STCE 주가 전망 및 ETF 분석 - 배당·운용보수·보유종목·NAV·RSI·MACD

STCE

Schwab Crypto Thematic ETF

7월 28일 3:59 PM ET (한국 7/29 04:59)

$64.48

+0.12 ▲ +0.19%

🌙 7월 28일 4:04 PM ET (한국 7/29 05:04)

$62.66

-0.07 ▼ -0.11%

STCE ETF is analyzed across 10 metrics including expense ratio, holdings, sector allocation, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

Total Expense Ratio

0.3%

Annual operating cost

Net Assets (AUM)

$232M

약 3173억원

Holdings

56 items

Dividend Yield

1.76%

Management Style

Passive

Category ⓘ	Global or ExUS Equities - Factor & Thematic	Asset Type ⓘ	Equities (Stocks)	Return% 1Y ⓘ	10.83%	Total Holdings ⓘ	56	Perf Week ⓘ	-1%
ETF Type ⓘ	Global Equities	Active/Passive ⓘ	Passive	Return% 3Y ⓘ	34.08%	AUM ⓘ	$232M	Perf Month ⓘ	-9.57%
Expense ⓘ	0.3%	NAV ⓘ	$64.34	Return% 5Y ⓘ	-	52W High ⓘ	-41.19%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	-3.21%
Dividend TTM ⓘ	$1.13 (1.76%)	Div Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	74.11% -	Return% 10Y ⓘ	-	52W Low ⓘ	33.36%	Perf Half Y ⓘ	-9.46%
Flows% 1M ⓘ	-6.58%	Flows% YTD ⓘ	-11.1%	Return% SI ⓘ	27.39%	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	4.28% 4.95%	Perf YTD ⓘ	7.54%
SMA20 ⓘ	-2.9%	SMA50 ⓘ	-10.53%	SMA200 ⓘ	-7.54%	RSI (14) ⓘ	42.66	Beta ⓘ	2.77
IPO ⓘ	2022/8/4	Prev Close ⓘ	$64.36	Perf Year ⓘ	11.62%	Avg Volume ⓘ	0.15M	Price ⓘ	$64.48

📊 Schwab Crypto Thematic ETF (STCE) Investment Analysis

ETF Overview

Schwab Crypto Thematic ETF · Global or ExUS Equities - Factor & Thematic

암호화폐형 — 비트코인·이더리움 등 암호화폐 노출

2022년 상장, 4년 운영 중.

Schwab Crypto Thematic ETF는 장기적인 자본 증식을 목표로 하는 액티브 운용 방식의 재간접 펀드입니다. 가상자산 및 블록체인 테마와 관련된 계열 및 외부 ETF와 뮤추얼 펀드들에 자산을 배분하며, 신흥 기술 산업 전반에 걸쳐 다양한 시가총액의 기업들에 노출을 제공합니다.

📘 STCE ETF 자세히 알아보기 →

GlobalcryptoETFs

규모: $232M 약 3173억원
운용사: Schwab
운용 방식: 패시브 (지수 추종)
상장일: 2022년

Cost Efficiency

Annual Expense Ratio · Category Rank · Long-Term Cost Impact

Low-cost ETF — 0.3% annually

상위 25% within Global or ExUS Equities - Factor & Thematic. For a ₩100M investment, roughly ₩300,000/year.

Effective Annual Expense Ratio (Net Expense Ratio)

상위 25%

0.3%

My positionTop 25%

Low range Average High range

Actual Cost Simulation by Investment Amount

$100.0M

Annual Expense Ratio

$300K

Save $250K per year vs. category average

Category Median Annual Cost

$550K

Based on expense ratio of 0.55%

10-Year Cumulative Expense Ratio (Long-term simulation assuming 7% annual market growth)

$5.4M

5.6% of returns you could have earned goes to the fund manager due to fees

💡 Because the expense ratio takes a slice of your assets every year, costs compound over 10 years and result in far greater losses than a simple sum (annual fee × 10). The 7% annual return assumption is based on the S&P 500's long-term average.

Defaults shown against $100K baseline portfolio. Adjust the slider to update the amount in real time.

