GFLW 주가 전망 및 ETF 분석 - 배당·운용보수·보유종목·NAV·RSI·MACD

GFLW

VictoryShares Free Cash Flow Growth ETF

7월 28일 1:43 PM ET (한국 7/29 02:43)

$31.97

+0.12 ▲ +0.38%

GFLW ETF is analyzed across 10 metrics including expense ratio, holdings, sector allocation, dividends, RSI, and MACD.

Total Expense Ratio

0.39%

Annual operating cost

Net Assets (AUM)

$880M

약 1조원

Holdings

102 items

Dividend Yield

Management Style

Passive

Category ⓘ	US Equities - Dividend & Fundamental	Asset Type ⓘ	Equities (Stocks)	Return% 1Y ⓘ	20.07%	Total Holdings ⓘ	102	Perf Week ⓘ	-0.1%
ETF Type ⓘ	US Equities	Active/Passive ⓘ	Passive	Return% 3Y ⓘ	-	AUM ⓘ	$880M	Perf Month ⓘ	-3.67%
Expense ⓘ	0.39%	NAV ⓘ	$31.85	Return% 5Y ⓘ	-	52W High ⓘ	-6.93%	Perf Quarter ⓘ	6.84%
Dividend TTM ⓘ	-	Div Gr. 3/5Y ⓘ	-	Return% 10Y ⓘ	-	52W Low ⓘ	27.88%	Perf Half Y ⓘ	12.55%
Flows% 1M ⓘ	8.52%	Flows% YTD ⓘ	22.31%	Return% SI ⓘ	15.01%	Volatility(W/M) ⓘ	1.11% 1.58%	Perf YTD ⓘ	13.53%
SMA20 ⓘ	-2.65%	SMA50 ⓘ	-1.06%	SMA200 ⓘ	9.26%	RSI (14) ⓘ	44.47	Beta ⓘ	1.25
IPO ⓘ	2024/12/4	Prev Close ⓘ	$31.85	Perf Year ⓘ	18.74%	Avg Volume ⓘ	0.13M	Price ⓘ	$31.97

📊 VictoryShares Free Cash Flow Growth ETF (GFLW) Investment Analysis

ETF Overview

VictoryShares Free Cash Flow Growth ETF · US Equities - Dividend & Fundamental

성장주형 — 고성장 기업 중심 포트폴리오

2024년 상장, 2년 운영 중.

VictoryShares Free Cash Flow Growth ETF는 수수료 및 비용 차감 전 기준으로 Victory Free Cash Flow Growth 지수의 성과와 일반적으로 일치하는 투자 결과를 제공하고자 합니다. 잉여현금흐름이 양수인 미국 중대형주들 중에서 성장성이 높은 상위 100개 기업을 선정하여 자산의 최소 80%를 투자하는 규칙 기반 전략의 ETF입니다.

📘 GFLW ETF 자세히 알아보기 →

U.S.equitymid-large-capcash-cow

규모: $880M 약 1조원
운용사: Victory Capital
운용 방식: 패시브 (지수 추종)
상장일: 2024년

Cost Efficiency

Annual Expense Ratio · Category Rank · Long-Term Cost Impact

Average expense ratio — 0.39% annually

Mid-range within the US Equities - Dividend & Fundamental category.

Effective Annual Expense Ratio (Net Expense Ratio)

평균권

0.39%

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

Actual Cost Simulation by Investment Amount

$100.0M

Annual Expense Ratio

$390K

Save $60K per year vs. category average

Category Median Annual Cost

$450K

Based on expense ratio of 0.45%

10-Year Cumulative Expense Ratio (Long-term simulation assuming 7% annual market growth)

$7.1M

7.3% of returns you could have earned goes to the fund manager due to fees

💡 Because the expense ratio takes a slice of your assets every year, costs compound over 10 years and result in far greater losses than a simple sum (annual fee × 10). The 7% annual return assumption is based on the S&P 500's long-term average.

Defaults shown against $100K baseline portfolio. Adjust the slider to update the amount in real time.

Cheaper alternatives in the same category

VIG

Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF

0.04%

-0.35%p annually

VYM

Vanguard High Dividend Yield Indx ETF

0.04%

-0.35%p annually

DIVB

iShares Core Dividend ETF

0.05%

-0.34%p annually

* A lower fee does not necessarily mean a better ETF. Consider the tracked index, liquidity, and tax treatment as well.

Long-Term Performance

1-year · 3-year · 5-year · 10-year returns · vs. benchmark · drawdown defense

Insufficient return data

+2.3%p vs. benchmark (SPY) over 1Y.

ℹ️ The "1Y·3Y·5Y·10Y" periods below represent annualized returns (CAGR) measured backward from today. Example: "3Y +12%" means the investment grew at a compounded 12% per year over the past three years.

