와이피에프(YPF) 주가 전망 및 기업 분석 - PER·배당·실적·목표주가·RSI·MACD

YPF

YPF ADR

7월 27일 2:45 PM ET (한국 7/28 03:45)

$51.40

-0.52 ▼ -1.00%

와이피에프(YPF) is a Energy sector company, analyzed across 14 metrics on this page including P/E, EPS, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

시가총액

$20.2B

미드캡

P/E

배당수익률

없음

52주 위치

82%

저점 +125% · 고점 -11%

애널리스트

적극 매수

C+

Fundamental health

vs. Oil & Gas Integrated

수익성

Top 41%

성장

Top 52%

밸류에이션

Top 49%

재무 안정

Top 50%

Index ⓘ	-	P/E ⓘ	-	EPS (ttm) ⓘ	-0.84	Insider Own ⓘ	-	Shs Outstand ⓘ	393.3M	Perf Week ⓘ	3.46%
Market Cap ⓘ	20.21B	Forward P/E ⓘ	8.13	EPS next Y ⓘ	-0.53%	Insider Trans ⓘ	-	Shs Float ⓘ	393.3M	Perf Month ⓘ	12.67%
Enterprise Value ⓘ	29.51B	PEG ⓘ	-	EPS next Q ⓘ	2.27	Inst Own ⓘ	11.72%	Short Float ⓘ	1.29%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	18.68%
Income ⓘ	-0.32B	P/S ⓘ	1.07	EPS this Y ⓘ	401.09%	Inst Trans ⓘ	10.94%	Short Ratio ⓘ	2.76	Perf Half Y ⓘ	44.02%
Sales ⓘ	18.83B	P/B ⓘ	1.76	EPS next 5Y ⓘ	-	ROA ⓘ	-1.06%	Short Interest ⓘ	5.09M	Perf YTD ⓘ	42.15%
Book/sh ⓘ	29.27	P/C ⓘ	11.99	EPS past 3/5Y ⓘ	- 2.51%	ROE ⓘ	-2.77%	52W High ⓘ	-10.59% ($57.49)	Perf Year ⓘ	58.64%
Cash/sh ⓘ	4.29	P/FCF ⓘ	42.75	Sales past 3/5Y ⓘ	-0.9% 14.65%	ROIC ⓘ	-1.58%	52W Low ⓘ	125.24% ($22.82)	Perf 3Y ⓘ	228.85%
Dividend Est. ⓘ	-	EV/EBITDA ⓘ	5.27	EPS Y/Y TTM ⓘ	-119.47%	Gross Margin ⓘ	28.96%	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	2.48% 3.13%	Perf 5Y ⓘ	1112.26%
Dividend TTM ⓘ	-	EV/Sales ⓘ	1.57	Sales Y/Y TTM ⓘ	-4.17%	Oper. Margin ⓘ	12.68%	ATR (14) ⓘ	1.65	Perf 10Y ⓘ	172.53%
Dividend Ex-Date ⓘ	2019/7/9	Quick Ratio ⓘ	0.73	EPS Q/Q ⓘ	2371.88%	Profit Margin ⓘ	-1.69%	RSI (14) ⓘ	58.37	Recom ⓘ	1.43
Dividend Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	-	Current Ratio ⓘ	0.94	Sales Q/Q ⓘ	6.42%	SMA20 ⓘ	6.37% ($48.32)	Beta ⓘ	1.27	Target Price ⓘ	$59.68
Payout ⓘ	-	Debt/Eq ⓘ	0.95	Earnings ⓘ	2026/5/8	SMA50 ⓘ	3.52% ($49.65)	Rel Volume ⓘ	0.42	Prev Close ⓘ	$51.92
Employees ⓘ	-	LT Debt/Eq ⓘ	0.78	EPS/Sales Surpr. ⓘ	0.65% -1.78%	SMA200 ⓘ	27.32% ($40.37)	Avg Volume(3M) ⓘ	1.84M	Price ⓘ	$51.4
IPO ⓘ	1993/6/29	Option/Short ⓘ	Yes/Yes			Trades ⓘ	6846	Volume ⓘ	781,985	Change ⓘ	-1%

Quarterly earnings trend Quarterly earnings data is not yet available — foreign-listed companies (ADRs) only file annual reports with the U.S., and recently listed companies may not have filed their first quarterly report.

📊 YPF ADR (YPF) Investment Analysis

What kind of company is YPF ADR?

와이피에프(YPF) 경기민감주

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

#611 by Market Cap — Mid-Cap

🛢️ It is a leading integrated oil and gas company in Argentina. It operates a vertically integrated business structure spanning exploration and production through refining and distribution, and is pursuing a transformation into an unconventional energy company by focusing on the development of Vaca Muerta, one of the world's largest unconventional shale oil fields. It is a core company in Argentina's energy industry.