Cheaper alternatives in the same category

KLMN

Invesco MSCI North America Climate ETF

0.09%

-0.21%p annually

FINA

Fidelity MSCI North American Subset Index ETF

0.09%

-0.21%p annually

VSGX

Vanguard ESG International Stock ETF

0.10%

-0.20%p annually

* A lower fee does not necessarily mean a better ETF. Consider the tracked index, liquidity, and tax treatment as well.

Long-Term Performance

1-year · 3-year · 5-year · 10-year returns · vs. benchmark · drawdown defense

Insufficient return data

-7.0%p vs. benchmark (SPY) over 1Y.

ℹ️ The "1Y·3Y·5Y·10Y" periods below represent annualized returns (CAGR) measured backward from today. Example: "3Y +12%" means the investment grew at a compounded 12% per year over the past three years.

₿ Crypto ETF — extreme volatility

Crypto price swings are far larger than those of traditional assets, and historical return volatility is very high. Set your portfolio allocation carefully based on your own risk tolerance.

If you had invested 3 year(s) ago

$100.0M

Today's value

$241.0M

→

Total gain

+$141.0M

Annualized +34.1%

1 Year

2025.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +10.83%

하위 25%

Trailed the benchmark by 7.0%p annually

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

3 Years

2023.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +34.08% Cumulative +141.0%

상위 5%

Outperformed the benchmark by 15.1%p annually

My positionTop 5%

Low range Average High range

5 Years

2021.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2022/8 — under 5 years

10Y

2016.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2022/8 — under 10 years

4Y Cumulative Total Return Curve

2022-08-04 start, based on a 100M KRW base — read the curve values directly as units of 100M KRW (e.g., 308 → 3.08억 / 308M KRW). Both this ETF and the benchmark are rebased to 100 on the same start date for comparison.

STCE · Price Only STCE · Price + Cumulative Dividends STCE · Dividend Reinvested S&P 500 (SPY)

150

250

350

ℹ️ Price Only: Excludes dividends and tracks pure stock price only. Covered-call and high-dividend ETFs often show a flat or declining line on this view, which is meaningful from a "principal preservation" standpoint. Price + Cumulative Dividend: Share count stays the same and received dividends are accumulated as cash. Closely matches your actual account total assets. Reinvested: Dividends are immediately used to buy additional shares (adjClose-based, the industry standard for total return). The wider the gap between the three lines, the easier it is to gauge the effectiveness of the dividend strategy.

Annual Return Comparison

ETF returns vs S&P 500 (SPY) by calendar year

STCE S&P 500 (SPY)

+110%

−110%

-39%

2022

+109%

2023

+44%

2024

+31%

2025

-0%

2026 YTD

ℹ️ Returns from January 1 to December 31 of each year. The current year (2026) column is dimmed to indicate YTD (incomplete). If blue is higher than gray, the ETF outperformed the benchmark in that year.

Win rate vs S&P 500 (SPY)

3 / 4Y

Consistently outperforms benchmark (75%)

+ 2026 YTD: Behind (-0.3% vs 8.5%)

2022 ✗

2023 ✓

2024 ✓

2025 ✓

2026 ✗ YTD

ℹ️ Number of winning years versus S&P 500 (SPY) within a completed calendar year (1/1–12/31). The current year (YTD) is reported separately.

Downside Capture

⚠️ 263%

Falls more than the benchmark — vulnerable in drawdowns

<85% (Defend) 85~110% (Track) >110% (Lag)

ℹ️ Average % drop of this ETF when S&P 500 (SPY) is −1%. Based on daily returns over the past 3 years (only days where the benchmark is negative).

Risk Profile

Volatility · Beta · Max Drawdown · Sharpe · Drawdown Recovery History

Overall Risk Grade

High Risk

It's common for crypto to move 10–20% in a single day, and drawdowns of -50% or more have happened many times. Keep your position size cautious.

₿ Crypto ETFs — Extreme volatility

The inherent extreme volatility of crypto assets is fully reflected here. Beta conversion has limited meaning, and drawdowns exceeding -50% are common.

