NBCM 주가 전망 및 ETF 분석 - 배당·운용보수·보유종목·NAV·RSI·MACD

NBCM

Neuberger Commodity Strategy ETF

7월 28일 1:45 PM ET (한국 7/29 02:45)

$28.41

-0.60 ▼ -2.07%

NBCM ETF is analyzed across 10 metrics including expense ratio, holdings, sector allocation, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

Total Expense Ratio

0.65%

Annual operating cost

Net Assets (AUM)

$463M

약 6348억원

Holdings

154 items

Dividend Yield

6.73%

Management Style

Active

Category ⓘ	Commodities & Metals - Diversified Commodities	Asset Type ⓘ	Commodities & Metals	Return% 1Y ⓘ	37.31%	Total Holdings ⓘ	154	Perf Week ⓘ	0.02%
ETF Type ⓘ	Global Commodities & Metals	Active/Passive ⓘ	Active	Return% 3Y ⓘ	15.66%	AUM ⓘ	$463M	Perf Month ⓘ	6.43%
Expense ⓘ	0.65%	NAV ⓘ	$28.98	Return% 5Y ⓘ	-	52W High ⓘ	-7.8%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	-1.77%
Dividend TTM ⓘ	$1.91 (6.73%)	Div Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	118.26% -	Return% 10Y ⓘ	-	52W Low ⓘ	29.18%	Perf Half Y ⓘ	14.27%
Flows% 1M ⓘ	5.26%	Flows% YTD ⓘ	23.66%	Return% SI ⓘ	12.97%	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	0.47% 0.82%	Perf YTD ⓘ	25.56%
SMA20 ⓘ	2.14%	SMA50 ⓘ	0.59%	SMA200 ⓘ	8.37%	RSI (14) ⓘ	54.81	Beta ⓘ	0.09
IPO ⓘ	2022/10/24	Prev Close ⓘ	$29.01	Perf Year ⓘ	25.03%	Avg Volume ⓘ	0.08M	Price ⓘ	$28.41

📊 Neuberger Commodity Strategy ETF (NBCM) Investment Analysis

ETF Overview

Neuberger Commodity Strategy ETF · Commodities & Metals - Diversified Commodities

배당 인컴형 — 꾸준한 배당 수익 목적의 배당주 바구니

2022년 상장, 4년 운영 중.

Neuberger Berman Commodity Strategy ETF는 총수익을 목표로 합니다. 평상시 원자재 연계 파생상품과 채권형 상품에 투자해 목표를 달성합니다. 원자재는 석유·천연가스·농산물·금속 등의 자산입니다. 채권 투자는 주로 투자적격 채권에 투자하며, 유동성과 원금 보존을 제공하고 파생상품 담보 역할을 할 수 있습니다.

📘 NBCM ETF 자세히 알아보기 →

commodityfuturesfixed-incomederivatives

규모: $463M 약 6348억원
운용사: Neuberger Berman
운용 방식: 액티브 (운용사 재량)
상장일: 2022년

Cost Efficiency

Annual Expense Ratio · Category Rank · Long-Term Cost Impact

Average expense ratio — 0.65% annually

Mid-range within the Commodities & Metals - Diversified Commodities category.

Effective Annual Expense Ratio (Net Expense Ratio)

평균권

0.65%

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Actual Cost Simulation by Investment Amount

$100.0M

Annual Expense Ratio

$650K

Same as category average

Category Median Annual Cost

$650K

Based on expense ratio of 0.65%

10-Year Cumulative Expense Ratio (Long-term simulation assuming 7% annual market growth)

$11.6M

12.0% of returns you could have earned goes to the fund manager due to fees

💡 Because the expense ratio takes a slice of your assets every year, costs compound over 10 years and result in far greater losses than a simple sum (annual fee × 10). The 7% annual return assumption is based on the S&P 500's long-term average.

Defaults shown against $100K baseline portfolio. Adjust the slider to update the amount in real time.

Cheaper alternatives in the same category

COMB

GraniteShares Bloomberg Commodity Broad Strategy No K-1 ETF

0.25%

-0.40%p annually

BCI

abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy K-1 Free ETF

0.26%

-0.39%p annually

CERY

State Street SPDR Bloomberg Enhanced Roll Yld Comdty Straty No K-1 ETF

0.28%

-0.37%p annually

* A lower fee does not necessarily mean a better ETF. Consider the tracked index, liquidity, and tax treatment as well.