Learn more about YPF ADR →

Market Cap

$20.2B

Approx. KRW 27.7 trillion

⚖️ 7% of Samsung Electronics

Market Cap Rank611

IPO1993/06/29

Current Price$51.40 ≈ 70,418원

NYSE · Argentina

Key Events

⏰ Upcoming events

🔔 Earnings release

The next release date has not been announced yet.

🎯 Ex-dividend date

No scheduled dividends

📜 Recent events

🔔 Earnings release 2026년 5월 8일 (금) · 장 시작 전 EPS +0.7% 매출 -1.8%

🔔 Earnings release 2026년 5월 7일 (목) · 장 마감 후

🔔 Earnings release 2026년 2월 27일 (금) · 장 시작 전 EPS -348.5% 매출 +4.3%

🎯 Ex-div 2019년 7월 9일 (화)

Is it profitable?

Profitability weak

Profitability — How efficiently it makes money

Operating Margin

Profit kept from selling products and services (higher is better)

12.7%

✓ 양호

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated Median 12.3% · Top 49%

💡 일반적으로 10% 이상이면 양호, 20% 이상이면 우수

Net Margin

Share of revenue left after taxes and interest are paid

-1.7%

✓ 적자

💡 적자 상태 — 수익을 내지 못하고 있습니다

Gross Margin

Profit after subtracting raw-material costs only (signals product competitiveness)

29.0%

✓ 양호

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated Median 20.0% · Top 34%

💡 제조업 30%, IT/소프트웨어 50% 이상이면 우수 (업종별 편차 큼)

ROE

Annual return earned on shareholders' equity (15%+ is strong)

-2.8%

✓ 적자

💡 적자 상태 — 수익을 내지 못하고 있습니다

ROA

Annual earnings relative to total company assets

-1.1%

✓ 적자

💡 적자 상태 — 수익을 내지 못하고 있습니다

ROIC

Return generated per dollar invested in the business

-1.6%

✓ 적자

💡 적자 상태 — 수익을 내지 못하고 있습니다

Financial health — Debt & liquidity burden

Debt-to-Equity (D/E)

Debt relative to equity (lower is healthier)

0.95

✓ Average

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated Median 0.68

💡 일반적으로 1.0 이하면 건전, 1.5까지는 무난 (금융·유틸·REIT는 구조적으로 높음)

Current Ratio

Liquid assets available to cover liabilities due within a year

0.94

✓ 평균

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated Median 1.07

💡 1.5~3.0 적정, 1.0 미만이면 단기 유동성 주의

Quick Ratio

Liquid assets excluding inventory, available for immediate use

0.73

✓ 평균

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated Median 0.86

💡 1.0 이상이면 안전, 0.5 미만이면 주의

* Ratings reflect relative position vs. peer-group distribution (same sector & size) plus absolute guards (loss & risk thresholds).

What's the outlook?

Mixed Outlook

Positive and negative signals are mixed

애널리스트 목표가

$59.68

현재가 대비 +16.1%

💡 12개월 이내 도달을 전망하는 애널리스트 컨센서스 평균

예상 PER (Forward)

8.13배

💡 내년 예상 EPS 기준. 현재 PER과 비교해 이익 성장 반영 정도 확인

내년 EPS 예상 성장률

-0.5%

💡 10% 이상이면 견조한 성장, 마이너스는 이익 감소 예상

⚠ 이 데이터는 애널리스트 추정치이며 실제 결과와 다를 수 있습니다. 투자 결정은 추가 검토와 함께 하세요.

Did earnings meet expectations?

Average Earnings Performance

Mixed beats and misses

예상 상회

예상 부합

예상 하회

33%

상회 비율

-100.9%

평균 서프라이즈

2026.05.08

부합

+0.7%

2026.05.07

상회

실적 $0.97 · 예상 $0.88 +10.5%

2026.02.27

하회

실적 $-1.67 · 예상 $0.78 -314.0%

💡 예상보다 높은 실적을 자주 내는 기업은 실적 신뢰도가 높다고 평가됩니다. 단, 애널리스트 기대치가 낮게 설정되었을 수도 있으니 절대 수치도 함께 봐야 합니다.

Is it growing?