If you had invested 1 year(s) ago

$100.0M

Today's value

$120.1M

→

Total gain

+$20.1M

Annualized +20.1%

1 Year

2025.07 ~ 2026.07

Annualized +20.07%

평균권

Outperformed the benchmark by 2.3%p annually

My positionMid-range

Low range Average High range

3 Years

2023.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2024/12 — under 3 years

5 Years

2021.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2024/12 — under 5 years

10Y

2016.07 ~ 2026.07

Listed 2024/12 — under 10 years

2Y Cumulative Total Return Curve

2024-12-05 start, based on a 100M KRW base — read the curve values directly as units of 100M KRW (e.g., 308 → 3.08억 / 308M KRW). Both this ETF and the benchmark are rebased to 100 on the same start date for comparison.

GFLW · Price Only GFLW · Price + Cumulative Dividends GFLW · Dividend Reinvested S&P 500 (SPY)

100

150

ℹ️ Price Only: Excludes dividends and tracks pure stock price only. Covered-call and high-dividend ETFs often show a flat or declining line on this view, which is meaningful from a "principal preservation" standpoint. Price + Cumulative Dividend: Share count stays the same and received dividends are accumulated as cash. Closely matches your actual account total assets. Reinvested: Dividends are immediately used to buy additional shares (adjClose-based, the industry standard for total return). The wider the gap between the three lines, the easier it is to gauge the effectiveness of the dividend strategy.

Annual Return Comparison

ETF returns vs S&P 500 (SPY) by calendar year

GFLW S&P 500 (SPY)

+40%

−40%

-6%

2024

+18%

2025

+13%

2026 YTD

ℹ️ Returns from January 1 to December 31 of each year. The current year (2026) column is dimmed to indicate YTD (incomplete). If blue is higher than gray, the ETF outperformed the benchmark in that year.

Win rate vs S&P 500 (SPY)

—

Completed years: 2 — 3+ years of data are needed for a win rate to be shown.

2024 ✗

2025 ✗

2026 ✓ YTD

ℹ️ Number of winning years versus S&P 500 (SPY) within a completed calendar year (1/1–12/31). The current year (YTD) is reported separately.

Downside Capture

⚠️ 143%

Falls more than the benchmark — vulnerable in drawdowns

<85% (Defend) 85~110% (Track) >110% (Lag)

ℹ️ Average % drop of this ETF when S&P 500 (SPY) is −1%. Based on daily returns over the past 3 years (only days where the benchmark is negative).

Risk Profile

Volatility · Beta · Max Drawdown · Sharpe · Drawdown Recovery History

Overall Risk Grade

Low Risk

Less volatile than the market average, making it relatively easy to hold over time.

Beta (market sensitivity)

하위 25%

1.25

If the market rises +10% +12.5%

If the market falls -10% -12.5%

My positionBottom 25%

Low range Average High range

ℹ️ A beta of 1.0 moves in line with the market. Above 1 means it moves more than the market; below 1 means less.

Average daily range (last 1 month)

하위 5%

±1.58%

S&P 500 typically ±1.0~1.3% · Bond funds ±0.3% · Leveraged ETFs ±3% or more

Annual volatility trend (past 10 years)

ℹ️ This ETF's average daily price swing. 1% means "on average, moves about ±1% per day." The rolling curve below shows the annualized volatility (long-term standard measure) over time.

Max Drawdown · Past 10 years

-24.1%

Drawdown duration: 2 months

2025-02-10 → 2025-04-08

Recovered in about 79 days

2024-12-05 Worst -15% 2026-07-01

ℹ️ Maximum drawdown is the largest peak-to-trough decline in the past. It represents the worst-case loss a long-term investor must psychologically endure.

Sharpe Ratio (Risk-Adjusted Return)

0.51

Average — Moderate risk-adjusted returns

ℹ️ Annualized return minus the risk-free rate (3% annualized), divided by annualized volatility. A value above 1.0 is generally considered good risk-adjusted performance.

Overall investment appeal

What this ETF fits best — strengths, weaknesses, and target investor profile

Strengths and weaknesses both present Check the fit below to see whether it matches your investing goal.

🎯 목적별 적합도

내가 이 ETF를 어떤 목적으로 활용할 수 있는지 확인하세요.

🌳

장기 보유

수년 이상 꾸준히 모아갈 때

적합

💵

배당 인컴

매월·분기 현금흐름이 목적일 때

매우 낮음

⚡

단기 트레이딩

며칠~몇 주 단기 방향성 매매

낮음

🧩

포트폴리오 보조

자산 배분·헤지 용도

낮음

👤

이런 분에게 어울려요

Long-term growth-oriented investors

✅ 강점

뚜렷한 강점이 드러나지 않아요.

