Possibility of Democratic Party Congressional Control and Historical S&P 500 Trends
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View chart & analysis → - 1UBS presented a 50% probability of the Democratic Party controlling both chambers.
- 2Prediction markets showed a 94% probability of Democratic House control and a 77% probability of Senate control.
- 3Since 1950, the S&P 500 benchmark has seen a 100% increase rate when a single party lost both chambers.
So what's the key point?
The probability of the Democratic Party taking control of both chambers of Congress is around half. In the past, the S&P 500 index rose every time a single party lost control of both chambers.
Source The Motley Fool +1 · View original ↗
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