Average Growth

Mid-range within the industry

Top-Line Growth Only Revenue is growing while EPS is flat — a possible sign of weakening profitability

🔮 How much will it grow? (analyst forecasts)

This Year's EPS Outlook

Projected EPS growth rate for this year

+401.1%

우수

My positionTop 5%

Low range Average High range

경기민감주 대형주 Median 5.5% · Top tier

Next Year's EPS Outlook

Projected EPS growth rate for next year (analyst consensus)

-0.5%

매우 부진

My positionBottom 5%

Low range Average High range

경기민감주 대형주 Median 11.7% · Bottom tier

📊 How much has it grown? (actual results)

Past 5-Year EPS

Actual average annual EPS growth over the past 5 years

+2.5%

부진

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

경기민감주 대형주 Median 12.1% · Bottom 21%

Past 5-Year Revenue

How much revenue grew over the past 5 years

+14.7%

우수

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

경기민감주 대형주 Median 8.6% · Top 24%

⚡ Short-term momentum

QoQ Revenue

Revenue change from the previous quarter (short-term momentum)

+6.4%

평균

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

경기민감주 대형주 Median 7.6% · Bottom 43%

* Forecast values are analyst consensus estimates. Ratings are determined by relative position vs. peer group of the same growth style and size.

New to investing terms? Look it up in the financial dictionary →

Has the stock risen over the long term?

Outperformed the market by 1044%p over 5 years

YPF +1112.3% · S&P 500 +68.0%

Excess return vs. market (price-based, ex-dividends)

5-year basis

vs S&P 500

+1044.3%p

well ahead of the market

vs Energy (XLE)

+966.5%p

well ahead of the sector average

1-year basis

vs S&P 500

+42.2%p

well ahead of the market

vs Energy (XLE)

+22.3%p

ahead of the sector average

Rank among peers

5-year return Top among peers Based on 11 peers

1-year return Upper-Mid (40%) Based on 11 peers

Current position within 52-week range

Low (-125.2%p) High (-10.6%p)

Current price is 125.2% above the 52-week low and 10.6% below the 52-week high

Recent risk (last 120 trading days)

Max drawdown

-21.2%

Annualized volatility

40.4%

Technical Indicators

Bollinger Bands · MACD · RSI · Stochastics · Ichimoku 5-line · recent 136-day series

Price · Bollinger Bands · Ichimoku Cloud

close
BB Upper
BB Mid
BB Lower
Tenkan
Kijun
Cloud (SpanA/B)

Bollinger Bands are upper and lower channels showing the closing price range (20 days · 2σ). Touching the upper band = overheated; touching the lower band = oversold. Ichimoku Cloud shows trend direction and strength through colored areas. Prices above the cloud indicate an uptrend; prices below indicate a downtrend. About Bollinger Bands →

🟢

Current diagnosis · 2026-07-24

Uptrend zone

Current price $51.40 above the midline ($48.32). Normal upward flow. Above the Ichimoku cloud (bullish).

MACD (12 · 26 · 9) Expand ▼

An indicator that uses the difference between the short-term EMA (12) and long-term EMA (26) to identify trend reversals. When MACD rises above the Signal line, it is a buy signal (golden cross); when it falls below, it is a sell signal (death cross). About MACD →

🟢

Current diagnosis · 2026-07-24

Bullish momentum holding

MACD 0.771 > Signal 0.262 in positive zone + Hist positive (+0.509). Trend in progress.

RSI(14) · Stochastics %K(14) Expand ▼

RSI measures short-term buying and selling pressure on a scale of 0–100. 30 or below = oversold (a rebound may be possible); 70 or above = overbought (a pullback may be possible). Stoch %K similarly measures short-term momentum strength. RSI · Learn more about Stochastics →

🟢

Current diagnosis · 2026-07-24

Bullish zone

RSI 58.4 (above the neutral level of 50). Buying pressure leads, supporting a steady rise. Stoch %K is also 72.3.

※ "Current diagnosis" is an automated interpretation based on standard thresholds and is for reference only. Make your own comprehensive judgment before trading.

Is it attractive at this price?

Cheaper than peers in its industry

Cheap on Vs. Earnings·Vs. Assets·Vs. Sales, In line with peers on Vs. Cash Flow

💡 How to read this — Compare against peers in the same industry to see what the price is cheap or expensive relative to. Example: cheap vs. earnings = stock price is low relative to what the company earns; expensive vs. assets = stock price is high relative to assets on the balance sheet.

💵 Vs. Earnings Cheap

🏢 Vs. Assets Cheap

🧾 Vs. Sales Cheap

💧 Vs. Cash Flow Mid-range

💵 Vs. Earnings

Forward PER Forward Price-to-Earnings Ratio

PER using next year's estimated earnings — reflects growth

8.13x

✓ Very cheap

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated median 10.13x · Top 24% — relatively cheap within the industry

💡 향후 12개월 예상 EPS 기준 PER. 현재 PER보다 낮으면 이익 성장 중

🏢 Vs. Assets

PBR Price-to-Book Ratio

Price vs. the company's asset value — below 1 trades cheaper than assets

1.76x

✓ Cheap

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated median 1.76x · Around the industry average

💡 PBR 1 미만이면 청산가치 이하 (금융·제조업에서 특히 의미, IT는 낮은 비중)