Beta (market sensitivity)

하위 5%

2.77

If the market rises +10% +27.7%

If the market falls -10% -27.7%

My positionBottom 5%

Low range Average High range

ℹ️ A beta of 1.0 moves in line with the market. Above 1 means it moves more than the market; below 1 means less.

Average daily range (last 1 month)

하위 5%

±4.95%

S&P 500 typically ±1.0~1.3% · Bond funds ±0.3% · Leveraged ETFs ±3% or more

Annual volatility trend (past 10 years)

ℹ️ This ETF's average daily price swing. 1% means "on average, moves about ±1% per day." The rolling curve below shows the annualized volatility (long-term standard measure) over time.

Max Drawdown · Past 10 years

-54.1%

Drawdown duration: 6 months

2025-10-15 → 2026-03-30

Still recovering

2022-08-04 Worst -51% 2026-07-01

ℹ️ Maximum drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in the past. It represents the worst-case loss a long-term investor must psychologically endure.

Sharpe Ratio (Risk-Adjusted Return)

0.44

Weak — Low risk-adjusted returns

ℹ️ Annualized return minus the risk-free rate (3% annualized), divided by annualized volatility. A value above 1.0 is generally considered good risk-adjusted performance.

Estimated Monthly Maximum Loss (VaR 95%)

-17.0%

Historically, monthly losses exceeding this figure occurred only5%of the time.

ℹ️ A statistical estimate meaning "with 95% probability, monthly losses will not exceed this amount." The remaining 5% corresponds to crisis-level events such as financial crises or pandemics.

Dividend Analysis

Yield · Dividend history · After-tax income calculator

Pays dividends, but at a relatively low rate — 1.76% annually

Closer to a blend of growth and dividends.

배당수익률

1.76%

주당 배당

$1.13

연간 기준

5년 성장률

지급 주기

연배당

12월

📊 총 이력 2022~2025 (7건)

연도별 배당 총액 추이

주당 배당금을 연 단위로 합산한 금액입니다. 막대가 우상향이면 매년 배당이 늘어나고 있다는 뜻입니다.

—

2021

$0.22

2022

$0.10 -55.6%

2023

$0.29 +190.9%

2024

$1.18 +308.7%

2025

$X.XX 그 해 총 배당금 +X% 전년 대비 증가 -X% 감소

최근 배당 이력 총 7건

아래로 스크롤하면 과거 배당 이력을 볼 수 있습니다.

배당락일

주당 금액

지급일

당시 수익률

2025-12-11

$1.13

—

1.97%

2025-06-25

$0.043

—

0.72%

2024-12-13

$0.252

—

0.54%

2024-06-26

$0.036

—

0.30%

2023-12-06

$0.075

—

1.20%

2023-06-21

$0.024

—

1.15%

2022-12-07

$0.223

—

1.33%

* "배당락일"은 배당받으려면 이 날 이전에 주식을 보유해야 하는 기준일입니다. 지급일·당시 수익률은 일부 종목에서 데이터가 없을 수 있습니다.

💰 내가 $100K 투자한다면

연간 배당금 (세후) $1K

5년 누적 (세후) $7K

* 환율 1 가정, 배당소득세 15% 반영. 5년 누적은 배당 성장률 연 0% 가정.

* Qualified dividend middle-bracket approximation. Actual rate varies by total income.

Overall investment appeal

What this ETF fits best — strengths, weaknesses, and target investor profile

Strengths and weaknesses both present Check the fit below to see whether it matches your investing goal.

💡 This product reflects the extreme volatility typical of crypto assets. Size your allocation carefully.

🎯 목적별 적합도

내가 이 ETF를 어떤 목적으로 활용할 수 있는지 확인하세요.

🌳

장기 보유

수년 이상 꾸준히 모아갈 때

매우 낮음

💵

배당 인컴

매월·분기 현금흐름이 목적일 때

부적합

⚡

단기 트레이딩

며칠~몇 주 단기 방향성 매매

적합

🧩

포트폴리오 보조

자산 배분·헤지 용도

보통

👤

이런 분에게 어울려요

Investors seeking crypto exposure

✅ 강점

💸Low cost — 0.3% annually

⚠️ 약점·주의사항

⚠️Very high volatility — invest only with capital you can hold for the long term
🎯Trails benchmark by -7.0%p annually

Portfolio Composition

What's actually inside — sector weights and top holdings

37개 종목에 넓게 분산

개별 종목 리스크가 분산되어 있어요.