Long-Term Performance

1-year · 3-year · 5-year · 10-year returns · vs. benchmark · drawdown defense

Insufficient return data

+19.5%p vs. benchmark (SPY) over 1Y.

ℹ️ The "1Y·3Y·5Y·10Y" periods below represent annualized returns (CAGR) measured backward from today. Example: "3Y +12%" means the investment grew at a compounded 12% per year over the past three years.

If you had invested 3 year(s) ago

$100.0M

Today's value

$154.7M

→

Total gain

+$54.7M

Annualized +15.7%

ℹ️ How to read the return breakdown bar

Each period bar shows the share of this ETF's returns by source.

Price gains Price decline Dividends received

Mostly blue (80%+): Growth-style — price gains drive most returns
Mostly orange (70%+): Income-style — dividends drive most returns (watch out for after-tax drag)
Red + orange: Stagnant or declining price — dividends offset losses (common in covered-call and high-dividend funds)

1 Year

2025.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +37.31%

평균권

Price +25.03% + Dividend +12.28% = Total +37.31%/yr

Outperformed the benchmark by 19.5%p annually

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

3 Years

2023.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +15.66% Cumulative +54.7%

평균권

Price +7.75% + Dividend +7.91% = Total +15.66%/yr

Trailed the benchmark by 3.3%p annually

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

5 Years

2021.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2022/10 — under 5 years

10Y

2016.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2022/10 — under 10 years

4Y Cumulative Total Return Curve

2022-10-24 start, based on a 100M KRW base — read the curve values directly as units of 100M KRW (e.g., 308 → 3.08억 / 308M KRW). Both this ETF and the benchmark are rebased to 100 on the same start date for comparison.

NBCM · Price Only NBCM · Price + Cumulative Dividends NBCM · Dividend Reinvested S&P 500 (SPY)

100

150

200

250

ℹ️ Price Only: Excludes dividends and tracks pure stock price only. Covered-call and high-dividend ETFs often show a flat or declining line on this view, which is meaningful from a "principal preservation" standpoint. Price + Cumulative Dividend: Share count stays the same and received dividends are accumulated as cash. Closely matches your actual account total assets. Reinvested: Dividends are immediately used to buy additional shares (adjClose-based, the industry standard for total return). The wider the gap between the three lines, the easier it is to gauge the effectiveness of the dividend strategy.

Annual Return Comparison

ETF returns vs S&P 500 (SPY) by calendar year

NBCM S&P 500 (SPY)

+40%

−40%

+5%

2022

-4%

2023

+8%

2024

+17%

2025

+25%

2026 YTD

ℹ️ Returns from January 1 to December 31 of each year. The current year (2026) column is dimmed to indicate YTD (incomplete). If blue is higher than gray, the ETF outperformed the benchmark in that year.

Win rate vs S&P 500 (SPY)

1 / 4Y

Lags behind benchmark (25%)

+ 2026 YTD: Ahead (25.4% vs 8.5%)

2022 ✓

2023 ✗

2024 ✗

2025 ✗

2026 ✓ YTD

ℹ️ Number of winning years versus S&P 500 (SPY) within a completed calendar year (1/1–12/31). The current year (YTD) is reported separately.

Downside Capture

🛡️ 3%

Falls less than the benchmark in drawdowns — strong downside protection

<85% (Defend) 85~110% (Track) >110% (Lag)

ℹ️ Average % drop of this ETF when S&P 500 (SPY) is −1%. Based on daily returns over the past 3 years (only days where the benchmark is negative).

Risk Profile

Volatility · Beta · Max Drawdown · Sharpe · Drawdown Recovery History

Overall Risk Grade

Low Risk

Less volatile than the market average, making it relatively easy to hold over time.

Beta (market sensitivity)

평균권

0.09

If the market rises +10% +0.9%

If the market falls -10% -0.9%

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

ℹ️ A beta of 1.0 moves in line with the market. Above 1 means it moves more than the market; below 1 means less.

