual market growth)

$25.9M

26.8% of returns you could have earned goes to the fund manager due to fees

💡 Because the expense ratio takes a slice of your assets every year, costs compound over 10 years and result in far greater losses than a simple sum (annual fee × 10). The 7% annual return assumption is based on the S&P 500's long-term average.

Defaults shown against $100K baseline portfolio. Adjust the slider to update the amount in real time.

Cheaper alternatives in the same category

TOPW

Roundhill Top WeeklyPay ETF

0.32%

-1.18%p annually

FNGU

MicroSectors FANG+ 3X Leveraged ETNs

0.35%

-1.15%p annually

SPDN

Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X ETF

0.48%

-1.02%p annually

* A lower fee does not necessarily mean a better ETF. Consider the tracked index, liquidity, and tax treatment as well.

Long-Term Performance

1-year · 3-year · 5-year · 10-year returns · vs. benchmark · drawdown defense

Insufficient return data

⚡ Leveraged ETF — beware of compounding decay over long holding periods

These ETFs aim to deliver 2–3× the daily return of the underlying index, but during sideways or volatile markets, compounding effects can cause long-term cumulative returns to diverge significantly from 2–3× the index. They are suited for short-term trading and are not appropriate as core holdings for long-term portfolios.

Insufficient return data

This ETF is either too recently listed or does not yet have enough disclosed return data. Please refer to ETFs that have been operating for more than one year.

Risk Profile

Volatility · Beta · Max Drawdown · Sharpe · Drawdown Recovery History

Overall Risk Grade

High Risk

These 2-3x leveraged products are structurally very volatile. Holding them long-term can erode your principal in ways that don't match expectations, so they're better suited for short-term trading.

⚡ Leveraged ETF — High Beta & Volatility Are by Design

A Beta of 2 or higher and volatility 2–3× the underlying index is by design. The "high volatility" reading below is a feature of the product, not a problem. However, long-term holding can lead to compounding decay and results that differ from expectations.

Average daily range (last 1 month)

하위 5%

±22.88%

S&P 500 typically ±1.0~1.3% · Bond funds ±0.3% · Leveraged ETFs ±3% or more

Annual volatility trend (past 10 years)

ℹ️ This ETF's average daily price swing. 1% means "on average, moves about ±1% per day." The rolling curve below shows the annualized volatility (long-term standard measure) over time.

Max Drawdown · Past 10 years

-77.9%

Drawdown duration: 4 months

2025-10-13 → 2026-02-05

Recovered in about 3 months

2025-10-07 Worst -69% 2026-07-01

ℹ️ Maximum drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in the past. It represents the worst-case loss a long-term investor must psychologically endure.

Sharpe Ratio (Risk-Adjusted Return)

-0.13

Poor — Underperforms the risk-free rate

ℹ️ Annualized return minus the risk-free rate (3% annualized), divided by annualized volatility. A value above 1.0 is generally considered good risk-adjusted performance.

Overall investment appeal

What this ETF fits best — strengths, weaknesses, and target investor profile

Designed for short-term trading Not recommended for long-term investing, but suitable for short-term trading and hedging.

⚠️ 2–3x leveraged product; not suitable for long-term holding. Use as a short-term trading tool only.

🎯 목적별 적합도

내가 이 ETF를 어떤 목적으로 활용할 수 있는지 확인하세요.

🌳

장기 보유

수년 이상 꾸준히 모아갈 때

부적합

💵

배당 인컴

매월·분기 현금흐름이 목적일 때

부적합

⚡

단기 트레이딩

며칠~몇 주 단기 방향성 매매

매우 적합

🧩

포트폴리오 보조

자산 배분·헤지 용도

매우 낮음

👤

이런 분에게 어울려요

Short-term traders only

✅ 강점

뚜렷한 강점이 드러나지 않아요.

⚠️ 약점·주의사항

💸Expense ratio is somewhat high — 1.5% annually
⚠️Very high volatility — invest only with capital you can hold for the long term
🎢Leveraged — compounding decay can produce results that differ from expectations over long holds

Portfolio Composition

What's actually inside — sector weights and top holdings

파생상품 기반 ETF

실제 보유 종목이 일반 ETF와 다르게 스왑·선물 중심이에요.