🧾 Vs. Sales

PSR Price-to-Sales Ratio

Market cap vs. revenue — lower is cheaper relative to sales

1.07x

✓ Cheap

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated median 1.09x · Around the industry average

💡 PSR 2 이하 저평가, 10 초과면 고평가 (고성장 기업일 때만 정당화)

💧 Vs. Cash Flow

EV/EBITDA Enterprise Value Multiple

Total enterprise value ÷ operating cash earnings — a benchmark for M&A

5.27x

✓ Cheap

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated median 6.66x · Around the industry average

💡 EV/EBITDA 10 이하 저평가, 20 이상이면 고평가 (M&A 밸류 기준)

💧 Vs. Cash Flow

P/FCF Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow Ratio

Price vs. actual cash generation — lower means more efficient

42.75x

✓ Very pricey

My positionBottom 5%

Low range Average High range

Oil & Gas Integrated median 14.97x · Bottom 1% — expensive within the industry

💡 P/FCF 20 이하면 현금창출 대비 저평가 (실질 수익성 기준)

Analyst target price (reference)

$59.68 vs. current price +16.1%

* Valuation is the stock's relative position within the industry peer group (same sector and market-cap range). Even when valuation looks attractive, check the 'Profitability' and 'Growth' sections too.

As of: Recent snapshot · Peer group: Oil & Gas Integrated

Who owns it?

Ownership flow is positive

Institutional net buying +10.9% · Short interest light 1.3%

📈 Recent trading flow (6 months)

🧑‍💼 Insiders (executives & directors)

No trading data for Insiders

🏦 Institutions (funds & investors)

+10.9%

Institutions large net buying

💡 Net change over the past 6 months. Shows how much insiders and institutions increased or reduced their holdings, in %.

👥 Holdings composition

🏦 Institutions 11.7%

Retail-led

Energy 대형주 Median 72.1%

🧑‍💼 Insiders 0.0%

Low, common among large-caps

Energy 대형주 Median 0.5%

👤 Retail investors (estimated) 88.3%

Everyone excluding institutions and insiders

Institutions Insiders Retail (est.)

📉 Short-selling metrics

Short ratio

1.3%

Low — limited short-side pressure

Energy 대형주 Median 2.5%

Past 90 days Little change

Short interest days to cover

2.8 days

Days needed to close short positions using average trading volume

🧮 Share count

Total shares outstanding 393.3M주

Float (tradable shares) 393.3M주

* Insider/institutional flows are based on net changes over the past 6 months. Trend is cumulative over the past 90 days.

ETFs holding YPF

ETFs with the highest weightings · 9 total shown

ARGT

Global X MSCI Argentina ETF

9.99%

$849M

BREW

Corgi Coffee & Energy Drinks ETF

3.34%

$2M

GEME

Pacific North of South EM Equity Active ETF

2.52%

$379M

OTGL

OTG Latin America ETF

2.42%

$29M

JADE

JPMorgan Active Developing Markets Equity ETF

0.31%

$31M

* Based on official quarterly filings. Latest disclosure; actual current weights may differ.

How much does it pay in dividends?

This company does not pay a dividend

It may be a growth-focused firm reinvesting profits into expansion. Consider this growth-stock profile when investing.

Compare Industry Peers

💡 vs. sector average ▲ Favorable / ▼ Unfavorable (Lower PER and PBR are better; higher ROE and dividend yield are better)

Sorted by market cap, largest first

Stock	Market Cap	PER	PBR	ROE	Dividend Yield	Change
YPF This Stock	$20.2B	-	1.8	-2.77% ▼	-	-1.0%
XOM	$650.4B	26.5 ▼	2.6 ▼	9.79% ▲	2.65% ▼	+0.0%
CVX	$387.9B	33.8 ▼	2.1 ▼	6.61% ▼	3.66% ▲	+0.2%
SHEL	$246.4B	13.8 ▲	1.4 ▲	10.64% ▲	3.55% ▲	+0.5%
TTE	$193.3B	10.7 ▲	1.5 ▲	14.56% ▲	4.68% ▲	+0.7%
COP	$146.5B	20.4 ▼	2.3 ▼	11.25% ▲	2.83% ▼	+0.1%
Sector Avg	-	16.9	1.8	8.19%	3.39%	-

FAQ

What kind of company is 와이피에프(YPF)?

와이피에프(YPF) belongs to the Energy sector and operates in the Oil & Gas Integrated industry.

What is the market cap of YPF?

The market cap of YPF is approximately $20.2B, ranking 611 within its sector.

What is the 52-week high and low for YPF?

YPF has recorded a 52-week high of $57.49 and a low of $22.82.

면책조항: 본 콘텐츠는 참고 자료이며 투자 권유가 아닙니다. 모든 투자의 책임은 투자자 본인에게 있습니다.