Average daily range (last 1 month)

평균권

±0.82%

S&P 500 typically ±1.0~1.3% · Bond funds ±0.3% · Leveraged ETFs ±3% or more

Annual volatility trend (past 10 years)

ℹ️ This ETF's average daily price swing. 1% means "on average, moves about ±1% per day." The rolling curve below shows the annualized volatility (long-term standard measure) over time.

Max Drawdown · Past 10 years

-14.8%

Drawdown duration: 1 months

2026-05-12 → 2026-06-24

Still recovering

2022-10-24 Worst -14% 2026-07-01

ℹ️ Maximum drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in the past. It represents the worst-case loss a long-term investor must psychologically endure.

Sharpe Ratio (Risk-Adjusted Return)

0.62

Average — Moderate risk-adjusted returns

ℹ️ Annualized return minus the risk-free rate (3% annualized), divided by annualized volatility. A value above 1.0 is generally considered good risk-adjusted performance.

Estimated Monthly Maximum Loss (VaR 95%)

-4.6%

Historically, monthly losses exceeding this figure occurred only5%of the time.

ℹ️ A statistical estimate meaning "with 95% probability, monthly losses will not exceed this amount." The remaining 5% corresponds to crisis-level events such as financial crises or pandemics.

Dividend Analysis

Yield · Dividend history · After-tax income calculator

Dividend-paying ETF — 6.73% annually

An ETF that provides consistent dividend income.

ℹ️ This ETF is designed for dividend income. Distributions mainly come from dividends paid by its holdings, plus a small amount of interest, making them relatively stable.

배당수익률

6.73%

주당 배당

$1.91

연간 기준

5년 성장률

지급 주기

연배당

12월

🏆 3년 연속 배당 증가

📊 총 이력 2022~2025 (4건)

연도별 배당 총액 추이

주당 배당금을 연 단위로 합산한 금액입니다. 막대가 우상향이면 매년 배당이 늘어나고 있다는 뜻입니다.

—

2021

$0.18

2022

$0.90 +391.3%

2023

$1.09 +20.8%

2024

$1.91 +75.2%

2025

$X.XX 그 해 총 배당금 +X% 전년 대비 증가 -X% 감소

최근 배당 이력 총 4건

아래로 스크롤하면 과거 배당 이력을 볼 수 있습니다.

배당락일

주당 금액

지급일

당시 수익률

2025-12-19

$1.91

—

8.52%

2024-12-18

$1.09

—

9.75%

2023-12-19

$0.904

—

4.33%

2022-12-16

$0.184

—

0.83%

* "배당락일"은 배당받으려면 이 날 이전에 주식을 보유해야 하는 기준일입니다. 지급일·당시 수익률은 일부 종목에서 데이터가 없을 수 있습니다.

💰 내가 $100K 투자한다면

연간 배당금 (세후) $6K

5년 누적 (세후) $29K

* 환율 1 가정, 배당소득세 15% 반영. 5년 누적은 배당 성장률 연 0% 가정.

* Qualified dividend middle-bracket approximation. Actual rate varies by total income.

Overall investment appeal

What this ETF fits best — strengths, weaknesses, and target investor profile

Strengths and weaknesses both present Check the fit below to see whether it matches your investing goal.

🎯 목적별 적합도

내가 이 ETF를 어떤 목적으로 활용할 수 있는지 확인하세요.

🌳

장기 보유

수년 이상 꾸준히 모아갈 때

적합

💵

배당 인컴

매월·분기 현금흐름이 목적일 때

매우 적합

⚡

단기 트레이딩

며칠~몇 주 단기 방향성 매매

매우 낮음

🧩

포트폴리오 보조

자산 배분·헤지 용도

보통

👤

이런 분에게 어울려요

Investors who want consistent dividend income

✅ 강점

🎯Outperforms benchmark by +19.5%p annually

⚠️ 약점·주의사항

특별한 약점이 보이지 않아요.

Portfolio Composition

What's actually inside — sector weights and top holdings

배당주 중심 포트폴리오

주로 배당을 꾸준히 지급하는 기업들로 구성되어 있어요.

ℹ️ 왜 구성을 봐야 하나요?