ℹ️ 왜 구성을 봐야 하나요?

ETF의 실제 성과는 담고 있는 종목과 섹터에서 나와요. 이름이 "S&P 500"이라도 기술주 비중이 유난히 높을 수 있고, "배당주 ETF"라도 몇몇 대형주에 쏠려 있을 수 있어요. 라벨보다 실제 구성을 확인하는 게 중요해요.

🔬 집중도 한눈에 보기

총 보유종목

70개

상위 10개 비중

45.0%

최대 단일 종목

10.58%

집중도(HHI)

319

낮음 (분산)

🥧 섹터 비중

Basic Materials

5.4%

Financial

3.1%

📋 상위 보유 종목 Top 10 Top 10이 전체의 45.0% 차지

티커 옆의 점 색상 = 섹터 구분 (섹터 차트와 동일 색상)

#1 - AL RAJHI BANK

10.58%

#2 - THE SAUDI NATIONAL BANK

5.68%

#3 AU ANGLOGOLD ASHANTI PLC

5.36%

#4 - QATAR NATIONAL BANK

3.84%

#5 - FIRSTRAND LTD

3.52%

#6 - CAPITEC BANK HOLDINGS LTD

3.50%

#7 - SAUDI ARABIAN OIL CO

3.42%

#8 - NASPERS LTD-N SHS

3.30%

NBHC NATIONAL BANK OF KUWAIT

3.11%

#10 - ETIHAD ETISALAT CO

2.73%

Category Peers

Category: Equity - Leveraged / Inverse

같은 카테고리 6종 중 AUM 6/6위 · 보수율 6/6위

카테고리: Equity - Leveraged / Inverse

ℹ️ 왜 비교해야 하나요?

같은 카테고리 ETF끼리는 보수율·규모(AUM)·배당률을 비교해 볼 가치가 있어요. 보수율은 낮을수록 장기 수익에 유리하고, AUM이 크면 운용 안정성이 높아요. ▲ 표시는 NBIL보다 유리, ▼ 표시는 NBIL보다 불리를 뜻해요.

티커	ETF명	보수율	AUM	보유종목	배당률	YTD	1년
NBIL	GraniteShares 2x Long NBIS Daily ETF	1.5%	$145M	4	-	+97.69%	-
TQQQ	ProShares UltraPro QQQ 3x Shares	0.82% ▲	$31.8B ▲	130	0.61%	-	+37.13%
SOXL	Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF	0.75% ▲	$18.8B ▲	45	0.01%	-	+307.51%
QLD	ProShares Ultra QQQ 2x Shares	0.95% ▲	$12.5B ▲	128	0.14%	-	+30.19%
SSO	ProShares Ultra S&P500 2x Shares	0.87% ▲	$7.7B ▲	523	0.69%	-	+27.71%
SPXL	Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X ETF	0.84% ▲	$6.5B ▲	516	0.54%	-	+39.37%

AUM 내림차순 정렬 · ▲ NBIL보다 유리 · ▼ NBIL보다 불리

Leveraged & Covered Call ETFs on the Same Theme

ETFs that approach the same theme with a different strategy

24 ETFs tracking the same theme as NBIL using leveraged or covered call strategies (Leverage 8 · Inverse 8 · Covered Call 8)

Not direct derivatives of NBIL, but ETFs that cover the same theme via a different strategy.

ℹ️ Which ETFs are included?

Among ETFs whose theme (category or sector) overlaps with NBIL, some use special strategies. Leveraged ETFs aim for 2–3× the daily move, Inverse ETFs seek opposite-direction returns, and Covered Call ETFs generate monthly income from option premiums.

⚠️ Caution: Long-Term Holding

Leveraged and inverse ETFs track only the daily return. With high volatility, holding them for longer periods causes cumulative volatility decay—returns diverge further from the underlying index. They are meant for short-term trading.

📈 Leverage 8 ETFs that amplify the same theme by 2-3x (high volatility)