CEFS 주가 전망 및 ETF 분석 - 배당·운용보수·보유종목·NAV·RSI·MACD

CEFS

Saba Closed-End Funds ETF

7월 28일 3:59 PM ET (한국 7/29 04:59)

$24.92

-0.18 ▼ -0.72%

☀️ 7월 28일 9:10 AM ET (한국 7/28 22:10)

$24.92

+0.06 ▲ +0.24%

CEFS ETF is analyzed across 10 metrics including expense ratio, holdings, sector allocation, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

Total Expense Ratio

4.29%

Annual operating cost

Net Assets (AUM)

$428M

약 5860억원

Holdings

79 items

Dividend Yield

6.14%

Management Style

Active

Category ⓘ	Other Asset Types - Multi-Asset / Other	Asset Type ⓘ	Closed End Funds	Return% 1Y ⓘ	20.62%	Total Holdings ⓘ	79	Perf Week ⓘ	-0.32%
ETF Type ⓘ	Global Closed End Funds	Active/Passive ⓘ	Active	Return% 3Y ⓘ	19.47%	AUM ⓘ	$428M	Perf Month ⓘ	-3.04%
Expense ⓘ	4.29%	NAV ⓘ	$24.94	Return% 5Y ⓘ	13.88%	52W High ⓘ	-4.08%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	1.63%
Dividend TTM ⓘ	$1.53 (6.14%)	Div Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	-1.37% -0.7%	Return% 10Y ⓘ	-	52W Low ⓘ	14.34%	Perf Half Y ⓘ	7.46%
Flows% 1M ⓘ	2.4%	Flows% YTD ⓘ	7.66%	Return% SI ⓘ	12.12%	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	1.28% 1.44%	Perf YTD ⓘ	8.16%
SMA20 ⓘ	-1.45%	SMA50 ⓘ	-1.52%	SMA200 ⓘ	5.58%	RSI (14) ⓘ	41.51	Beta ⓘ	0.75
IPO ⓘ	2017/3/21	Prev Close ⓘ	$25.1	Perf Year ⓘ	12.21%	Avg Volume ⓘ	0.09M	Price ⓘ	$24.92

📊 Saba Closed-End Funds ETF (CEFS) Investment Analysis

ETF Overview

Saba Closed-End Funds ETF · Other Asset Types - Multi-Asset / Other

배당 인컴형 — 꾸준한 배당 수익 목적의 배당주 바구니

2017년 상장, 9년 운영 중.

Saba Closed-End Funds ETF는 자본 증식과 배당 수익을 제공하는 것을 목표로 합니다. 이 ETF는 액티브 운용 방식으로, 통상 순자산(투자 목적의 차입금 포함)의 80% 이상을 폐쇄형 펀드(기초 펀드)가 발행한 증권에 투자합니다. 운용사는 주식·채권에 투자하는 다양한 폐쇄형 펀드 매니저가 운용하는 기초 펀드에 투자할 것으로 예상하며, 주로 높은 수익 기회를 추구하는 기초 펀드에 투자합니다.

📘 CEFS ETF 자세히 알아보기 →

U.S.equityfixed-income

규모: $428M 약 5860억원
운용사: -
운용 방식: 액티브 (운용사 재량)
상장일: 2017년

Cost Efficiency

Annual Expense Ratio · Category Rank · Long-Term Cost Impact

High-cost ETF — 4.29% annually

Costs are notably higher than the category average. Long-term holdings can erode returns.

Effective Annual Expense Ratio (Net Expense Ratio)

하위 5%

4.29%

My positionBottom 5%

Low range Average High range

Actual Cost Simulation by Investment Amount

$100.0M

Annual Expense Ratio

$4.3M

Pay $3.6M more per year vs. category average

Category Median Annual Cost

$690K

Based on expense ratio of 0.69%

10-Year Cumulative Expense Ratio (Long-term simulation assuming 7% annual market growth)

$66.1M

68.3% of returns you could have earned goes to the fund manager due to fees

💡 Because the expense ratio takes a slice of your assets every year, costs compound over 10 years and result in far greater losses than a simple sum (annual fee × 10). The 7% annual return assumption is based on the S&P 500's long-term average.

Defaults shown against $100K baseline portfolio. Adjust the slider to update the amount in real time.

Cheaper alternatives in the same category

MSBT

Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust

0.14%

-4.15%p annually

BTC

Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF

0.15%

-4.14%p annually

ETH

Grayscale Ethereum Staking Mini ETF

0.15%

-4.14%p annually

* A lower fee does not necessarily mean a better ETF. Consider the tracked index, liquidity, and tax treatment as well.

