CPER 주가 전망 및 ETF 분석 - 배당·운용보수·보유종목·NAV·RSI·MACD

CPER

United States Commodity Index Funds Trust

7월 28일 11:54 AM ET (한국 7/29 24:54)

$38.77

+0.42 ▲ +1.10%

CPER ETF is analyzed across 10 metrics including expense ratio, holdings, sector allocation, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

Total Expense Ratio

0.88%

Annual operating cost

Net Assets (AUM)

$723M

약 9910억원

Holdings

23 items

Dividend Yield

Management Style

Passive

Category ⓘ	Commodities & Metals - Gold / Metals	Asset Type ⓘ	Commodities & Metals	Return% 1Y ⓘ	6.23%	Total Holdings ⓘ	23	Perf Week ⓘ	0.91%
ETF Type ⓘ	Global Commodities & Metals	Active/Passive ⓘ	Passive	Return% 3Y ⓘ	17.65%	AUM ⓘ	$723M	Perf Month ⓘ	4.84%
Expense ⓘ	0.88%	NAV ⓘ	$38.47	Return% 5Y ⓘ	7.81%	52W High ⓘ	-4.93%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	4.95%
Dividend TTM ⓘ	-	Div Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	-	Return% 10Y ⓘ	10.06%	52W Low ⓘ	43.17%	Perf Half Y ⓘ	6.16%
Flows% 1M ⓘ	-6.48%	Flows% YTD ⓘ	42.96%	Return% SI ⓘ	2.9%	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	0.93% 1.19%	Perf YTD ⓘ	10.9%
SMA20 ⓘ	1.87%	SMA50 ⓘ	0.89%	SMA200 ⓘ	9.29%	RSI (14) ⓘ	54.01	Beta ⓘ	0.49
IPO ⓘ	2011/11/15	Prev Close ⓘ	$38.35	Perf Year ⓘ	8.18%	Avg Volume ⓘ	0.65M	Price ⓘ	$38.77

📊 United States Commodity Index Funds Trust (CPER) Investment Analysis

ETF Overview

United States Commodity Index Funds Trust · Commodities & Metals - Gold / Metals

일반 ETF — 카테고리 기반 분석만 제공됩니다

2011년 상장, 15년 운영 중.

United States Copper Index Fund, LP는 SummerHaven Copper Index Total Return(SCI) 일일 변동률에서 펀드 비용을 차감한 값으로 주당 NAV 일일 변동률을 반영하는 것을 목표로 합니다. 벤치마크 구성 구리 선물 계약에 최대한 투자하여 투자 목표를 달성하고자 합니다. SCI는 COMEX 거래소 구리 선물 계약 포트폴리오의 투자 수익 성과를 반영하도록 설계되었습니다.

📘 CPER ETF 자세히 알아보기 →

commodityfuturescoppermetals

규모: $723M 약 9910억원
운용사: United
운용 방식: 패시브 (지수 추종)
상장일: 2011년

Cost Efficiency

Annual Expense Ratio · Category Rank · Long-Term Cost Impact

Above-average cost — 0.88% annually

Expense ratio is higher than the Commodities & Metals - Gold / Metals median. Compare against similar ETFs.

Effective Annual Expense Ratio (Net Expense Ratio)

하위 25%

0.88%

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

Actual Cost Simulation by Investment Amount

$100.0M

Annual Expense Ratio

$880K

Pay $290K more per year vs. category average

Category Median Annual Cost

$590K

Based on expense ratio of 0.59%

10-Year Cumulative Expense Ratio (Long-term simulation assuming 7% annual market growth)

$15.6M

16.1% of returns you could have earned goes to the fund manager due to fees

💡 Because the expense ratio takes a slice of your assets every year, costs compound over 10 years and result in far greater losses than a simple sum (annual fee × 10). The 7% annual return assumption is based on the S&P 500's long-term average.

Defaults shown against $100K baseline portfolio. Adjust the slider to update the amount in real time.

Cheaper alternatives in the same category

IAUM

iShares Gold Trust Micro

0.09%

-0.79%p annually

GLDM

SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust

0.10%

-0.78%p annually

FGDL

Franklin Responsibly Sourced Gold ETF

0.15%

-0.73%p annually

* A lower fee does not necessarily mean a better ETF. Consider the tracked index, liquidity, and tax treatment as well.

Long-Term Performance

1-year · 3-year · 5-year · 10-year returns · vs. benchmark · drawdown defense

Returns slightly below average

하위 25% vs. Commodities & Metals - Gold / Metals.-11.6%p vs. benchmark (SPY) over 1Y.

ℹ️ The "1Y·3Y·5Y·10Y" periods below represent annualized returns (CAGR) measured backward from today. Example: "3Y +12%" means the investment grew at a compounded 12% per year over the past three years.

If you had invested 10 year(s) ago

$100.0M

Today's value

$260.8M

→

Total gain

+$160.8M

Annualized +10.1%

1 Year

2025.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +6.23%

하위 25%

Trailed the benchmark by 11.6%p annually

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

3 Years

2023.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +17.65% Cumulative +62.8%

평균권

Trailed the benchmark by 1.4%p annually

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

5 Years

2021.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +7.81% Cumulative +45.6%

하위 25%

Trailed the benchmark by 5.1%p annually

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

10Y

2016.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +10.06% Cumulative +160.8%

평균권

Trailed the benchmark by 4.8%p annually

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

10Y Cumulative Total Return Curve

2016-07-28 start, based on a 100M KRW base — read the curve values directly as units of 100M KRW (e.g., 308 → 3.08억 / 308M KRW). Both this ETF and the benchmark are rebased to 100 on the same start date for comparison.

