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Earnings Analysis

Brookfield Renewable Partners LP ($BEP) Q3 2026 Earnings Analysis: Revenue Beats Estimates, Funds From Operations Per Share Up 11%

Earnings Report

Revenue: $1.78 billion (Q3 2026, +11.5% YoY) · Expected $1.621 billion ✅ Beat

EPS (Earnings Per Share): -$0.52 (Net loss per share on GAAP basis, Q3 2026) · Expected -$0.51 (Direct comparison is limited as it is an adjusted figure, difference is less than 1 cent) ❌ Miss

Guidance: Maintained · Approximately 10,000 megawatts of new construction starting in 2027, approximately 11,000 megawatts in 2028 (Maintained previous outlook; revenue and profit guidance not provided)

Stock Reaction: After-hours +1.39% ($30.72, as of 18:11 Nov 04 KST)

Highlights

11.5% Revenue Increase: Reached $1.78 billion, exceeding the expected $1.621 billion

Operating Cash Flow per Share of $0.51: An 11% increase from $0.46 a year ago

$2.8 billion Asset Sale: Secured a $850 million company share, increasing resources for reinvestment

In the hydro segment, quarterly operating cash flow nearly doubled compared to a year ago, driven by the sale of remaining interests in main hydro assets and the sale of Isagen assets in Colombia. With 2,500 megawatts completed in Q3 alone, the cumulative total for this year reached 5,600 megawatts, and the adjusted EBITDA for the Westinghouse operating power plant business has increased by more than 20% since the beginning of the year.

Lowlights

$314 million Net Loss: Net loss attributable to unit holders increased from $120 million a year ago

Generation Below Long-term Average: Actual generation of 7,196 GWh was 16% lower than the long-term average of 8,545 GWh

Weak Performance in Distributed Energy & Storage Segment: Operating cash flow for this segment decreased from $89 million to $31 million

Direct operating expenses increased from $721 million a year ago to $1.013 billion, and interest expenses rose from $586 million to $707 million. The company views the weak water levels in Ontario and Colombia as temporary due to El Niño and expects them to return to long-term averages soon.

What the Company Said

Chief Executive Officer Connor Teskey stated that the company completed the acquisitions of Boralex and Aypa, adding renewable energy and battery storage platforms to strategic markets. He explained that asset recycling has become a repeatable and large-scale earnings driver, and the company intends to meet growing large-scale power demand through its diverse power plant portfolio and financing structures.

Market Reaction and Future Key Points

While revenue exceeded expectations and operating cash flow per share increased, this was a quarter in which the net loss under GAAP was larger than a year ago. Immediately following the announcement, the after-hours price rose slightly.

It remains to be seen whether the approval for structural simplification (requiring more than two-thirds) will be obtained in the unit holder vote scheduled for November 30.

It must be monitored whether the quarterly dividend of $0.392 and the annual dividend of $1.568, to be declared after the structural simplification, are finalized as planned.

The key to fourth-quarter results will be whether the Ontario Hydro 800MW contract renewal is signed before the end of the year, and whether the Ontario and Columbia water levels return to their long-term averages.

Earnings Call Key Summary

Once the earnings call concludes and the company script is released, the key takeaways from the call will be added to this section. We will select and summarize only the most important points, such as how management explained performance and outlook, and what analysts asked.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. All investment responsibility lies with the investor.

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