Long-Term Performance

1-year · 3-year · 5-year · 10-year returns · vs. benchmark · drawdown defense

Upper-tier returns in its category

상위 25% within Other Asset Types - Multi-Asset / Other.+2.8%p vs. benchmark (SPY) over 1Y.

ℹ️ The "1Y·3Y·5Y·10Y" periods below represent annualized returns (CAGR) measured backward from today. Example: "3Y +12%" means the investment grew at a compounded 12% per year over the past three years.

If you had invested 5 year(s) ago

$100.0M

Today's value

$191.5M

→

Total gain

+$91.5M

Annualized +13.9%

ℹ️ How to read the return breakdown bar

Each period bar shows the share of this ETF's returns by source.

Price gains Price decline Dividends received

Mostly blue (80%+): Growth-style — price gains drive most returns
Mostly orange (70%+): Income-style — dividends drive most returns (watch out for after-tax drag)
Red + orange: Stagnant or declining price — dividends offset losses (common in covered-call and high-dividend funds)

1 Year

2025.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +20.62%

상위 25%

Price +12.21% + Dividend +8.41% = Total +20.62%/yr

Outperformed the benchmark by 2.8%p annually

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

3 Years

2023.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +19.47% Cumulative +70.5%

평균권

Price +10.43% + Dividend +9.04% = Total +19.47%/yr

Similar to benchmark

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

5 Years

2021.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +13.88% Cumulative +91.5%

상위 25%

Price +5.06% + Dividend +8.82% = Total +13.88%/yr

Outperformed the benchmark by 1.0%p annually

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

10Y

2016.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2017/3 — under 10 years

9Y Cumulative Total Return Curve

2017-03-21 start, based on a 100M KRW base — read the curve values directly as units of 100M KRW (e.g., 308 → 3.08억 / 308M KRW). Both this ETF and the benchmark are rebased to 100 on the same start date for comparison.

CEFS · Price Only CEFS · Price + Cumulative Dividends CEFS · Dividend Reinvested S&P 500 (SPY)

150

250

350

ℹ️ Price Only: Excludes dividends and tracks pure stock price only. Covered-call and high-dividend ETFs often show a flat or declining line on this view, which is meaningful from a "principal preservation" standpoint. Price + Cumulative Dividend: Share count stays the same and received dividends are accumulated as cash. Closely matches your actual account total assets. Reinvested: Dividends are immediately used to buy additional shares (adjClose-based, the industry standard for total return). The wider the gap between the three lines, the easier it is to gauge the effectiveness of the dividend strategy.

Annual Return Comparison

ETF returns vs S&P 500 (SPY) by calendar year

CEFS S&P 500 (SPY)

+40%

−40%

+15%

2017

-10%

2018

+27%

2019

+3%

2020

+18%

2021

-7%

2022

+21%

2023

+24%

2024

+17%

2025

+12%

2026 YTD

ℹ️ Returns from January 1 to December 31 of each year. The current year (2026) column is dimmed to indicate YTD (incomplete). If blue is higher than gray, the ETF outperformed the benchmark in that year.

Win rate vs S&P 500 (SPY)

1 / 9Y

Lags behind benchmark (11%)

+ 2026 YTD: Ahead (12.2% vs 8.5%)

2017 ✗

2018 ✗

2019 ✗

2020 ✗

2021 ✗

2022 ✓

2023 ✗

2024 ✗

2025 ✗

2026 ✓ YTD

ℹ️ Number of winning years versus S&P 500 (SPY) within a completed calendar year (1/1–12/31). The current year (YTD) is reported separately.

Downside Capture

🛡️ 52%

Falls less than the benchmark in drawdowns — strong downside protection

<85% (Defend) 85~110% (Track) >110% (Lag)

ℹ️ Average % drop of this ETF when S&P 500 (SPY) is −1%. Based on daily returns over the past 3 years (only days where the benchmark is negative).

Risk Profile

Volatility · Beta · Max Drawdown · Sharpe · Drawdown Recovery History

Overall Risk Grade

Low Risk

Less volatile than the market average, making it relatively easy to hold over time.

Beta (market sensitivity)

평균권

0.75

If the market rises +10% +7.5%

If the market falls -10% -7.5%

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

ℹ️ A beta of 1.0 moves in line with the market. Above 1 means it moves more than the market; below 1 means less.

