Lab · Strategy backtest
Would trading by the rules have beaten simply holding?
NVDA over 730d: RSI 30/70 (+49.7%) beat simply holding (+25.4%).
Best method: RSI 30/70 (+49.7%). Steadiest: RSI 30/70 (max drawdown -15.2% vs holding -36.9%). S&P 500 over the same span: +25.7%.All 5 methods at once
Click a row to switch the chart and trades below
| Method | Total return | Annualized | Max drawdown | Time in market | Trades |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSI 30/70 Mean reversion | +49.7% | +22.4% | -15.2% | 6% | 2 |
| S&P 500 Index hold (benchmark) | +25.7% | +12.1% | -18.8% | 100% | - |
| Buy and hold Buy at start, hold to end | +25.4% | +12.0% | -36.9% | 100% | - |
| SMA 50/200 golden/death cross Trend following | +17.8% | +8.5% | -24.1% | 68% | 1 |
| BB lower/upper Mean reversion | +13.0% | +6.3% | -32.7% | 42% | 6 |
| Ichimoku cloud breakout Trend following | -23.0% | -12.3% | -39.7% | 55% | 16 |
| MACD golden/death cross Trend following | -24.6% | -13.2% | -38.1% | 51% | 19 |
Equity curve
Growth of 1 · bold line = RSI 30/70
BB lower/upperMACD golden/death crossRSI 30/70SMA 50/200 golden/death crossIchimoku cloud breakout Buy and hold S&P 500 Buy Sell
RSI 30/70 trades
Buy when 14-day RSI drops below 30 (oversold), sell above 70 (overbought). Aims at short-term rebounds.
#2 2026-11-06 Buy $191.10 → Open -2.4%0d
#1 2025-04-07 Buy $87.44 → 2025-05-15 Sell $134.26 +53.4%38d
Filled at next day's open after a signal · 0.1% round-trip cost · dividends included (adjusted prices) · open positions marked at the last close · past results do not guarantee future returns