ETF의 실제 성과는 담고 있는 종목과 섹터에서 나와요. 이름이 "S&P 500"이라도 기술주 비중이 유난히 높을 수 있고, "배당주 ETF"라도 몇몇 대형주에 쏠려 있을 수 있어요. 라벨보다 실제 구성을 확인하는 게 중요해요.

🔬 집중도 한눈에 보기

총 보유종목

189개

상위 10개 비중

36.2%

최대 단일 종목

13.93%

집중도(HHI)

328

낮음 (분산)

🥧 섹터 비중

Financial

7.7% -5%p

Healthcare

3.6% -7%p

Communication Services

2.7% -6%p

Technology

1.9% -28%p

Industrials

1.1% -7%p

Consumer Defensive

0.8% -5%p

Energy

0.8% -3%p

S&P 500보다 많이 투자 (+3%p 이상) S&P 500보다 적게 투자 (-3%p 이상)

📋 상위 보유 종목 Top 10 Top 10이 전체의 36.2% 차지

티커 옆의 점 색상 = 섹터 구분 (섹터 차트와 동일 색상)

MYMK State Street Global Advisors

13.93%

BNO United States Treasury

7.81%

#3 - N/A

2.72%

#4 T AT&T INC

1.83%

#5 WFC WELLS FARGO & COMPANY

1.75%

CAF MORGAN STANLEY BANK NA

1.73%

#7 BAC BANK OF NY MELLON CORP

1.69%

#8 - US BANK NA CINCINNATI

1.64%

#9 BAC BANK OF AMERICA CORP

1.59%

#10 ABT ABBOTT LABORATORIES

1.48%

Category Peers

Category: Commodities & Metals - Diversified Commodities

같은 카테고리 6종 중 AUM 5/6위 · 보수율 5/6위

카테고리: Commodities & Metals - Diversified Commodities

ℹ️ 왜 비교해야 하나요?

같은 카테고리 ETF끼리는 보수율·규모(AUM)·배당률을 비교해 볼 가치가 있어요. 보수율은 낮을수록 장기 수익에 유리하고, AUM이 크면 운용 안정성이 높아요. ▲ 표시는 NBCM보다 유리, ▼ 표시는 NBCM보다 불리를 뜻해요.

티커	ETF명	보수율	AUM	보유종목	배당률	YTD	1년
NBCM	Neuberger Commodity Strategy ETF	0.65%	$463M	154	6.73%	+25.56%	+25.03%
PDBC	Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF	0.59% ▲	$6.5B ▲	55	2.94% ▼	-	+30.90% ▲
BCI	abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy K-1 Free ETF	0.26% ▲	$3.1B ▲	41	13.50% ▲	-	+13.13% ▼
CMDT	PIMCO Commodity Strategy Active ETF	0.65%	$809M ▲	423	2.60% ▼	-	+24.05% ▼
SDCI	USCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund	0.6% ▲	$576M ▲	40	2.84% ▼	-	+29.10% ▲
BCD	abrdn Bloomberg All Comm Longer Dt Strategy K-1 Free ETF	0.3% ▲	$409M ▼	41	14.80% ▲	-	+7.14% ▼

AUM 내림차순 정렬 · ▲ NBCM보다 유리 · ▼ NBCM보다 불리

Leveraged & Covered Call ETFs on the Same Theme

ETFs that approach the same theme with a different strategy

21 ETFs tracking the same theme as NBCM using leveraged or covered call strategies (Leverage 8 · Inverse 6 · Covered Call 7)

Not direct derivatives of NBCM, but ETFs that cover the same theme via a different strategy.

ℹ️ Which ETFs are included?

Among ETFs whose theme (category or sector) overlaps with NBCM, some use special strategies. Leveraged ETFs aim for 2–3× the daily move, Inverse ETFs seek opposite-direction returns, and Covered Call ETFs generate monthly income from option premiums.

⚠️ Caution: Long-Term Holding

Leveraged and inverse ETFs track only the daily return. With high volatility, holding them for longer periods causes cumulative volatility decay—returns diverge further from the underlying index. They are meant for short-term trading.

📈 Leverage 8 ETFs that amplify the same theme by 2-3x (high volatility)