Average daily range (last 1 month)

평균권

±1.44%

S&P 500 typically ±1.0~1.3% · Bond funds ±0.3% · Leveraged ETFs ±3% or more

Annual volatility trend (past 10 years)

ℹ️ This ETF's average daily price swing. 1% means "on average, moves about ±1% per day." The rolling curve below shows the annualized volatility (long-term standard measure) over time.

Max Drawdown · Past 10 years

-39.0%

Drawdown duration: 1 months

2020-02-20 → 2020-03-23

Recovered in about 8 months

2017-03-21 Worst -30% 2026-07-01

ℹ️ Maximum drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in the past. It represents the worst-case loss a long-term investor must psychologically endure.

Sharpe Ratio (Risk-Adjusted Return)

0.59

Average — Moderate risk-adjusted returns

ℹ️ Annualized return minus the risk-free rate (3% annualized), divided by annualized volatility. A value above 1.0 is generally considered good risk-adjusted performance.

Estimated Monthly Maximum Loss (VaR 95%)

-5.5%

Historically, monthly losses exceeding this figure occurred only5%of the time.

ℹ️ A statistical estimate meaning "with 95% probability, monthly losses will not exceed this amount." The remaining 5% corresponds to crisis-level events such as financial crises or pandemics.

Dividend Analysis

Yield · Dividend history · After-tax income calculator

Dividend-paying ETF — 6.14% annually

An ETF that provides consistent dividend income.5-year dividend growth rate: -0.7%.

ℹ️ This ETF is designed for dividend income. Distributions mainly come from dividends paid by its holdings, plus a small amount of interest, making them relatively stable.

배당수익률

6.14%

주당 배당

$1.53

연간 기준

5년 성장률

-0.7%

지급 주기

불규칙

1월 · 2월 · 3월 · 7월 · 8월 · 9월 · 10월 · 11월 · 12월

📊 총 이력 2017~2026 (110건)

연도별 배당 총액 추이

주당 배당금을 연 단위로 합산한 금액입니다. 막대가 우상향이면 매년 배당이 늘어나고 있다는 뜻입니다.

$1.35

2017

$1.73 +28.4%

2018

$1.57 -9.2%

2019

$1.68 +7.1%

2020

$2.22 +32.0%

2021

$1.95 -11.9%

2022

$1.75 -10.6%

2023

$1.88 +7.8%

2024

$1.81 -4.0%

2025

$X.XX 그 해 총 배당금 +X% 전년 대비 증가 -X% 감소

최근 배당 이력 총 110건

아래로 스크롤하면 과거 배당 이력을 볼 수 있습니다.