ℹ️ 왜 구성을 봐야 하나요?

ETF의 실제 성과는 담고 있는 종목과 섹터에서 나와요. 이름이 "S&P 500"이라도 기술주 비중이 유난히 높을 수 있고, "배당주 ETF"라도 몇몇 대형주에 쏠려 있을 수 있어요. 라벨보다 실제 구성을 확인하는 게 중요해요.

🔬 집중도 한눈에 보기

총 보유종목

37개

상위 10개 비중

49.9%

최대 단일 종목

7.75%

집중도(HHI)

380

낮음 (분산)

🥧 섹터 비중

Financial

57.1%

Technology

27.7%

Communication Services

4.7%

📋 상위 보유 종목 Top 10 Top 10이 전체의 49.9% 차지

티커 옆의 점 색상 = 섹터 구분 (섹터 차트와 동일 색상)

BTDR Bitdeer Technologies Group

7.75%

GLXY Galaxy Digital Inc

5.30%

HIVE Hive Digital Technologies Ltd

4.93%

IREN IREN Ltd

4.88%

DJT Trump Media & Technology Group Corp

4.74%

HUT Hut 8 Corp

4.68%

BLSH Bullish

4.64%

CORZ Core Scientific Inc

4.60%

CLSK Cleanspark Inc

4.24%

#10

BMNR BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc

4.14%

Category Peers

Category: Global or ExUS Equities - Factor & Thematic

같은 카테고리 6종 중 AUM 6/6위 · 보수율 1/6위

카테고리: Global or ExUS Equities - Factor & Thematic

ℹ️ 왜 비교해야 하나요?

같은 카테고리 ETF끼리는 보수율·규모(AUM)·배당률을 비교해 볼 가치가 있어요. 보수율은 낮을수록 장기 수익에 유리하고, AUM이 크면 운용 안정성이 높아요. ▲ 표시는 STCE보다 유리, ▼ 표시는 STCE보다 불리를 뜻해요.

티커	ETF명	보수율	AUM	보유종목	배당률	YTD	1년
STCE	Schwab Crypto Thematic ETF	0.3%	$232M	56	1.76%	+7.54%	+11.62%
BLOK	Amplify Blockchain Technology ETF	0.7% ▼	$1.1B ▲	55	0.81% ▼	-	-0.68% ▼
ARKF	ARK Blockchain & Fintech Innovation ETF	0.75% ▼	$717M ▲	41	0.11% ▼	-	-24.63% ▼
BITQ	Bitwise Crypto Industry Innovators ETF	0.85% ▼	$391M ▲	30	-	-	+10.66% ▼
WGMI	CoinShares Bitcoin Mining ETF	0.75% ▼	$264M ▲	28	-	-	+93.96% ▲
FDIG	Fidelity Crypto Industry and Digital Payments ETF	0.39% ▼	$247M ▲	75	1.51% ▼	-	+5.52% ▼

AUM 내림차순 정렬 · ▲ STCE보다 유리 · ▼ STCE보다 불리

Leveraged & Covered Call ETFs on the Same Theme

ETFs that approach the same theme with a different strategy

20 ETFs tracking the same theme as STCE using leveraged or covered call strategies (Leverage 8 · Inverse 4 · Covered Call 8)

Not direct derivatives of STCE, but ETFs that cover the same theme via a different strategy.

ℹ️ Which ETFs are included?

Among ETFs whose theme (category or sector) overlaps with STCE, some use special strategies. Leveraged ETFs aim for 2–3× the daily move, Inverse ETFs seek opposite-direction returns, and Covered Call ETFs generate monthly income from option premiums.

⚠️ Caution: Long-Term Holding

Leveraged and inverse ETFs track only the daily return. With high volatility, holding them for longer periods causes cumulative volatility decay—returns diverge further from the underlying index. They are meant for short-term trading.

📈 Leverage 8 ETFs that amplify the same theme by 2-3x (high volatility)