CPER · Price Only CPER · Price + Cumulative Dividends CPER · Dividend Reinvested S&P 500 (SPY)

150

250

350

450

ℹ️ Price Only: Excludes dividends and tracks pure stock price only. Covered-call and high-dividend ETFs often show a flat or declining line on this view, which is meaningful from a "principal preservation" standpoint. Price + Cumulative Dividend: Share count stays the same and received dividends are accumulated as cash. Closely matches your actual account total assets. Reinvested: Dividends are immediately used to buy additional shares (adjClose-based, the industry standard for total return). The wider the gap between the three lines, the easier it is to gauge the effectiveness of the dividend strategy.

Annual Return Comparison

ETF returns vs S&P 500 (SPY) by calendar year

CPER S&P 500 (SPY)

+40%

−40%

+30%

2017

-21%

2018

+8%

2019

+23%

2020

+23%

2021

-14%

2022

+6%

2023

+5%

2024

+38%

2025

+11%

2026 YTD

ℹ️ Returns from January 1 to December 31 of each year. The current year (2026) column is dimmed to indicate YTD (incomplete). If blue is higher than gray, the ETF outperformed the benchmark in that year.

Win rate vs S&P 500 (SPY)

4 / 9Y

Roughly even with benchmark (44%)

+ 2026 YTD: Ahead (10.8% vs 8.5%)

2017 ✓

2018 ✗

2019 ✗

2020 ✓

2021 ✗

2022 ✓

2023 ✗

2024 ✗

2025 ✓

2026 ✓ YTD

ℹ️ Number of winning years versus S&P 500 (SPY) within a completed calendar year (1/1–12/31). The current year (YTD) is reported separately.

Downside Capture

🛡️ 78%

Falls less than the benchmark in drawdowns — strong downside protection

<85% (Defend) 85~110% (Track) >110% (Lag)

ℹ️ Average % drop of this ETF when S&P 500 (SPY) is −1%. Based on daily returns over the past 3 years (only days where the benchmark is negative).

Risk Profile

Volatility · Beta · Max Drawdown · Sharpe · Drawdown Recovery History

Overall Risk Grade

Low Risk

Less volatile than the market average, making it relatively easy to hold over time.

Beta (market sensitivity)

하위 25%

0.49

If the market rises +10% +4.9%

If the market falls -10% -4.9%

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

ℹ️ A beta of 1.0 moves in line with the market. Above 1 means it moves more than the market; below 1 means less.

Average daily range (last 1 month)

상위 25%

±1.19%

S&P 500 typically ±1.0~1.3% · Bond funds ±0.3% · Leveraged ETFs ±3% or more

Annual volatility trend (past 10 years)

ℹ️ This ETF's average daily price swing. 1% means "on average, moves about ±1% per day." The rolling curve below shows the annualized volatility (long-term standard measure) over time.

Max Drawdown · Past 10 years

-38.4%

Drawdown duration: 27 months

2017-12-28 → 2020-03-23

Recovered in about 8 months

2015-07-31 Worst -36% 2026-07-01

ℹ️ Maximum drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in the past. It represents the worst-case loss a long-term investor must psychologically endure.

Sharpe Ratio (Risk-Adjusted Return)

0.22

Weak — Low risk-adjusted returns

ℹ️ Annualized return minus the risk-free rate (3% annualized), divided by annualized volatility. A value above 1.0 is generally considered good risk-adjusted performance.

Estimated Monthly Maximum Loss (VaR 95%)

-9.5%

Historically, monthly losses exceeding this figure occurred only5%of the time.

ℹ️ A statistical estimate meaning "with 95% probability, monthly losses will not exceed this amount." The remaining 5% corresponds to crisis-level events such as financial crises or pandemics.

Overall investment appeal

What this ETF fits best — strengths, weaknesses, and target investor profile

Warrants a closer look Several metrics show warning signs. Compare it with similar ETFs before deciding.

🎯 목적별 적합도

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며칠~몇 주 단기 방향성 매매

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포트폴리오 보조

자산 배분·헤지 용도

낮음

👤

이런 분에게 어울려요

Long-term and recurring investors

✅ 강점

🛡️Below-average volatility

⚠️ 약점·주의사항

💸Expense ratio is somewhat high — 0.88% annually
📈Long-term returns trail the average
🎯Trails benchmark by -5.1%p annually

Leveraged & Covered Call ETFs on the Same Theme

ETFs that approach the same theme with a different strategy

21 ETFs tracking the same theme as CPER using leveraged or covered call strategies (Leverage 8 · Inverse 6 · Covered Call 7)

Not direct derivatives of CPER, but ETFs that cover the same theme via a different strategy.

ℹ️ Which ETFs are included?

Among ETFs whose theme (category or sector) overlaps with CPER, some use special strategies. Leveraged ETFs aim for 2–3× the daily move, Inverse ETFs seek opposite-direction returns, and Covered Call ETFs generate monthly income from option premiums.

⚠️ Caution: Long-Term Holding

Leveraged and inverse ETFs track only the daily return. With high volatility, holding them for longer periods causes cumulative volatility decay—returns diverge further from the underlying index. They are meant for short-term trading.

📈 Leverage 8 ETFs that amplify the same theme by 2-3x (high volatility)