배당락일

주당 금액

지급일

당시 수익률

2026-03-27

$0.140

—

8.78%

2026-02-25

$0.140

—

8.27%

2026-01-28

$0.140

—

8.37%

2025-12-30

$0.266

—

9.36%

2025-11-25

$0.140

—

8.99%

2025-10-30

$0.140

—

8.23%

2025-09-29

$0.140

—

8.28%

2025-08-28

$0.140

—

8.38%

2025-07-30

$0.140

—

8.41%

2025-06-26

$0.140

—

8.52%

2025-05-29

$0.140

—

8.69%

2025-04-29

$0.140

—

8.96%

2025-03-27

$0.140

—

8.73%

2025-02-27

$0.140

—

8.61%

2025-01-30

$0.140

—

8.48%

2024-12-30

$0.342

—

8.78%

2024-11-25

$0.140

—

7.93%

2024-10-24

$0.140

—

7.90%

2024-09-24

$0.140

—

7.90%

2024-08-26

$0.140

—

8.06%

2024-07-24

$0.140

—

8.21%

2024-06-24

$0.140

—

8.33%

2024-05-23

$0.140

—

8.40%

2024-04-24

$0.140

—

8.85%

2024-03-25

$0.140

—

8.55%

2024-02-26

$0.140

—

8.89%

2024-01-24

$0.140

—

9.18%

2023-12-20

$0.206

—

11.57%

2023-11-20

$0.140

—

11.42%

2023-10-20

$0.140

—

12.50%

2023-09-20

$0.140

—

11.56%

2023-08-21

$0.140

—

11.54%

2023-07-20

$0.140

—

11.19%

2023-06-20

$0.140

—

11.39%

2023-05-22

$0.140

—

10.92%

2023-04-20

$0.140

—

11.56%

2023-03-20

$0.140

—

12.22%

2023-02-21

$0.140

—

11.56%

2023-01-20

$0.140

—

11.30%

2022-12-20

$0.413

—

15.21%

2022-11-21

$0.140

—

13.34%

2022-10-20

$0.140

—

14.13%

2022-09-20

$0.140

—

13.26%

2022-08-22

$0.140

—

11.83%

2022-07-20

$0.140

—

13.29%

2022-06-21

$0.140

—

13.80%

2022-05-20

$0.140

—

13.20%

2022-04-20

$0.140

—

12.11%

2022-03-21

$0.140

—

12.15%

2022-02-22

$0.140

—

12.08%

2022-01-20

$0.140

—

11.40%

2021-12-20

$0.678

—

11.77%

2021-11-22

$0.140

—

7.73%

2021-10-20

$0.140

—

8.33%

2021-09-20

$0.140

—

8.63%

2021-08-20

$0.140

—

8.63%

2021-07-20

$0.140

—

8.74%

2021-06-21

$0.140

—

8.63%

2021-05-20

$0.140

—

8.66%

2021-04-20

$0.140

—

8.72%

2021-03-22

$0.140

—

8.16%

2021-02-22

$0.140

—

8.31%

2021-01-20

$0.140

—

8.94%

2020-12-21

$0.140

—

8.60%

2020-11-20

$0.140

—

8.55%

2020-10-20

$0.140

—

9.92%

2020-09-21

$0.140

—

9.10%

2020-08-20

$0.140

—

8.91%

2020-07-20

$0.140

—

10.22%

2020-06-22

$0.140

—

9.39%

2020-05-20

$0.140

—

9.49%

2020-04-20

$0.140

—

10.48%

2020-03-20

$0.140

—

11.26%

2020-02-20

$0.140

—

8.09%

2020-01-21

$0.140

—

8.15%

2019-12-20

$0.140

—

8.53%

2019-11-20

$0.140

—

8.79%

2019-10-21

$0.140

—

8.77%

2019-09-20

$0.140

—

8.75%

2019-08-20

$0.140

—

8.95%

2019-07-22

$0.140

—

8.08%

2019-06-20

$0.028

—

8.62%

2019-05-20

$0.140

—

9.25%

2019-04-22

$0.140

—

8.52%

2019-03-20

$0.140

—

9.35%

2019-02-20

$0.140

—

9.52%

2019-01-22

$0.140

—

9.90%

2018-12-24

$0.047

—

10.80%

2018-12-20

$0.140

—

11.36%

2018-11-20

$0.140

—

10.32%

2018-10-22

$0.140

—

9.14%

2018-09-20

$0.140

—

9.56%

2018-08-20

$0.140

—

9.56%

2018-07-20

$0.140

—

9.59%

2018-06-20

$0.140

—

9.48%

2018-05-21

$0.140

—

9.35%

2018-04-20

$0.140

—

9.27%

2018-03-20

$0.140

—

8.49%

2018-02-20

$0.140

—

7.72%

2018-01-22

$0.140

—

6.86%

2017-12-26

$0.094

—

6.31%

2017-12-20

$0.140

—

5.88%

2017-11-20

$0.140

—

5.29%

2017-10-20

$0.140

—

4.51%

2017-09-20

$0.140

—

3.92%

2017-08-21

$0.140

—

3.35%

2017-07-20

$0.140

—

2.60%

2017-06-20

$0.140

—

1.98%

2017-05-22

$0.137

—

1.31%

2017-04-20

$0.134

—

0.66%

* "배당락일"은 배당받으려면 이 날 이전에 주식을 보유해야 하는 기준일입니다. 지급일·당시 수익률은 일부 종목에서 데이터가 없을 수 있습니다.

💰 내가 $100K 투자한다면

연간 배당금 (세후) $5K

5년 누적 (세후) $26K

* 환율 1 가정, 배당소득세 15% 반영. 5년 누적은 배당 성장률 연 -0.7% 가정.

* Qualified dividend middle-bracket approximation. Actual rate varies by total income.

Overall investment appeal

What this ETF fits best — strengths, weaknesses, and target investor profile

Strengths and weaknesses both present Check the fit below to see whether it matches your investing goal.

🎯 목적별 적합도

내가 이 ETF를 어떤 목적으로 활용할 수 있는지 확인하세요.