⚠️ 약점·주의사항

⚠️Very high volatility — invest only with capital you can hold for the long term

Portfolio Composition

What's actually inside — sector weights and top holdings

101개 종목에 넓게 분산

개별 종목 리스크가 분산되어 있어요.

ℹ️ 왜 구성을 봐야 하나요?

ETF의 실제 성과는 담고 있는 종목과 섹터에서 나와요. 이름이 "S&P 500"이라도 기술주 비중이 유난히 높을 수 있고, "배당주 ETF"라도 몇몇 대형주에 쏠려 있을 수 있어요. 라벨보다 실제 구성을 확인하는 게 중요해요.

🔬 집중도 한눈에 보기

총 보유종목

101개

상위 10개 비중

28.3%

최대 단일 종목

3.60%

집중도(HHI)

160

낮음 (분산)

🥧 섹터 비중

Technology

39.2% +9%p

Consumer Cyclical

16.7% +7%p

Industrials

13.3% +5%p

Healthcare

11.6%

Basic Materials

5.4%

Communication Services

4.5% -5%p

Consumer Defensive

1.5% -5%p

Energy

0.7% -3%p

Financial

0.2% -13%p

S&P 500보다 많이 투자 (+3%p 이상) S&P 500보다 적게 투자 (-3%p 이상)

📋 상위 보유 종목 Top 10 Top 10이 전체의 28.3% 차지

티커 옆의 점 색상 = 섹터 구분 (섹터 차트와 동일 색상)

#1 NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION

3.60%

#2 NEM NEWMONT CORPORATION

3.52%

#3 AVGO BROADCOM INC.

3.49%

#4 GEV GE VERNOVA INC.

3.13%

#5 SNDK SANDISK CORPORATION

2.89%

#6 LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION

2.68%

#7 AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS, INC.

2.50%

#8 CAH CARDINAL HEALTH, INC.

2.26%

#9 VRT VERTIV HOLDINGS CO

2.14%

#10 ROST ROSS STORES, INC.

2.12%

Category Peers

Category: US Equities - Dividend & Fundamental

같은 카테고리 6종 중 AUM 6/6위 · 보수율 2/6위

카테고리: US Equities - Dividend & Fundamental

ℹ️ 왜 비교해야 하나요?

같은 카테고리 ETF끼리는 보수율·규모(AUM)·배당률을 비교해 볼 가치가 있어요. 보수율은 낮을수록 장기 수익에 유리하고, AUM이 크면 운용 안정성이 높아요. ▲ 표시는 GFLW보다 유리, ▼ 표시는 GFLW보다 불리를 뜻해요.

티커	ETF명	보수율	AUM	보유종목	배당률	YTD	1년
GFLW	VictoryShares Free Cash Flow Growth ETF	0.39%	$880M	102	-	+13.53%	+18.74%
DGRO	iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF	0.08% ▲	$42.6B ▲	398	1.89%	-	+18.88% ▲
NUGO	Nuveen Growth Opportunities ETF	0.5% ▼	$2.4B ▲	44	-	-	+10.65% ▼
BGIG	Bahl & Gaynor Income Growth ETF	0.45% ▼	$2.2B ▲	55	1.69%	-	+16.63% ▼
COWG	Pacer US Large Cap Cash Cows Growth Leaders ETF	0.49% ▼	$2.2B ▲	101	0.38%	-	+4.98% ▼
SMIG	Bahl & Gaynor Small/Mid Cap Income Growth ETF	0.6% ▼	$1.5B ▲	42	1.66%	-	+11.87% ▼

AUM 내림차순 정렬 · ▲ GFLW보다 유리 · ▼ GFLW보다 불리

Leveraged & Covered Call ETFs on the Same Theme

ETFs that approach the same theme with a different strategy

4 ETFs tracking the same theme as GFLW using leveraged or covered call strategies (Leverage 3 · Covered Call 1)

Not direct derivatives of GFLW, but ETFs that cover the same theme via a different strategy.

ℹ️ Which ETFs are included?

Among ETFs whose theme (category or sector) overlaps with GFLW, some use special strategies. Leveraged ETFs aim for 2–3× the daily move, Inverse ETFs seek opposite-direction returns, and Covered Call ETFs generate monthly income from option premiums.

⚠️ Caution: Long-Term Holding

Leveraged and inverse ETFs track only the daily return. With high volatility, holding them for longer periods causes cumulative volatility decay—returns diverge further from the underlying index. They are meant for short-term trading.

📈 Leverage 3 ETFs that amplify the same theme by 2-3x (high volatility)