🌳

장기 보유

수년 이상 꾸준히 모아갈 때

매우 적합

💵

배당 인컴

매월·분기 현금흐름이 목적일 때

매우 적합

⚡

단기 트레이딩

며칠~몇 주 단기 방향성 매매

매우 낮음

🧩

포트폴리오 보조

자산 배분·헤지 용도

보통

👤

이런 분에게 어울려요

Investors who want consistent dividend income

✅ 강점

📈Top-tier long-term returns

⚠️ 약점·주의사항

💸Very high expense ratio — 4.29% annually

Portfolio Composition

What's actually inside — sector weights and top holdings

배당주 중심 포트폴리오

주로 배당을 꾸준히 지급하는 기업들로 구성되어 있어요.

ℹ️ 왜 구성을 봐야 하나요?

ETF의 실제 성과는 담고 있는 종목과 섹터에서 나와요. 이름이 "S&P 500"이라도 기술주 비중이 유난히 높을 수 있고, "배당주 ETF"라도 몇몇 대형주에 쏠려 있을 수 있어요. 라벨보다 실제 구성을 확인하는 게 중요해요.

🔬 집중도 한눈에 보기

총 보유종목

65개

상위 10개 비중

61.2%

최대 단일 종목

12.12%

집중도(HHI)

532

보통

⚠️ 소수 종목·섹터에 집중되어 있어, 해당 종목/섹터가 흔들리면 ETF 전체가 크게 영향을 받아요.

🥧 섹터 비중

Financial

62.4% +49%p

S&P 500보다 많이 투자 (+3%p 이상) S&P 500보다 적게 투자 (-3%p 이상)

📋 상위 보유 종목 Top 10 Top 10이 전체의 61.2% 차지

티커 옆의 점 색상 = 섹터 구분 (섹터 차트와 동일 색상)

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3.02%

NBXG Neuberger Next Generation Connectivity Fund Inc.

2.59%

#10

NML Neuberger Energy Infrastructure and Income Fund Inc.

2.58%

Category Peers

Category: Other Asset Types - Multi-Asset / Other

같은 카테고리 6종 중 AUM 5/6위 · 보수율 6/6위

카테고리: Other Asset Types - Multi-Asset / Other

ℹ️ 왜 비교해야 하나요?

같은 카테고리 ETF끼리는 보수율·규모(AUM)·배당률을 비교해 볼 가치가 있어요. 보수율은 낮을수록 장기 수익에 유리하고, AUM이 크면 운용 안정성이 높아요. ▲ 표시는 CEFS보다 유리, ▼ 표시는 CEFS보다 불리를 뜻해요.

티커	ETF명	보수율	AUM	보유종목	배당률	YTD	1년
CEFS	Saba Closed-End Funds ETF	4.29%	$428M	79	6.14%	+8.16%	+12.21%
DBMF	iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF	0.85% ▲	$4.1B ▲	21	5.06% ▼	-	+20.59% ▲
PFFA	Virtus InfraCap U.S. Preferred Stock ETF	2.11% ▲	$2.4B ▲	198	10.01% ▲	-	-3.80% ▼
PREF	Principal Spectrum Preferred Securities Active ETF	0.55% ▲	$1.8B ▲	163	5.23% ▼	-	-0.53% ▼
AMZA	InfraCap MLP ETF 1.25x Shares	1.72% ▲	$471M ▲	95	8.00% ▲	-	+11.47% ▼
KMLM	KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF	0.9% ▲	$385M ▼	33	4.44% ▼	-	+8.47% ▼

AUM 내림차순 정렬 · ▲ CEFS보다 유리 · ▼ CEFS보다 불리

Leveraged & Covered Call ETFs on the Same Theme

ETFs that approach the same theme with a different strategy

9 ETFs tracking the same theme as CEFS using leveraged or covered call strategies (Leverage 2 · Inverse 3 · Covered Call 4)

Not direct derivatives of CEFS, but ETFs that cover the same theme via a different strategy.

ℹ️ Which ETFs are included?

Among ETFs whose theme (category or sector) overlaps with CEFS, some use special strategies. Leveraged ETFs aim for 2–3× the daily move, Inverse ETFs seek opposite-direction returns, and Covered Call ETFs generate monthly income from option premiums.

⚠️ Caution: Long-Term Holding

Leveraged and inverse ETFs track only the daily return. With high volatility, holding them for longer periods causes cumulative volatility decay—returns diverge further from the underlying index. They are meant for short-term trading.

📈 Leverage 2 ETFs that amplify the same theme by 2-3x (high volatility)